---
title: "Rocketpop case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Rocketpop ($5.90) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.92% from 22 items with odds, observed 87.39% over 4,241 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/rocketpop
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:35Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Rocketpop](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/rocketpop)

# [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Rocketpop

A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/rocketpop?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/rocketpop?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/rocketpop) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/rocketpop?window=all)

Price · $5.90 · 8.43 coins

Advertised RTP · 90.92% · EV $5.37 from 22 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 87.39% · 4,241 openings, odds method

Variance · 2.9× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 23.6% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 62.4% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 85.62% ±15.89 445 openings

7 days · 87.42% ±5.75 3,557 openings

30 days · 87.39% ±5.28 4,241 openings

since tracking started · 87.39% ±5.28 4,241 openings

69.0% 85.5% 102.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/rocketpop?window=24h) | 445 | 85.62% ±15.9 | −0.7σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/rocketpop?window=7d) | 3,557 | 87.42% ±5.75 | −1.2σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/rocketpop) | 4,241 | 87.39% ±5.28 | −1.3σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/rocketpop?window=all) | 4,241 | 87.39% ±5.28 | −1.3σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 22 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 4,241 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [AWP \| CMYK (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-cmyk-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $491 701 coins | 0.9% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [Sticker \| Crown (Foil) sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-crown-foil) | 1 in 5,000 | $329 470 coins | 1.2% | 0 | 0.8 | — |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Snow Leopard (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-snow-leopard-battle-scarred) | 1 in 3,333 | $193 275 coins | 1.1% | 1 | 1.3 | 0.79× |
| [Tec-9 \| Terrace (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-terrace-field-tested) | 1 in 500 | $76.30 109 coins | 2.8% | 7 | 8.5 | 0.83× |
| [M4A1-S \| Vaporwave (Battle-Scarred) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-vaporwave-battle-scarred) | 1 in 200 | $37.08 52.97 coins | 3.5% | 21 | 21.2 | 0.99× |
| [AWP \| Chromatic Aberration (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-chromatic-aberration-minimal-wear) | 1 in 40 | $34.96 49.94 coins | 16.3% | 93 | 106.0 | 0.88× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Night (Well-Worn) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-night-well-worn) | 1 in 67 | $12.75 18.22 coins | 3.6% | 63 | 63.6 | 0.99× |
| [StatTrak™ P2000 \| Imperial Dragon (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p2000-imperial-dragon-field-tested) | 1 in 22 | $9.14 13.05 coins | 7.7% | 200 | 190.8 | 1.05× |
| [AK-47 \| Nouveau Rouge (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-nouveau-rouge-field-tested) | 1 in 286 | $7.56 10.8 coins | 0.5% | 15 | 14.8 | 1.01× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Directive (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-directive-minimal-wear) | 14.0% | $7.08 10.11 coins | 18.5% | 641 | 593.7 | 1.08× |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| PAW (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-paw-minimal-wear) | 1 in 25 | $6.84 9.77 coins | 5.1% | 161 | 169.6 | 0.95× |
| [Sticker \| Watermelon Tier6 (Holo) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-watermelon-tier6-holo) | 1 in 29 | $6.73 9.61 coins | 4.4% | 136 | 148.4 | 0.92× |
| [Sticker \| Miami Flick (Holo) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-miami-flick-holo) | 1 in 37 | $6.57 9.39 coins | 3.3% | 131 | 114.5 | 1.14× |
| [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Shinobu (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-shinobu-battle-scarred) | 1 in 33 | $6.41 9.15 coins | 3.6% | 154 | 127.2 | 1.21× |
| [Sticker \| KOI (Holo) \| Copenhagen 2024 sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-koi-holo-copenhagen-2024) | 1 in 125 | $6.27 8.96 coins | 0.9% | 25 | 33.9 | 0.74× |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Tooth Fairy (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-tooth-fairy-well-worn) | 10.0% | $5.30 7.57 coins | 9.9% | 396 | 424.1 | 0.93× |
| [Sticker \| Outsiders (Holo) \| Antwerp 2022 sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-outsiders-holo-antwerp-2022) | 1 in 100 | $5.09 7.27 coins | 0.9% | 37 | 42.4 | 0.87× |
| [StatTrak™ Music Kit \| Midnight Riders, All I Want for Christmas music kit · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-music-kit-midnight-riders-all-i-want-for-christmas) | 1 in 20 | $4.59 6.55 coins | 4.3% | 230 | 212.0 | 1.08× |
| [Sticker \| Virtus.pro (Gold) \| Copenhagen 2024 sticker · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-virtus-pro-gold-copenhagen-2024) | 12.4% | $2.44 3.48 coins | 5.6% | 501 | 525.5 | 0.95× |
| [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Trigger Discipline (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-trigger-discipline-well-worn) | 15.0% | $1.26 1.8 coins | 3.5% | 617 | 636.1 | 0.97× |
| [Glock-18 \| Glockingbird (Minimal Wear) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-glockingbird-minimal-wear) | 1 in 50 | $1.15 1.65 coins | 0.4% | 79 | 84.8 | 0.93× |
| [Sticker \| Fade Lethal sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-fade-lethal) | 17.0% | $0.64 0.91 coins | 2.0% | 733 | 721.0 | 1.02× |

Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=rocketpop)

[Sticker | Virtus.pro (Gold) | Copenhagen 2024 sticker · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-virtus-pro-gold-copenhagen-2024) [Terroristi](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Terroristi) $5.90 8.43 coins $2.44 3.48 coins 0.41x 2026-11-11 13:15 UTC

[StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Trigger Discipline (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-trigger-discipline-well-worn) [Reettaonläski](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Reettaonl%C3%A4ski) $5.90 8.43 coins $1.26 1.8 coins 0.21x 2026-11-11 13:15 UTC

[Sticker | Fade Lethal sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-fade-lethal) Hidden $5.90 8.43 coins $0.64 0.91 coins 0.11x 2026-11-11 13:15 UTC

[StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Shinobu (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-shinobu-battle-scarred) Hidden $5.90 8.43 coins $6.41 9.15 coins 1.09x 2026-11-11 13:15 UTC

[StatTrak™ P2000 | Imperial Dragon (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p2000-imperial-dragon-field-tested) Hidden $5.90 8.43 coins $9.14 13.05 coins 1.55x 2026-11-11 13:15 UTC

[StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Trigger Discipline (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-trigger-discipline-well-worn) Hidden $5.90 8.43 coins $1.26 1.8 coins 0.21x 2026-11-11 13:10 UTC

[Glock-18 | Glockingbird (Minimal Wear) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-glockingbird-minimal-wear) Hidden $5.90 8.43 coins $1.15 1.65 coins 0.20x 2026-11-11 13:10 UTC

[StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Trigger Discipline (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-trigger-discipline-well-worn) Hidden $5.90 8.43 coins $1.26 1.8 coins 0.21x 2026-11-11 13:10 UTC

[StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Trigger Discipline (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-trigger-discipline-well-worn) Hidden $5.90 8.43 coins $1.26 1.8 coins 0.21x 2026-11-11 13:10 UTC

[StatTrak™ M4A4 | Tooth Fairy (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-tooth-fairy-well-worn) Hidden $5.90 8.43 coins $5.30 7.57 coins 0.90x 2026-11-11 13:10 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 9 Nov, 01:53 UTC | $5.90 | 90.92% | 22 |
| 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $5.90 | 90.94% | 22 |
| 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $5.73 | 90.92% | 22 |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $5.73 | 90.92% | 22 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 2.5% exotic 1.8% extraordinary 12.4% mil spec 0.2% rare 0.5% industrial 1.5% classified 14.5% pink 0.4% restricted 33.0% remarkable 6.2% uncommon 5.0% high 22.0% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.92 on average: an expected loss of $9.08 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt