--- title: "Pushups case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Pushups ($108.12) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.91% from 23 items with odds, observed 93.78% over 57 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/pushups rendered: 2026-11-11T13:25Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Pushups](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/pushups) # [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Pushups A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/pushups?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/pushups?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/pushups) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/pushups?window=all) Price · $108.12 · 154 coins Advertised RTP · 90.91% · EV $98.29 from 23 items Observed RTP, 30d · 93.78% · 57 openings, odds method Variance · 2.5× · of price², per opening Tail share · 16.8% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 82.5% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 53 openings · below min 30 days · 57 openings · below min since tracking started · 57 openings · below min 52.0% 95.0% 138.0% **Small sample.** 57 openings and 9.6 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/pushups?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/pushups?window=7d) | 53 | 94.90% ±42.5 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/pushups) | 57 | 93.78% ±41.0 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/pushups?window=all) | 57 | 93.78% ±41.0 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 23 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 57 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Specialist Gloves \| Crimson Kimono (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-crimson-kimono-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $12K 17,180 coins | 1.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Skeleton Knife \| Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $1,921 2,745 coins | 1.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 400 | $1,525 2,179 coins | 3.9% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Ursus Knife \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-ruby) | 1 in 1,000 | $624 891 coins | 0.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Bayonet \| Autotronic (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-autotronic-factory-new) | 1 in 333 | $536 766 coins | 1.6% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [Desert Eagle \| Sunset Storm 弐 (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-sunset-storm-factory-new-2) | 1 in 77 | $412 589 coins | 5.5% | 1 | 0.7 | — | | [SSG 08 \| Dragonfire (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-dragonfire-factory-new) | 1 in 11 | $286 409 coins | 26.2% | 7 | 5.1 | 1.36× | | [★ Navaja Knife \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-ruby) | 1 in 200 | $260 372 coins | 1.3% | 2 | 0.3 | — | | [USP-S \| Target Acquired (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-target-acquired-field-tested) | 1 in 43 | $210 300 coins | 4.9% | 2 | 1.3 | 1.53× | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Red Laminate (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-red-laminate-field-tested) | 1 in 33 | $141 202 coins | 4.3% | 0 | 1.7 | 0.00× | | [★ Classic Knife \| Crimson Web (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/classic-knife-crimson-web-well-worn) | 1 in 143 | $123 176 coins | 0.9% | 0 | 0.4 | — | | [★ Survival Knife \| Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-crimson-web-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $106 151 coins | 1.1% | 1 | 0.6 | — | | [AK-47 \| Bloodsport (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-bloodsport-well-worn) | 1 in 26 | $105 150 coins | 4.1% | 1 | 2.2 | 0.46× | | [AK-47 \| The Empress (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-empress-minimal-wear) | 1 in 22 | $101 144 coins | 4.6% | 3 | 2.6 | 1.17× | | [★ Huntsman Knife \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-crimson-web-field-tested) | 1 in 57 | $98.70 141 coins | 1.8% | 1 | 1.0 | — | | [FAMAS \| Styx (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-styx-factory-new) | 23.7% | $98.00 140 coins | 23.7% | 11 | 13.5 | 0.81× | | [★ Gut Knife \| Autotronic (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-autotronic-well-worn) | 1 in 50 | $77.70 111 coins | 1.6% | 1 | 1.1 | 0.88× | | [★ Shadow Daggers \| Crimson Web (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-crimson-web-well-worn) | 1 in 37 | $65.53 93.61 coins | 1.8% | 1 | 1.5 | 0.65× | | [AWP \| Wildfire (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-wildfire-field-tested) | 1 in 25 | $40.04 57.2 coins | 1.6% | 1 | 2.3 | 0.44× | | [M4A1-S \| Decimator (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-decimator-factory-new) | 1 in 14 | $36.97 52.82 coins | 2.6% | 5 | 4.0 | 1.25× | | [SCAR-20 \| Crimson Web (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-crimson-web-factory-new) | 12.0% | $25.05 35.78 coins | 3.1% | 6 | 6.8 | 0.88× | | [M4A1-S \| Atomic Alloy (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-atomic-alloy-well-worn) | 1 in 20 | $23.86 34.08 coins | 1.2% | 5 | 2.8 | 1.75× | | [P90 \| Sunset Lily (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-sunset-lily-minimal-wear) | 15.0% | $9.55 13.64 coins | 1.5% | 9 | 8.5 | 1.05× | Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=pushups) [SCAR-20 | Crimson Web (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-crimson-web-factory-new) Hidden $108 154 coins $25.05 35.78 coins 0.23x 2026-11-10 03:28 UTC [FAMAS | Styx (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-styx-factory-new) Hidden $108 154 coins $98.00 140 coins 0.91x 2026-11-10 03:28 UTC [★ Survival Knife | Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-crimson-web-minimal-wear) Hidden $108 154 coins $106 151 coins 0.98x 2026-11-10 03:28 UTC [SCAR-20 | Crimson Web (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-crimson-web-factory-new) Hidden $108 154 coins $25.05 35.78 coins 0.23x 2026-11-10 03:28 UTC [FAMAS | Styx (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-styx-factory-new) Hidden $108 154 coins $98.00 140 coins 0.91x 2026-11-10 03:28 UTC [FAMAS | Styx (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-styx-factory-new) [IDKas](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/IDKas) $108 154 coins $98.00 140 coins 0.91x 2026-11-10 03:28 UTC [AK-47 | The Empress (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-empress-minimal-wear) Hidden $108 154 coins $101 144 coins 0.93x 2026-11-10 03:25 UTC [★ Navaja Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-ruby) Hidden $108 154 coins $260 372 coins 2.41x 2026-11-10 03:25 UTC [AK-47 | The Empress (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-empress-minimal-wear) Hidden $108 154 coins $101 144 coins 0.93x 2026-11-10 03:25 UTC [M4A1-S | Decimator (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-decimator-factory-new) [IDKas](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/IDKas) $108 154 coins $36.97 52.82 coins 0.34x 2026-11-10 03:25 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $108 | 90.91% | 23 | | 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $108 | 90.91% | 23 | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $110 | 90.91% | 23 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed extraordinary 0.0% legendary 0.1% covert 30.6% restricted 25.0% classified 17.3% mil spec 12.0% industrial 15.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.91 on average: an expected loss of $9.09 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt