--- title: "Retrograde case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Retrograde ($9.94) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 53.89% over 41K openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/retrograde rendered: 2026-11-11T14:03Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Retrograde](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/retrograde) # [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Retrograde A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/retrograde?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/retrograde?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/retrograde) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/retrograde?window=all) Price · $9.94 · 14.2 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 53.89% · 41K openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 54.83% ±4.20 2,851 openings 7 days · 54.33% ±1.25 32.1K openings 30 days · 53.89% ±1.10 41K openings since tracking started · 53.89% ±1.10 41K openings 50.0% 54.8% 59.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/retrograde?window=24h) | 2,851 | 54.83% ±4.20 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/retrograde?window=7d) | 32.1K | 54.33% ±1.25 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/retrograde) | 41K | 53.89% ±1.10 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/retrograde?window=all) | 41K | 53.89% ±1.10 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** CSGORoll publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=retrograde) [AUG | Momentum (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-momentum-field-tested) Hidden $10.19 14.56 coins $4.36 6.23 coins 0.43x 2026-11-11 14:01 UTC [AUG | Momentum (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-momentum-field-tested) Hidden $10.19 14.56 coins $4.36 6.23 coins 0.43x 2026-11-11 14:01 UTC [StatTrak™ M4A4 | Desolate Space (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-desolate-space-field-tested) Hidden $10.19 14.56 coins $27.81 39.73 coins 2.73x 2026-11-11 14:01 UTC [P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-corticera-minimal-wear) Hidden $10.19 14.56 coins $16.55 23.64 coins 1.62x 2026-11-11 14:01 UTC [UMP-45 | Continuum (Well-Worn) weapon · common](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-continuum-well-worn) Hidden $10.19 14.56 coins $0.50 0.71 coins 0.05x 2026-11-11 14:00 UTC [PP-Bizon | Photic Zone (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-photic-zone-field-tested) [Spacey](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Spacey) $10.19 14.56 coins $0.60 0.86 coins 0.06x 2026-11-11 14:00 UTC [PP-Bizon | Photic Zone (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-photic-zone-field-tested) Hidden $10.19 14.56 coins $0.60 0.86 coins 0.06x 2026-11-11 14:00 UTC [UMP-45 | Continuum (Well-Worn) weapon · common](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-continuum-well-worn) Hidden $10.19 14.56 coins $0.50 0.71 coins 0.05x 2026-11-11 14:00 UTC [UMP-45 | Continuum (Well-Worn) weapon · common](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-continuum-well-worn) [Spacey](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Spacey) $10.19 14.56 coins $0.50 0.71 coins 0.05x 2026-11-11 14:00 UTC [UMP-45 | Continuum (Well-Worn) weapon · common](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-continuum-well-worn) Hidden $10.19 14.56 coins $0.50 0.71 coins 0.05x 2026-11-11 14:00 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 53.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $53.89 on average: an expected loss of $46.11 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt