--- title: "Razor sharp case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Razor sharp ($83.59) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.91% from 22 items with odds, observed 49.04% over 55 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/razor-sharp rendered: 2026-11-11T14:13Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Razor sharp](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/razor-sharp) # [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Razor sharp A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/razor-sharp?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/razor-sharp?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/razor-sharp) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/razor-sharp?window=all) Price · $83.59 · 119 coins Advertised RTP · 90.91% · EV $75.99 from 22 items Observed RTP, 30d · 49.04% · 55 openings, odds method Variance · 15.5× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 19 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 87.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 13 openings · below min 30 days · 55 openings · below min since tracking started · 55 openings · below min -0.5% 135.5% 271.5% **Small sample.** 55 openings and 3.2 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/razor-sharp?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/razor-sharp?window=7d) | 13 | 57.76% ±213.2 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/razor-sharp) | 55 | 49.04% ±104.2 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/razor-sharp?window=all) | 55 | 49.04% ±104.2 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 22 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 55 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) | 1 in 800 | $7,000 10,000 coins | 11.5% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2) knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-2) | 1 in 455 | $3,892 5,560 coins | 11.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Talon Knife \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-ruby) | 1 in 1,333 | $2,615 3,735 coins | 2.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Bayonet \| Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-emerald) | 1 in 2,000 | $1,438 2,054 coins | 0.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3) StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-talon-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-3) | 1 in 333 | $966 1,380 coins | 3.8% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [★ Stiletto Knife \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-sapphire) | 1 in 667 | $937 1,339 coins | 1.9% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Bowie Knife \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-black-pearl) | 1 in 222 | $874 1,248 coins | 5.2% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-crimson-web-minimal-wear) | 1 in 357 | $743 1,061 coins | 2.7% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [★ Talon Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 154 | $445 636 coins | 3.8% | 0 | 0.4 | — | | [★ Falchion Knife \| Slaughter (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-slaughter-field-tested) | 1 in 43 | $174 249 coins | 5.3% | 0 | 1.3 | 0.00× | | [★ Survival Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 125 | $123 176 coins | 1.3% | 1 | 0.4 | — | | [★ Huntsman Knife \| Stained (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-stained-minimal-wear) | 1 in 28 | $108 154 coins | 5.1% | 0 | 2.0 | 0.00× | | [★ Shadow Daggers \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $95.90 137 coins | 3.8% | 3 | 1.6 | 1.82× | | [★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife \| Lore (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bowie-knife-lore-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $88.20 126 coins | 1.2% | 0 | 0.6 | — | | [★ Bowie Knife \| Freehand (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-freehand-factory-new) | 1 in 56 | $72.10 103 coins | 1.7% | 2 | 1.0 | — | | [★ Ursus Knife knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife) | 1 in 77 | $64.46 92.08 coins | 1.1% | 1 | 0.7 | — | | [★ Survival Knife \| Urban Masked (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-urban-masked-minimal-wear) | 1 in 25 | $55.69 79.56 coins | 2.9% | 1 | 2.2 | 0.45× | | [★ Gut Knife \| Damascus Steel (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-damascus-steel-field-tested) | 1 in 22 | $50.59 72.27 coins | 3.0% | 3 | 2.5 | 1.21× | | [★ Navaja Knife \| Blue Steel (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-blue-steel-well-worn) | 1 in 16 | $44.56 63.65 coins | 3.8% | 5 | 3.5 | 1.42× | | [★ Specialist Gloves \| Buckshot (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-buckshot-battle-scarred) | 18.0% | $38.19 54.56 coins | 9.0% | 12 | 9.9 | 1.21× | | [★ Hydra Gloves \| Mangrove (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hydra-gloves-mangrove-field-tested) | 22.0% | $27.22 38.88 coins | 7.9% | 11 | 12.1 | 0.91× | | [★ Driver Gloves \| Racing Green (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-racing-green-field-tested) | 29.0% | $26.89 38.42 coins | 10.3% | 16 | 15.9 | 1.00× | Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=razor-sharp) [★ Bowie Knife | Freehand (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-freehand-factory-new) Hidden $83.59 119 coins $72.10 103 coins 0.86x 2026-11-10 05:18 UTC [★ Driver Gloves | Racing Green (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-racing-green-field-tested) Hidden $83.59 119 coins $26.89 38.42 coins 0.32x 2026-11-10 05:18 UTC [★ Shadow Daggers | Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-slaughter-factory-new) Hidden $83.59 119 coins $95.90 137 coins 1.15x 2026-11-10 05:18 UTC [★ Driver Gloves | Racing Green (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-racing-green-field-tested) [BeastafiedBeast](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/BeastafiedBeast) $83.59 119 coins $26.89 38.42 coins 0.32x 2026-11-10 05:18 UTC [★ Survival Knife | Urban Masked (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-urban-masked-minimal-wear) Hidden $83.59 119 coins $55.69 79.56 coins 0.67x 2026-11-10 04:03 UTC [★ Driver Gloves | Racing Green (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-racing-green-field-tested) Hidden $83.59 119 coins $26.89 38.42 coins 0.32x 2026-11-10 04:03 UTC [★ Specialist Gloves | Buckshot (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-buckshot-battle-scarred) [GAMASIAK](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/GAMASIAK) $83.59 119 coins $38.19 54.56 coins 0.46x 2026-11-10 04:03 UTC [★ Hydra Gloves | Mangrove (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hydra-gloves-mangrove-field-tested) Hidden $84.10 120 coins $27.13 38.76 coins 0.32x 2026-11-08 17:36 UTC [★ Gut Knife | Damascus Steel (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-damascus-steel-field-tested) Hidden $84.10 120 coins $52.51 75.02 coins 0.62x 2026-11-08 17:36 UTC [★ Driver Gloves | Racing Green (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-racing-green-field-tested) Hidden $84.10 120 coins $28.41 40.59 coins 0.34x 2026-11-08 17:36 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $83.59 | 90.91% | 22 | | 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $84.10 | 90.91% | 22 | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $84.41 | 90.91% | 22 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 30.3% epic 0.7% extraordinary 69.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.91 on average: an expected loss of $9.09 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt