---
title: "Quickdraw case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Quickdraw ($11.03) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.88% from 15 items with odds, observed 92.47% over 2,162 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/quickdraw
rendered: 2026-11-11T14:38Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Quickdraw](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/quickdraw)

# [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Quickdraw

A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/quickdraw?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/quickdraw?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/quickdraw) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/quickdraw?window=all)

Price · $11.03 · 15.76 coins

Advertised RTP · 90.88% · EV $10.03 from 15 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 92.47% · 2,162 openings, odds method

Variance · 2.2× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 33.0% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 64.5% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 88.44% ±19.03 233 openings

7 days · 93.96% ±6.62 1,912 openings

30 days · 92.47% ±6.21 2,162 openings

since tracking started · 92.47% ±6.21 2,162 openings

69.0% 88.5% 108.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/quickdraw?window=24h) | 233 | 88.44% ±19.0 | −0.3σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/quickdraw?window=7d) | 1,912 | 93.96% ±6.62 | +0.9σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/quickdraw) | 2,162 | 92.47% ±6.21 | +0.5σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/quickdraw?window=all) | 2,162 | 92.47% ±6.21 | +0.5σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 15 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 2,162 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [StatTrak™ Five-SeveN \| Hyper Beast (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-hyper-beast-field-tested) | 1 in 286 | $209 298 coins | 7.3% | 7 | 7.6 | 0.93× |
| [Glock-18 \| Wasteland Rebel (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-wasteland-rebel-factory-new) | 1 in 222 | $110 157 coins | 4.9% | 12 | 9.7 | 1.23× |
| [USP-S \| Kill Confirmed (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-kill-confirmed-minimal-wear) | 1 in 667 | $94.50 135 coins | 1.4% | 1 | 3.2 | 0.31× |
| [P250 \| Digital Architect (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-digital-architect-battle-scarred) | 1 in 100 | $37.61 53.73 coins | 3.8% | 15 | 21.6 | 0.69× |
| [USP-S \| Road Rash (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-road-rash-field-tested) | 1 in 125 | $30.23 43.18 coins | 2.4% | 27 | 17.3 | 1.56× |
| [StatTrak™ Five-SeveN \| Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-case-hardened-minimal-wear) | 1 in 182 | $27.74 39.63 coins | 1.5% | 11 | 11.9 | 0.93× |
| [P2000 \| Coach Class (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-coach-class-factory-new) | 1 in 40 | $23.24 33.2 coins | 5.8% | 68 | 54.1 | 1.26× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Yellow Jacket (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-yellow-jacket-factory-new) | 1 in 45 | $20.01 28.59 coins | 4.4% | 47 | 47.6 | 0.99× |
| [P2000 \| Woodsman (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-woodsman-well-worn) | 1 in 20 | $19.62 28.03 coins | 9.8% | 110 | 108.1 | 1.02× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Fowl Play (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-fowl-play-field-tested) | 20.0% | $18.16 25.94 coins | 36.2% | 441 | 432.4 | 1.02× |
| [StatTrak™ P2000 \| Imperial Dragon (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p2000-imperial-dragon-minimal-wear) | 1 in 40 | $11.75 16.79 coins | 2.9% | 60 | 54.1 | 1.11× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Copper Galaxy (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-copper-galaxy-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20 | $10.79 15.42 coins | 5.4% | 87 | 108.1 | 0.80× |
| [StatTrak™ P2000 \| Acid Etched (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p2000-acid-etched-factory-new) | 1 in 13 | $6.38 9.11 coins | 5.1% | 176 | 173.0 | 1.02× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Marina (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-marina-well-worn) | 11.5% | $3.69 5.27 coins | 4.2% | 254 | 248.6 | 1.02× |
| [R8 Revolver \| Canal Spray (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-canal-spray-battle-scarred) | 40.0% | $1.22 1.74 coins | 4.9% | 846 | 864.8 | 0.98× |

Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 14:28 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=quickdraw)

[R8 Revolver | Canal Spray (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-canal-spray-battle-scarred) Hidden $11.03 15.76 coins $1.22 1.74 coins 0.11x 2026-11-11 14:17 UTC

[R8 Revolver | Canal Spray (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-canal-spray-battle-scarred) Hidden $11.03 15.76 coins $1.22 1.74 coins 0.11x 2026-11-11 14:17 UTC

[StatTrak™ P2000 | Acid Etched (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p2000-acid-etched-factory-new) Hidden $11.03 15.76 coins $6.38 9.11 coins 0.58x 2026-11-11 14:17 UTC

[USP-S | Kill Confirmed (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-kill-confirmed-minimal-wear) Hidden $11.03 15.76 coins $94.50 135 coins 8.57x 2026-11-11 14:17 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-fowl-play-field-tested) Hidden $11.03 15.76 coins $18.16 25.94 coins 1.65x 2026-11-11 14:17 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-fowl-play-field-tested) [Karlberg](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Karlberg) $11.03 15.76 coins $18.16 25.94 coins 1.65x 2026-11-11 14:17 UTC

[R8 Revolver | Canal Spray (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-canal-spray-battle-scarred) Hidden $11.03 15.76 coins $1.22 1.74 coins 0.11x 2026-11-11 14:11 UTC

[Dual Berettas | Marina (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-marina-well-worn) Hidden $11.03 15.76 coins $3.69 5.27 coins 0.33x 2026-11-11 14:11 UTC

[R8 Revolver | Canal Spray (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-canal-spray-battle-scarred) [CekoS](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/CekoS) $11.03 15.76 coins $1.22 1.74 coins 0.11x 2026-11-11 14:11 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-fowl-play-field-tested) Hidden $11.03 15.76 coins $18.16 25.94 coins 1.65x 2026-11-11 14:11 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 10 Nov, 02:14 UTC | $11.03 | 90.88% | 15 |
| 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $10.98 | 90.91% | 15 |
| 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $11.14 | 90.90% | 15 |
| 6 Nov, 22:57 UTC | $11.16 | 90.88% | 15 |
| 3 Nov, 22:41 UTC | $11.17 | 90.92% | 15 |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $11.33 | 90.89% | 15 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 0.9% restricted 31.9% industrial 2.5% classified 24.7% consumer 40.0% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.88 on average: an expected loss of $9.12 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt