--- title: "Profit Palace case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Profit Palace ($26.66) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.91% from 20 items with odds, observed 91.36% over 3,040 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/profit-palace rendered: 2026-11-11T19:32Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Profit Palace](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/profit-palace) # [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Profit Palace A case on CSGORoll (25%), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/profit-palace?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/profit-palace?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/profit-palace) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/profit-palace?window=all) Price · $26.66 · 38.08 coins Advertised RTP · 90.91% · EV $24.23 from 20 items Observed RTP, 30d · 91.36% · 3,040 openings, odds method Variance · 1.9× · of price², per opening Tail share · 13.5% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 75.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 95.77% ±15.54 310 openings 7 days · 92.81% ±5.27 2,669 openings 30 days · 91.36% ±4.93 3,040 openings since tracking started · 91.36% ±4.93 3,040 openings 79.5% 95.8% 112.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/profit-palace?window=24h) | 310 | 95.77% ±15.5 | +0.6σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/profit-palace?window=7d) | 2,669 | 92.81% ±5.27 | +0.7σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/profit-palace) | 3,040 | 91.36% ±4.93 | +0.2σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/profit-palace?window=all) | 3,040 | 91.36% ±4.93 | +0.2σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 20 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 3,042 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Souvenir AK-47 \| Gold Arabesque (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ak-47-gold-arabesque-well-worn) | 1 in 10,000 | $963 1,376 coins | 0.4% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Golden Coil (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-golden-coil-factory-new) | 1 in 2,500 | $320 457 coins | 0.5% | 2 | 1.2 | 1.64× | | [★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-stiletto-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $272 388 coins | 0.6% | 1 | 1.5 | 0.66× | | [★ Flip Knife \| Lore (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-lore-factory-new) | 1 in 500 | $235 336 coins | 1.9% | 6 | 6.1 | 0.99× | | [Souvenir SSG 08 \| Death Strike (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ssg-08-death-strike-minimal-wear) | 1 in 167 | $194 277 coins | 4.8% | 18 | 18.3 | 0.99× | | [Desert Eagle \| Golden Koi (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-golden-koi-factory-new) | 1 in 250 | $174 248 coins | 2.9% | 10 | 12.2 | 0.82× | | [★ Huntsman Knife \| Lore (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-lore-factory-new) | 1 in 125 | $130 185 coins | 4.3% | 41 | 24.3 | 1.68× | | [StatTrak™ Galil AR \| Chatterbox (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-galil-ar-chatterbox-well-worn) | 1 in 111 | $118 169 coins | 4.4% | 19 | 27.4 | 0.69× | | [Sticker \| Team Dignitas (Foil) \| Cologne 2016 sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-dignitas-foil-cologne-2016) | 1 in 100 | $114 163 coins | 4.7% | 28 | 30.4 | 0.92× | | [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Chantico's Fire (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-chanticos-fire-battle-scarred) | 1 in 67 | $104 148 coins | 6.4% | 41 | 45.6 | 0.90× | | [Sticker \| shox (Gold) \| Katowice 2019 sticker · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-shox-gold-katowice-2019) | 1 in 50 | $98.00 140 coins | 8.1% | 54 | 60.8 | 0.89× | | [★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife \| Lore (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bowie-knife-lore-battle-scarred) | 1 in 40 | $84.00 120 coins | 8.7% | 77 | 76.0 | 1.01× | | [★ Navaja Knife \| Case Hardened (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-case-hardened-well-worn) | 1 in 29 | $66.68 95.26 coins | 9.6% | 114 | 106.5 | 1.07× | | [MAC-10 \| Gold Brick (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-gold-brick-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $50.87 72.67 coins | 6.3% | 96 | 91.3 | 1.05× | | [★ Shadow Daggers \| Lore (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-lore-battle-scarred) | 1 in 25 | $45.06 64.37 coins | 7.4% | 124 | 121.7 | 1.02× | | [★ Driver Gloves \| Overtake (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-overtake-well-worn) | 1 in 22 | $39.98 57.12 coins | 7.4% | 142 | 136.9 | 1.04× | | [Desert Eagle \| Heirloom (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-heirloom-minimal-wear) | 17.5% | $9.34 13.34 coins | 6.7% | 546 | 532.4 | 1.03× | | [Sticker \| Team Spirit (Gold) \| Copenhagen 2024 sticker · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-spirit-gold-copenhagen-2024) | 17.5% | $8.44 12.06 coins | 6.1% | 554 | 532.4 | 1.04× | | [UMP-45 \| Gold Bismuth (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-gold-bismuth-minimal-wear) | 20.0% | $5.52 7.89 coins | 4.6% | 578 | 608.4 | 0.95× | | [Sticker \| Virtus.Pro (Gold) \| Stockholm 2021 sticker · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-virtus-pro-gold-stockholm-2021) | 20.0% | $5.06 7.23 coins | 4.2% | 591 | 608.4 | 0.97× | Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 14:28 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=profit-palace) [Sticker | Team Spirit (Gold) | Copenhagen 2024 sticker · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-spirit-gold-copenhagen-2024) Hidden $26.66 38.08 coins $8.44 12.06 coins 0.32x 2026-11-11 19:12 UTC [★ Shadow Daggers | Lore (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-lore-battle-scarred) Hidden $26.66 38.08 coins $45.06 64.37 coins 1.69x 2026-11-11 19:06 UTC [Sticker | Virtus.Pro (Gold) | Stockholm 2021 sticker · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-virtus-pro-gold-stockholm-2021) Hidden $26.66 38.08 coins $5.06 7.23 coins 0.19x 2026-11-11 19:06 UTC [Desert Eagle | Heirloom (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-heirloom-minimal-wear) Hidden $26.66 38.08 coins $9.34 13.34 coins 0.35x 2026-11-11 19:06 UTC [UMP-45 | Gold Bismuth (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-gold-bismuth-minimal-wear) [EJma](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/EJma) $26.66 38.08 coins $5.52 7.89 coins 0.21x 2026-11-11 19:02 UTC [Sticker | Team Spirit (Gold) | Copenhagen 2024 sticker · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-spirit-gold-copenhagen-2024) Hidden $26.66 38.08 coins $8.44 12.06 coins 0.32x 2026-11-11 19:02 UTC [UMP-45 | Gold Bismuth (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-gold-bismuth-minimal-wear) Hidden $26.66 38.08 coins $5.52 7.89 coins 0.21x 2026-11-11 18:57 UTC [★ Shadow Daggers | Lore (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-lore-battle-scarred) Hidden $26.66 38.08 coins $45.06 64.37 coins 1.69x 2026-11-11 18:38 UTC [Sticker | Team Spirit (Gold) | Copenhagen 2024 sticker · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-spirit-gold-copenhagen-2024) Hidden $26.66 38.08 coins $8.44 12.06 coins 0.32x 2026-11-11 18:35 UTC [Sticker | Virtus.Pro (Gold) | Stockholm 2021 sticker · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-virtus-pro-gold-stockholm-2021) Hidden $26.66 38.08 coins $5.06 7.23 coins 0.19x 2026-11-11 18:24 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $26.66 | 90.91% | 20 | | 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $27.02 | 90.91% | 20 | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $27.09 | 90.92% | 20 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 13.9% classified 0.6% exotic 1.0% extraordinary 44.0% restricted 40.5% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.91 on average: an expected loss of $9.09 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt