---
title: "Rambo case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Rambo ($56.76) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.91% from 19 items with odds, observed 85.98% over 159 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/rambo
rendered: 2026-11-11T14:06Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Rambo](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/rambo)

# [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Rambo

A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/rambo?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/rambo?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/rambo) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/rambo?window=all)

Price · $56.76 · 81.08 coins

Advertised RTP · 90.91% · EV $51.60 from 19 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 85.98% · 159 openings, odds method

Variance · 2.7× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 14.1% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 74.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 8 openings · below min

7 days · 81.68% ±25.73 151 openings

30 days · 85.98% ±25.06 159 openings

since tracking started · 85.98% ±25.06 159 openings

-0.5% 77.0% 154.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/rambo?window=24h) | 8 | 40.73% ±113.0 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/rambo?window=7d) | 151 | 81.68% ±25.7 | −0.7σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/rambo) | 159 | 85.98% ±25.1 | −0.4σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/rambo?window=all) | 159 | 85.98% ±25.1 | −0.4σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 19 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 159 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2) StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new-phase-2) | 1 in 500 | $1,100 1,572 coins | 4.3% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-crimson-web-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,000 | $743 1,061 coins | 1.4% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Survival Knife \| Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 333 | $511 730 coins | 3.0% | 1 | 0.5 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife \| Safari Mesh (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-survival-knife-safari-mesh-factory-new) | 1 in 80 | $493 704 coins | 11.9% | 2 | 2.0 | 1.01× |
| [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Black Laminate (Well-Worn) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-black-laminate-well-worn) | 1 in 133 | $384 549 coins | 5.6% | 2 | 1.2 | 1.68× |
| [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Damascus Steel (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-damascus-steel-battle-scarred) | 1 in 100 | $358 512 coins | 6.9% | 1 | 1.6 | 0.63× |
| [★ Survival Knife \| Forest DDPAT (Factory New) knife · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-forest-ddpat-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $160 229 coins | 6.2% | 2 | 3.2 | 0.63× |
| [★ Survival Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 67 | $111 159 coins | 3.2% | 3 | 2.4 | 1.26× |
| [AK-47 \| Predator (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-predator-factory-new) | 1 in 14 | $77.70 111 coins | 10.5% | 7 | 11.1 | 0.63× |
| [Primeiro Tenente \| Brazilian 1st Battalion agent · distinguished](https://gambatracker.com/items/primeiro-tenente-brazilian-1st-battalion) | 11.9% | $58.23 83.18 coins | 13.4% | 13 | 18.9 | 0.69× |
| [★ Broken Fang Gloves \| Unhinged (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/broken-fang-gloves-unhinged-battle-scarred) | 1 in 25 | $47.36 67.65 coins | 3.7% | 9 | 6.4 | 1.42× |
| [★ Survival Knife \| Night Stripe (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-night-stripe-field-tested) | 1 in 40 | $45.97 65.67 coins | 2.2% | 5 | 4.0 | 1.26× |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Forest DDPAT (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-forest-ddpat-field-tested) | 1 in 29 | $44.56 63.65 coins | 3.0% | 7 | 5.6 | 1.26× |
| [AK-47 \| Black Laminate (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-black-laminate-field-tested) | 1 in 11 | $34.52 49.31 coins | 6.0% | 16 | 14.3 | 1.12× |
| [Trapper \| Guerrilla Warfare agent · exceptional](https://gambatracker.com/items/trapper-guerrilla-warfare) | 16.0% | $27.05 38.65 coins | 8.4% | 29 | 25.4 | 1.14× |
| [★ Hydra Gloves \| Mangrove (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hydra-gloves-mangrove-battle-scarred) | 1 in 20 | $26.67 38.1 coins | 2.6% | 11 | 8.0 | 1.38× |
| [Sticker \| Lore Poison Frog (Foil) sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-lore-poison-frog-foil) | 14.0% | $16.86 24.09 coins | 4.6% | 23 | 22.3 | 1.03× |
| [XM1014 \| Banana Leaf (Well-Worn) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-banana-leaf-well-worn) | 12.0% | $8.42 12.03 coins | 2.0% | 16 | 19.1 | 0.84× |
| [Souvenir M249 \| Gator Mesh (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-m249-gator-mesh-battle-scarred) | 1 in 13 | $6.38 9.11 coins | 1.0% | 12 | 12.7 | 0.94× |

Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ Survival Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) Hidden $56.76 81.08 coins $511 730 coins 9.00x 2026-11-09 23:16 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=rambo)

[Souvenir M249 | Gator Mesh (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-m249-gator-mesh-battle-scarred) Hidden $56.76 81.08 coins $6.38 9.11 coins 0.11x 2026-11-10 20:27 UTC

[Souvenir M249 | Gator Mesh (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-m249-gator-mesh-battle-scarred) [Russy](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Russy) $56.76 81.08 coins $6.38 9.11 coins 0.11x 2026-11-10 20:27 UTC

[Sticker | Lore Poison Frog (Foil) sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-lore-poison-frog-foil) Hidden $56.76 81.08 coins $16.86 24.09 coins 0.30x 2026-11-10 20:27 UTC

[AK-47 | Predator (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-predator-factory-new) Hidden $56.76 81.08 coins $77.70 111 coins 1.37x 2026-11-10 20:27 UTC

[Souvenir M249 | Gator Mesh (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-m249-gator-mesh-battle-scarred) Hidden $56.76 81.08 coins $6.38 9.11 coins 0.11x 2026-11-10 20:27 UTC

[★ Survival Knife | Night Stripe (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-night-stripe-field-tested) Hidden $56.76 81.08 coins $45.97 65.67 coins 0.81x 2026-11-10 20:27 UTC

[XM1014 | Banana Leaf (Well-Worn) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-banana-leaf-well-worn) Hidden $56.76 81.08 coins $8.42 12.03 coins 0.15x 2026-11-10 20:27 UTC

[Sticker | Lore Poison Frog (Foil) sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-lore-poison-frog-foil) [Russy](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Russy) $56.76 81.08 coins $16.86 24.09 coins 0.30x 2026-11-10 20:27 UTC

[Souvenir M249 | Gator Mesh (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-m249-gator-mesh-battle-scarred) Hidden $56.76 81.08 coins $6.38 9.11 coins 0.11x 2026-11-10 12:16 UTC

[★ Hydra Gloves | Mangrove (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hydra-gloves-mangrove-battle-scarred) Hidden $56.76 81.08 coins $26.67 38.1 coins 0.47x 2026-11-10 12:16 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $56.76 | 90.91% | 19 |
| 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $58.20 | 90.90% | 19 |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $58.44 | 90.91% | 19 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 10.8% legendary 0.3% rare 2.0% industrial 27.0% distinguished 11.9% extraordinary 9.0% mil spec 9.0% exceptional 16.0% exotic 14.0% best hit $511 (9.00x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.91 on average: an expected loss of $9.09 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt