--- title: "Recharge case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Recharge ($14.82) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.92% from 16 items with odds, observed 92.27% over 2,371 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/recharge rendered: 2026-11-11T14:58Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Recharge](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/recharge) # [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Recharge A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/recharge?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/recharge?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/recharge) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/recharge?window=all) Price · $14.82 · 21.17 coins Advertised RTP · 90.92% · EV $13.47 from 16 items Observed RTP, 30d · 92.27% · 2,371 openings, odds method Variance · 4.4× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 12 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 87.2% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 102.88% ±25.70 256 openings 7 days · 94.93% ±9.44 1,905 openings 30 days · 92.27% ±8.46 2,371 openings since tracking started · 92.27% ±8.46 2,371 openings 76.5% 102.8% 129.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/recharge?window=24h) | 256 | 102.88% ±25.7 | +0.9σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/recharge?window=7d) | 1,905 | 94.93% ±9.44 | +0.8σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/recharge) | 2,371 | 92.27% ±8.46 | +0.3σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/recharge?window=all) | 2,371 | 92.27% ±8.46 | +0.3σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 16 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 2,371 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers \| Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-shadow-daggers-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $210 300 coins | 0.2% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Asiimov (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-asiimov-battle-scarred) | 1 in 333 | $179 255 coins | 4.0% | 8 | 7.1 | 1.12× | | [★ Hand Wraps \| Cobalt Skulls (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-cobalt-skulls-field-tested) | 1 in 10,000 | $174 249 coins | 0.1% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [★ Falchion Knife \| Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-case-hardened-battle-scarred) | 1 in 500 | $133 190 coins | 2.0% | 5 | 4.7 | 1.05× | | [FAMAS \| Roll Cage (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-roll-cage-minimal-wear) | 1 in 13 | $110 157 coins | 65.3% | 193 | 189.7 | 1.02× | | [★ Moto Gloves \| Turtle (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-turtle-minimal-wear) | 1 in 10,000 | $102 145 coins | 0.1% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [P90 \| Cold Blooded (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-cold-blooded-minimal-wear) | 1 in 333 | $43.41 62.02 coins | 1.0% | 13 | 7.1 | 1.83× | | [USP-S \| Royal Blue (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-royal-blue-minimal-wear) | 1 in 33 | $21.68 30.97 coins | 4.8% | 73 | 71.1 | 1.03× | | [FAMAS \| Afterimage (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-afterimage-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $15.62 22.31 coins | 1.2% | 23 | 23.7 | 0.97× | | [CZ75-Auto \| Xiangliu (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-xiangliu-minimal-wear) | 1 in 25 | $12.11 17.3 coins | 3.6% | 90 | 94.8 | 0.95× | | [Dual Berettas \| Briar (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-briar-factory-new) | 10.0% | $7.57 10.81 coins | 5.6% | 221 | 237.1 | 0.93× | | [MAC-10 \| Disco Tech (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-disco-tech-minimal-wear) | 12.0% | $7.27 10.39 coins | 6.5% | 258 | 284.5 | 0.91× | | [SG 553 \| Candy Apple (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-candy-apple-factory-new) | 1 in 17 | $6.07 8.67 coins | 2.7% | 163 | 142.3 | 1.15× | | [P90 \| Chopper (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-chopper-minimal-wear) | 18.0% | $1.24 1.77 coins | 1.7% | 441 | 426.8 | 1.03× | | [P90 \| Module (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-module-minimal-wear) | 16.0% | $0.95 1.36 coins | 1.1% | 393 | 379.4 | 1.04× | | [M4A1-S \| VariCamo (Well-Worn) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-varicamo-well-worn) | 21.2% | $0.20 0.28 coins | 0.3% | 490 | 501.9 | 0.98× | Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 14:28 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=recharge) [M4A1-S | VariCamo (Well-Worn) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-varicamo-well-worn) Hidden $14.82 21.17 coins $0.20 0.28 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 14:08 UTC [M4A1-S | VariCamo (Well-Worn) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-varicamo-well-worn) Hidden $14.82 21.17 coins $0.20 0.28 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 14:08 UTC [M4A1-S | VariCamo (Well-Worn) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-varicamo-well-worn) Hidden $14.82 21.17 coins $0.20 0.28 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 14:08 UTC [CZ75-Auto | Xiangliu (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-xiangliu-minimal-wear) Hidden $14.82 21.17 coins $12.11 17.3 coins 0.82x 2026-11-11 14:08 UTC [CZ75-Auto | Xiangliu (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-xiangliu-minimal-wear) Hidden $14.82 21.17 coins $12.11 17.3 coins 0.82x 2026-11-11 14:08 UTC [MAC-10 | Disco Tech (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-disco-tech-minimal-wear) [BiO-HaZarD](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/BiO-HaZarD) $14.82 21.17 coins $7.27 10.39 coins 0.49x 2026-11-11 14:08 UTC [Dual Berettas | Briar (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-briar-factory-new) [Lidl](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Lidl) $14.82 21.17 coins $7.57 10.81 coins 0.51x 2026-11-11 14:07 UTC [M4A1-S | VariCamo (Well-Worn) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-varicamo-well-worn) [FrawgDawg](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/FrawgDawg) $14.82 21.17 coins $0.20 0.28 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 14:06 UTC [P90 | Chopper (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-chopper-minimal-wear) [Epexxx](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Epexxx) $14.82 21.17 coins $1.24 1.77 coins 0.08x 2026-11-11 14:06 UTC [P90 | Chopper (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-chopper-minimal-wear) [Ajax absult 100%](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Ajax%20absult%20100%25) $14.82 21.17 coins $1.24 1.77 coins 0.08x 2026-11-11 14:06 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 9 Nov, 00:04 UTC | $14.82 | 90.92% | 16 | | 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $14.82 | 90.93% | 16 | | 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $14.87 | 90.89% | 16 | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $14.98 | 90.91% | 16 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 8.5% extraordinary 0.0% classified 17.3% industrial 9.0% consumer 10.0% restricted 18.0% mil spec 37.2% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.92 on average: an expected loss of $9.08 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt