--- title: "Quantum Leap case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Quantum Leap ($10.16) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.88% from 12 items with odds, observed 88.94% over 19.1K openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/quantum-leap rendered: 2026-11-11T13:51Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Quantum Leap](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/quantum-leap) # [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Quantum Leap A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/quantum-leap?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/quantum-leap?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/quantum-leap) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/quantum-leap?window=all) Price · $10.16 · 14.51 coins Advertised RTP · 90.88% · EV $9.23 from 12 items Observed RTP, 30d · 88.94% · 19.1K openings, odds method Variance · 33.7× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 61 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 97.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 86.92% ±25.22 2,035 openings 7 days · 90.61% ±8.91 16.3K openings 30 days · 88.94% ±8.22 19.1K openings since tracking started · 88.94% ±8.22 19.1K openings 61.0% 87.0% 113.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/quantum-leap?window=24h) | 2,035 | 86.92% ±25.2 | −0.3σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/quantum-leap?window=7d) | 16.3K | 90.61% ±8.91 | −0.1σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/quantum-leap) | 19.1K | 88.94% ±8.22 | −0.5σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/quantum-leap?window=all) | 19.1K | 88.94% ±8.22 | −0.5σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 19.1K openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Karambit \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4) knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-factory-new-phase-4) | 1 in 2,000 | $1,212 1,732 coins | 6.6% | 5 | 9.6 | 0.52× | | [★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 2) StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-stiletto-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-phase-2) | 1 in 1,000 | $617 882 coins | 6.7% | 22 | 19.1 | 1.15× | | [AWP \| Lightning Strike (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-lightning-strike-factory-new) | 1 in 667 | $440 628 coins | 7.1% | 21 | 28.7 | 0.73× | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Lore (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-lore-field-tested) | 1 in 667 | $414 591 coins | 6.7% | 40 | 28.7 | 1.39× | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Case Hardened (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-case-hardened-field-tested) | 1 in 400 | $414 591 coins | 11.2% | 50 | 47.9 | 1.04× | | [★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3) StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-flip-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-3) | 1 in 500 | $400 571 coins | 8.7% | 37 | 38.3 | 0.97× | | [MP9 \| Bulldozer (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-bulldozer-minimal-wear) | 1 in 133 | $262 374 coins | 21.3% | 157 | 143.6 | 1.09× | | [★ Classic Knife \| Fade (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/classic-knife-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 200 | $236 337 coins | 12.8% | 87 | 95.7 | 0.91× | | [Sticker \| steel (Gold) \| Krakow 2017 sticker · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-steel-gold-krakow-2017) | 1 in 286 | $218 312 coins | 8.3% | 43 | 67.0 | 0.64× | | [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Hellfire (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-hellfire-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $195 279 coins | 10.6% | 105 | 95.7 | 1.10× | | [PP-Bizon \| Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-field-tested) | 47.0% | $0.01 0.02 coins | 0.1% | 9,095 | 8999.6 | 1.01× | | [MP9 \| Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-field-tested) | 50.0% | \<$0.01 0.01 coins | 0.0% | 9,486 | 9574.0 | 0.99× | Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Karambit | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4) knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-factory-new-phase-4) Hidden $10.32 14.74 coins $1,224 1,748 coins 118.6x 2026-11-08 12:35 UTC [★ Karambit | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4) knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-factory-new-phase-4) [FreddyCX](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/FreddyCX) $10.32 14.74 coins $1,224 1,748 coins 118.6x 2026-11-07 00:18 UTC [★ Karambit | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4) knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-factory-new-phase-4) Hidden $10.32 14.74 coins $1,224 1,748 coins 118.6x 2026-11-07 00:11 UTC [★ Karambit | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4) knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-factory-new-phase-4) Hidden $10.32 14.74 coins $1,224 1,748 coins 118.6x 2026-11-06 20:48 UTC [★ Karambit | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4) knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-factory-new-phase-4) Hidden $10.32 14.74 coins $1,224 1,748 coins 118.6x 2026-11-06 09:49 UTC [★ Karambit | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4) knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-factory-new-phase-4) Hidden $10.32 14.74 coins $1,224 1,748 coins 118.6x 2026-11-03 00:08 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 2) StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-stiletto-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-phase-2) Hidden $10.32 14.74 coins $620 885 coins 60.04x 2026-11-08 05:25 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 2) StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-stiletto-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-phase-2) Hidden $10.32 14.74 coins $620 885 coins 60.04x 2026-11-07 18:31 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 2) StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-stiletto-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-phase-2) Hidden $10.32 14.74 coins $620 885 coins 60.04x 2026-11-07 18:17 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 2) StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-stiletto-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-phase-2) [Connor Kelly](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Connor%20Kelly) $10.32 14.74 coins $620 885 coins 60.04x 2026-11-07 06:30 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=quantum-leap) [MP9 | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $10.16 14.51 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:45 UTC [PP-Bizon | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $10.16 14.51 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:45 UTC [MP9 | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-field-tested) [Eminescu](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Eminescu) $10.16 14.51 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:45 UTC [MP9 | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $10.16 14.51 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:43 UTC [MP9 | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $10.16 14.51 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:43 UTC [MP9 | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-field-tested) [Eminescu](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Eminescu) $10.16 14.51 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:43 UTC [PP-Bizon | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $10.16 14.51 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:38 UTC [MP9 | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-field-tested) [Eminescu](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Eminescu) $10.16 14.51 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:38 UTC [MP9 | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $10.16 14.51 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:38 UTC [PP-Bizon | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $10.16 14.51 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:38 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $10.16 | 90.88% | 12 | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $10.32 | 90.93% | 12 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 1.1% classified 0.8% restricted 0.8% extraordinary 0.4% consumer 97.0% best hit $1,224 (118.6x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.88 on average: an expected loss of $9.12 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt