---
title: "Rollercoaster case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Rollercoaster ($6.87) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.91% from 13 items with odds, observed 87.56% over 3,662 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/rollercoaster
rendered: 2026-11-11T14:06Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Rollercoaster](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/rollercoaster)

# [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Rollercoaster

A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/rollercoaster?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/rollercoaster?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/rollercoaster) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/rollercoaster?window=all)

Price · $6.87 · 9.82 coins

Advertised RTP · 90.91% · EV $6.25 from 13 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 87.56% · 3,662 openings, odds method

Variance · 2.0× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 17.8% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 74.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 86.42% ±12.11 519 openings

7 days · 87.97% ±5.07 2,954 openings

30 days · 87.56% ±4.56 3,662 openings

since tracking started · 87.56% ±4.56 3,662 openings

73.5% 86.3% 99.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/rollercoaster?window=24h) | 519 | 86.42% ±12.1 | −0.7σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/rollercoaster?window=7d) | 2,954 | 87.97% ±5.07 | −1.1σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/rollercoaster) | 3,662 | 87.56% ±4.56 | −1.4σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/rollercoaster?window=all) | 3,662 | 87.56% ±4.56 | −1.4σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 13 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 3,666 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [M4A1-S \| Chantico's Fire (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-chanticos-fire-minimal-wear) | 1 in 4,167 | $113 161 coins | 0.4% | 0 | 0.9 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Code Red (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-code-red-well-worn) | 1 in 147 | $56.67 80.95 coins | 6.2% | 24 | 24.9 | 0.96× |
| [StatTrak™ Five-SeveN \| Monkey Business (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-monkey-business-minimal-wear) | 1 in 67 | $47.43 67.75 coins | 11.4% | 59 | 55.0 | 1.07× |
| [MAG-7 \| Bulldozer (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-bulldozer-minimal-wear) | 1 in 36 | $32.64 46.63 coins | 14.6% | 89 | 102.6 | 0.87× |
| [Souvenir Glock-18 \| Candy Apple (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-glock-18-candy-apple-minimal-wear) | 1 in 6,250 | $18.97 27.1 coins | 0.0% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [Krakow 2017 Challengers (Holo-Foil) other · base](https://gambatracker.com/items/krakow-2017-challengers-holo-foil) | 1 in 21 | $18.73 26.76 coins | 14.4% | 155 | 176.0 | 0.88× |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| Muertos (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-muertos-battle-scarred) | 1 in 13 | $12.98 18.54 coins | 16.5% | 283 | 290.7 | 0.97× |
| [Tec-9 \| Fuel Injector (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-fuel-injector-well-worn) | 1 in 12 | $11.04 15.77 coins | 14.7% | 300 | 304.3 | 0.99× |
| [Sticker \| Copenhagen Flames (Holo) \| Stockholm 2021 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-copenhagen-flames-holo-stockholm-2021) | 1 in 14 | $4.83 6.9 coins | 5.4% | 255 | 256.6 | 0.99× |
| [Sticker \| G2 Esports \| Cluj-Napoca 2015 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-g2-esports-cluj-napoca-2015) | 1 in 12 | $3.56 5.09 coins | 4.8% | 330 | 311.6 | 1.06× |
| [Train Pin pin · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/train-pin) | 16.0% | $2.20 3.15 coins | 5.6% | 618 | 586.6 | 1.05× |
| [USP-S \| Bleeding Edge (Well-Worn) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-bleeding-edge-well-worn) | 19.0% | $0.90 1.29 coins | 2.7% | 704 | 696.5 | 1.01× |
| [P250 \| Nevermore (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-nevermore-minimal-wear) | 23.4% | $0.85 1.21 coins | 3.2% | 849 | 859.7 | 0.99× |

Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=rollercoaster)

[USP-S | Bleeding Edge (Well-Worn) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-bleeding-edge-well-worn) Hidden $6.87 9.82 coins $0.90 1.29 coins 0.13x 2026-11-11 13:38 UTC

[StatTrak™ P250 | Muertos (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-muertos-battle-scarred) [BARDA](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/BARDA) $6.87 9.82 coins $12.98 18.54 coins 1.89x 2026-11-11 13:38 UTC

[USP-S | Bleeding Edge (Well-Worn) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-bleeding-edge-well-worn) Hidden $6.87 9.82 coins $0.90 1.29 coins 0.13x 2026-11-11 13:33 UTC

[P250 | Nevermore (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-nevermore-minimal-wear) [BARDA](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/BARDA) $6.87 9.82 coins $0.85 1.21 coins 0.12x 2026-11-11 13:33 UTC

[P250 | Nevermore (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-nevermore-minimal-wear) [wSe](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/wSe) $6.87 9.82 coins $0.85 1.21 coins 0.12x 2026-11-11 13:30 UTC

[StatTrak™ P250 | Muertos (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-muertos-battle-scarred) Hidden $6.87 9.82 coins $12.98 18.54 coins 1.89x 2026-11-11 13:30 UTC

[P250 | Nevermore (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-nevermore-minimal-wear) Hidden $6.87 9.82 coins $0.85 1.21 coins 0.12x 2026-11-11 13:29 UTC

[USP-S | Bleeding Edge (Well-Worn) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-bleeding-edge-well-worn) Hidden $6.87 9.82 coins $0.90 1.29 coins 0.13x 2026-11-11 13:29 UTC

[Sticker | Copenhagen Flames (Holo) | Stockholm 2021 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-copenhagen-flames-holo-stockholm-2021) Hidden $6.87 9.82 coins $4.83 6.9 coins 0.70x 2026-11-11 13:29 UTC

[Sticker | Copenhagen Flames (Holo) | Stockholm 2021 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-copenhagen-flames-holo-stockholm-2021) [invisibility](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/invisibility) $6.87 9.82 coins $4.83 6.9 coins 0.70x 2026-11-11 13:29 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 9 Nov, 00:04 UTC | $6.87 | 90.91% | 13 |
| 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $6.88 | 90.89% | 13 |
| 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $6.97 | 90.87% | 13 |
| 5 Nov, 22:45 UTC | $6.97 | 90.87% | 13 |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $6.97 | 90.94% | 13 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 0.7% classified 17.7% restricted 26.3% mil spec 0.0% base 4.8% remarkable 7.0% high 24.5% uncommon 19.0% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.91 on average: an expected loss of $9.09 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt