--- title: "Quarantine case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Quarantine ($6.69) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.92% from 23 items with odds, observed 84.10% over 6,775 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/quarantine rendered: 2026-11-11T13:47Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Quarantine](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/quarantine) # [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Quarantine A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/quarantine?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/quarantine?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/quarantine) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/quarantine?window=all) Price · $6.69 · 9.55 coins Advertised RTP · 90.92% · EV $6.08 from 23 items Observed RTP, 30d · 84.10% · 6,775 openings, odds method Variance · 6.3× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 22 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 84.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 67.12% ±25.80 362 openings 7 days · 84.58% ±6.73 5,394 openings 30 days · 84.10% ±6.00 6,775 openings since tracking started · 84.10% ±6.00 6,775 openings 40.5% 67.0% 93.5% **Outside band, 30 days.** Advertised 90.94% sits outside the 95% band of the observed openings (78.10% – 90.10%, 6,775 openings, 30 days). The band comes from the site's own odds and values; the figure is a fact about these openings, not a verdict on the case. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/quarantine?window=24h) | 362 | 67.12% ±25.8 | −1.8σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/quarantine?window=7d) | 5,394 | 84.58% ±6.73 | −1.9σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/quarantine) | 6,775 | 84.10% ±6.00 | −2.2σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/quarantine?window=all) | 6,775 | 84.10% ±6.00 | −2.2σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 23 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 6,784 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AWP \| Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-asiimov-field-tested) | 1 in 200 | $102 145 coins | 8.4% | 27 | 33.9 | 0.80× | | [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Mecha Industries (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-mecha-industries-well-worn) | 1 in 125 | $91.70 131 coins | 12.1% | 46 | 54.3 | 0.85× | | [USP-S \| Overgrowth (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-overgrowth-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $78.40 112 coins | 6.4% | 29 | 33.9 | 0.85× | | [M4A4 \| Hellfire (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-hellfire-well-worn) | 1 in 111 | $70.70 101 coins | 10.5% | 62 | 61.1 | 1.02× | | [★ Bowie Knife \| Autotronic (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-autotronic-battle-scarred) | 1 in 200 | $65.49 93.55 coins | 5.4% | 27 | 33.9 | 0.80× | | [Desert Eagle \| Ocean Drive (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-ocean-drive-field-tested) | 1 in 77 | $59.09 84.41 coins | 12.6% | 79 | 88.2 | 0.90× | | [★ Gut Knife knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife) | 1 in 200 | $54.89 78.42 coins | 4.5% | 32 | 33.9 | 0.94× | | [★ Hand Wraps \| Desert Shamagh (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-desert-shamagh-minimal-wear) | 1 in 200 | $54.74 78.2 coins | 4.5% | 32 | 33.9 | 0.94× | | [AWP \| Redline (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-redline-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $33.31 47.59 coins | 5.5% | 68 | 67.8 | 1.00× | | [Desert Eagle \| Conspiracy (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-conspiracy-minimal-wear) | 1 in 50 | $18.82 26.88 coins | 6.2% | 147 | 135.7 | 1.08× | | [M4A1-S \| Moss Quartz (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-moss-quartz-field-tested) | 1 in 87 | $15.83 22.62 coins | 3.0% | 60 | 78.0 | 0.77× | | [Glock-18 \| Reactor (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-reactor-battle-scarred) | 1 in 33 | $9.83 14.04 coins | 4.9% | 204 | 203.5 | 1.00× | | [StatTrak™ Galil AR \| Blue Titanium (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-galil-ar-blue-titanium-factory-new) | 1 in 67 | $9.23 13.18 coins | 2.3% | 90 | 101.8 | 0.88× | | [Tec-9 \| Bamboo Forest (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-bamboo-forest-minimal-wear) | 1 in 56 | $7.34 10.48 coins | 2.2% | 126 | 122.1 | 1.03× | | [UMP-45 \| Bone Pile (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-bone-pile-minimal-wear) | 1 in 40 | $4.29 6.13 coins | 1.8% | 168 | 169.6 | 0.99× | | [PP-Bizon \| Water Sigil (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-water-sigil-factory-new) | 1 in 25 | $3.11 4.45 coins | 2.1% | 270 | 271.4 | 0.99× | | [P2000 \| Red FragCam (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-red-fragcam-minimal-wear) | 1 in 17 | $2.72 3.88 coins | 2.7% | 419 | 407.0 | 1.03× | | [PP-Bizon \| Osiris (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-osiris-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $2.34 3.34 coins | 1.9% | 365 | 339.2 | 1.08× | | [Dual Berettas \| Stained (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-stained-factory-new) | 1 in 13 | $0.45 0.64 coins | 0.6% | 545 | 542.7 | 1.00× | | [MP9 \| Bioleak (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-bioleak-factory-new) | 15.0% | $0.45 0.64 coins | 1.1% | 982 | 1017.6 | 0.97× | | [M4A1-S \| Boreal Forest (Minimal Wear) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-boreal-forest-minimal-wear) | 19.1% | $0.24 0.35 coins | 0.8% | 1,341 | 1292.4 | 1.04× | | [CZ75-Auto \| Tuxedo (Well-Worn) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-tuxedo-well-worn) | 1 in 15 | $0.19 0.27 coins | 0.2% | 451 | 441.0 | 1.02× | | [USP-S \| Night Ops (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-night-ops-battle-scarred) | 18.0% | $0.19 0.27 coins | 0.6% | 1,214 | 1221.1 | 0.99× | Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=quarantine) [USP-S | Night Ops (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-night-ops-battle-scarred) Hidden $6.69 9.55 coins $0.19 0.27 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 13:39 UTC [MP9 | Bioleak (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-bioleak-factory-new) [Terroristi](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Terroristi) $6.69 9.55 coins $0.45 0.64 coins 0.07x 2026-11-11 13:39 UTC [USP-S | Night Ops (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-night-ops-battle-scarred) Hidden $6.69 9.55 coins $0.19 0.27 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 13:39 UTC [USP-S | Night Ops (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-night-ops-battle-scarred) Hidden $6.69 9.55 coins $0.19 0.27 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 13:39 UTC [StatTrak™ Galil AR | Blue Titanium (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-galil-ar-blue-titanium-factory-new) Hidden $6.69 9.55 coins $9.23 13.18 coins 1.38x 2026-11-11 13:39 UTC [Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-conspiracy-minimal-wear) [Reettaonläski](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Reettaonl%C3%A4ski) $6.69 9.55 coins $18.82 26.88 coins 2.81x 2026-11-11 13:39 UTC [CZ75-Auto | Tuxedo (Well-Worn) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-tuxedo-well-worn) Hidden $6.69 9.55 coins $0.19 0.27 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 13:25 UTC [M4A1-S | Boreal Forest (Minimal Wear) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-boreal-forest-minimal-wear) Hidden $6.69 9.55 coins $0.24 0.35 coins 0.04x 2026-11-11 13:25 UTC [CZ75-Auto | Tuxedo (Well-Worn) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-tuxedo-well-worn) Hidden $6.69 9.55 coins $0.19 0.27 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 13:25 UTC [Dual Berettas | Stained (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-stained-factory-new) [Reettaonläski](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Reettaonl%C3%A4ski) $6.69 9.55 coins $0.45 0.64 coins 0.07x 2026-11-11 13:25 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC | $6.69 | 90.92% | 23 | | 10 Nov, 02:14 UTC | $6.71 | 90.87% | 23 | | 9 Nov, 01:53 UTC | $6.71 | 90.89% | 23 | | 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $6.71 | 90.92% | 23 | | 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $6.78 | 90.89% | 23 | | 8 Nov, 11:27 UTC | $6.79 | 90.95% | 23 | | 6 Nov, 22:57 UTC | $6.78 | 90.92% | 23 | | 5 Nov, 22:45 UTC | $6.78 | 90.91% | 23 | | 5 Nov, 10:39 UTC | $6.78 | 90.94% | 23 | | 3 Nov, 22:41 UTC | $6.78 | 90.94% | 23 | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $6.79 | 90.93% | 23 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 3.6% restricted 5.5% classified 3.9% extraordinary 0.5% industrial 9.2% mil spec 41.5% consumer 1.8% Rare 15.0% Uncommon 19.1% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.92 on average: an expected loss of $9.08 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt