---
title: "Revive case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Revive ($29.63) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.91% from 14 items with odds, observed 92.86% over 5,736 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/revive
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:48Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Revive](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/revive)

# [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Revive

A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/revive?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/revive?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/revive) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/revive?window=all)

Price · $29.63 · 42.33 coins

Advertised RTP · 90.91% · EV $26.94 from 14 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 92.86% · 5,736 openings, odds method

Variance · 1.2× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 21.1% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 68.8% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 97.87% ±10.57 405 openings

7 days · 92.42% ±3.37 3,996 openings

30 days · 92.86% ±2.81 5,736 openings

since tracking started · 92.86% ±2.81 5,736 openings

86.5% 97.8% 109.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/revive?window=24h) | 405 | 97.87% ±10.6 | +1.3σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/revive?window=7d) | 3,996 | 92.42% ±3.37 | +0.8σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/revive) | 5,736 | 92.86% ±2.81 | +1.3σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/revive?window=all) | 5,736 | 92.86% ±2.81 | +1.3σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 14 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 5,778 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Stiletto Knife \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-sapphire) | 1 in 20,000 | $937 1,339 coins | 0.2% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20,000 | $768 1,097 coins | 0.1% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Moto Gloves \| Finish Line (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-finish-line-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,000 | $133 190 coins | 0.2% | 4 | 2.9 | 1.38× |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Aquamarine Revenge (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-aquamarine-revenge-field-tested) | 1 in 33 | $84.00 120 coins | 9.4% | 196 | 173.3 | 1.13× |
| [SSG 08 \| Blood in the Water (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-blood-in-the-water-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $83.30 119 coins | 15.5% | 281 | 288.9 | 0.97× |
| [M4A1-S \| Golden Coil (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-golden-coil-minimal-wear) | 1 in 33 | $79.10 113 coins | 8.8% | 193 | 173.3 | 1.11× |
| [M4A4 \| Bullet Rain (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-bullet-rain-minimal-wear) | 10.0% | $77.70 111 coins | 28.8% | 594 | 577.8 | 1.03× |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Lore (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-lore-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,000 | $69.48 99.25 coins | 0.3% | 11 | 5.8 | 1.90× |
| [P2000 \| Corticera (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-corticera-factory-new) | 10.0% | $52.17 74.53 coins | 19.4% | 554 | 577.8 | 0.96× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Kumicho Dragon (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-kumicho-dragon-well-worn) | 10.0% | $15.79 22.56 coins | 5.9% | 546 | 577.8 | 0.94× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Hemoglobin (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-hemoglobin-factory-new) | 10.8% | $13.29 18.98 coins | 5.3% | 683 | 626.3 | 1.09× |
| [P250 \| Mint Kimono (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-mint-kimono-minimal-wear) | 15.0% | $5.28 7.54 coins | 2.9% | 814 | 866.7 | 0.94× |
| [M4A4 \| Evil Daimyo (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-evil-daimyo-well-worn) | 15.0% | $2.64 3.77 coins | 1.5% | 867 | 866.7 | 1.00× |
| [SCAR-20 \| Powercore (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-powercore-factory-new) | 18.0% | $2.58 3.68 coins | 1.7% | 1,034 | 1040.0 | 0.99× |

Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ Karambit | Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) Hidden $29.63 42.33 coins $768 1,097 coins 25.92x 2026-11-08 20:07 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=revive)

[P250 | Mint Kimono (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-mint-kimono-minimal-wear) Hidden $29.63 42.33 coins $5.28 7.54 coins 0.18x 2026-11-11 12:39 UTC

[P250 | Mint Kimono (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-mint-kimono-minimal-wear) Hidden $29.63 42.33 coins $5.28 7.54 coins 0.18x 2026-11-11 12:39 UTC

[M4A4 | Bullet Rain (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-bullet-rain-minimal-wear) Hidden $29.63 42.33 coins $77.70 111 coins 2.62x 2026-11-11 12:39 UTC

[P2000 | Corticera (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-corticera-factory-new) Hidden $29.63 42.33 coins $52.17 74.53 coins 1.76x 2026-11-11 12:39 UTC

[StatTrak™ AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-aquamarine-revenge-field-tested) Hidden $29.63 42.33 coins $84.00 120 coins 2.83x 2026-11-11 12:39 UTC

[M4A4 | Bullet Rain (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-bullet-rain-minimal-wear) [El Gamblino 𝓜𝓐𝓕𝓘𝓐](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/El%20Gamblino%20%F0%9D%93%9C%F0%9D%93%90%F0%9D%93%95%F0%9D%93%98%F0%9D%93%90) $29.63 42.33 coins $77.70 111 coins 2.62x 2026-11-11 12:39 UTC

[SSG 08 | Blood in the Water (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-blood-in-the-water-field-tested) [dana](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/dana) $29.63 42.33 coins $83.30 119 coins 2.81x 2026-11-11 08:49 UTC

[P250 | Mint Kimono (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-mint-kimono-minimal-wear) Hidden $29.63 42.33 coins $5.28 7.54 coins 0.18x 2026-11-11 08:16 UTC

[P250 | Mint Kimono (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-mint-kimono-minimal-wear) Hidden $29.63 42.33 coins $5.28 7.54 coins 0.18x 2026-11-11 08:16 UTC

[SCAR-20 | Powercore (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-powercore-factory-new) Hidden $29.63 42.33 coins $2.58 3.68 coins 0.09x 2026-11-11 08:16 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $29.63 | 90.91% | 14 |
| 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $29.99 | 90.91% | 14 |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $29.99 | 90.90% | 14 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 21.1% extraordinary 0.1% classified 20.0% restricted 43.8% consumer 15.0% best hit $768 (25.92x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.91 on average: an expected loss of $9.09 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt