--- title: "Professional case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Professional ($352.79) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.91% from 21 items with odds, observed 76.53% over 14 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/professional rendered: 2026-11-11T13:18Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Professional](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/professional) # [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Professional A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/professional?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/professional?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/professional) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/professional?window=all) Price · $352.79 · 504 coins Advertised RTP · 90.91% · EV $320.72 from 21 items Observed RTP, 30d · 76.53% · 14 openings, odds method Variance · 1.8× · of price², per opening Tail share · 18.1% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 81.8% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 14 openings · below min 30 days · 14 openings · below min since tracking started · 14 openings · below min 6.5% 76.5% 146.5% **Small sample.** 14 openings and 2.5 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/professional?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/professional?window=7d) | 14 | 76.53% ±69.4 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/professional) | 14 | 76.53% ±69.4 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/professional?window=all) | 14 | 76.53% ±69.4 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 21 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 14 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Sticker \| Clan-Mystik (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-clan-mystik-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 333 | $4,288 6,125 coins | 4.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sticker \| Titan \| Katowice 2014 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-titan-katowice-2014) | 1 in 154 | $3,136 4,480 coins | 6.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Talon Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) | 1 in 200 | $2,755 3,935 coins | 4.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Moto Gloves \| Spearmint (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-spearmint-minimal-wear) | 1 in 250 | $2,426 3,465 coins | 3.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) | 1 in 182 | $2,100 3,000 coins | 3.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Moto Gloves \| Spearmint (Field-Tested) gloves · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-spearmint-field-tested) | 1 in 125 | $1,552 2,217 coins | 3.9% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Karambit \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4) knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-4) | 1 in 133 | $1,446 2,065 coins | 3.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [Souvenir AWP \| Desert Hydra (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-desert-hydra-factory-new) | 1 in 143 | $1,295 1,850 coins | 2.8% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [M4A1-S \| Imminent Danger (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-imminent-danger-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $827 1,182 coins | 2.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Karambit \| Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-case-hardened-battle-scarred) | 1 in 29 | $596 852 coins | 6.5% | 2 | 0.5 | — | | [★ Bayonet \| Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 4) knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-phase-4) | 1 in 33 | $442 631 coins | 4.1% | 0 | 0.4 | — | | [★ Bowie Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-emerald) | 1 in 50 | $410 585 coins | 2.6% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [★ Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4) knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-doppler-factory-new-phase-4) | 1 in 25 | $363 519 coins | 4.5% | 2 | 0.6 | — | | [AK-47 \| Jet Set (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-jet-set-field-tested) | 1 in 15 | $342 488 coins | 6.9% | 1 | 0.9 | — | | [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Crimson Web (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 14 | $334 477 coins | 7.3% | 0 | 1.0 | — | | [★ Bayonet \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $300 429 coins | 4.7% | 1 | 0.7 | — | | [Sticker \| Calyx (Gold) \| Boston 2018 sticker · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-calyx-gold-boston-2018) | 14.0% | $255 364 coins | 11.1% | 1 | 2.0 | 0.51× | | [Glock-18 \| Emerald (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-emerald-well-worn) | 12.0% | $169 241 coins | 6.3% | 1 | 1.7 | 0.60× | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Neon Rider (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-neon-rider-minimal-wear) | 10.0% | $164 234 coins | 5.1% | 2 | 1.4 | 1.43× | | [★ Ursus Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 13 | $122 175 coins | 3.1% | 3 | 1.1 | 2.68× | | [Sir Bloody Miami Darryl \| The Professionals agent · master](https://gambatracker.com/items/sir-bloody-miami-darryl-the-professionals) | 19.4% | $63.66 90.94 coins | 3.8% | 1 | 2.7 | 0.37× | Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Karambit | Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-case-hardened-battle-scarred) Hidden $355 507 coins $616 880 coins 1.74x 2026-11-04 21:29 UTC [★ Karambit | Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-case-hardened-battle-scarred) Hidden $355 507 coins $616 880 coins 1.74x 2026-11-04 21:26 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=professional) [★ Ursus Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) Hidden $355 507 coins $122 175 coins 0.35x 2026-11-04 21:32 UTC [Glock-18 | Emerald (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-emerald-well-worn) [tashud](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/tashud) $355 507 coins $165 235 coins 0.46x 2026-11-04 21:32 UTC [★ Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4) knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-doppler-factory-new-phase-4) Hidden $355 507 coins $376 537 coins 1.06x 2026-11-04 21:31 UTC [StatTrak™ AK-47 | Neon Rider (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-neon-rider-minimal-wear) [tashud](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/tashud) $355 507 coins $165 235 coins 0.46x 2026-11-04 21:31 UTC [★ Karambit | Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-case-hardened-battle-scarred) Hidden $355 507 coins $616 880 coins 1.74x 2026-11-04 21:29 UTC [AK-47 | Jet Set (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-jet-set-field-tested) [tashud](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/tashud) $355 507 coins $327 467 coins 0.92x 2026-11-04 21:29 UTC [★ Ursus Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) Hidden $355 507 coins $122 175 coins 0.35x 2026-11-04 21:28 UTC [★ Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4) knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-doppler-factory-new-phase-4) [tashud](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/tashud) $355 507 coins $376 537 coins 1.06x 2026-11-04 21:28 UTC [Sir Bloody Miami Darryl | The Professionals agent · master](https://gambatracker.com/items/sir-bloody-miami-darryl-the-professionals) Hidden $355 507 coins $66.23 94.62 coins 0.19x 2026-11-04 21:27 UTC [StatTrak™ AK-47 | Neon Rider (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-neon-rider-minimal-wear) [tashud](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/tashud) $355 507 coins $165 235 coins 0.46x 2026-11-04 21:27 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $353 | 90.91% | 21 | | 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $353 | 90.91% | 21 | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $355 | 90.91% | 21 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed legendary 0.3% high 0.7% covert 51.0% extraordinary 14.4% epic 0.8% classified 6.5% restricted 7.0% master 19.4% best hit $616 (1.74x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.91 on average: an expected loss of $9.09 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt