---
title: "Rubik case case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Rubik case ($6.38) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.94% from 23 items with odds, observed 89.90% over 9,073 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/rubik-case
rendered: 2026-11-11T14:03Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Rubik case](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/rubik-case)

# [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Rubik case

A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/rubik-case?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/rubik-case?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/rubik-case) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/rubik-case?window=all)

Price · $6.38 · 9.12 coins

Advertised RTP · 90.94% · EV $5.81 from 23 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 89.90% · 9,073 openings, odds method

Variance · 54.5× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 23 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 78.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 81.82% ±46.69 960 openings

7 days · 93.48% ±16.69 7,488 openings

30 days · 89.90% ±15.16 9,073 openings

since tracking started · 89.90% ±15.16 9,073 openings

34.5% 81.8% 129.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/rubik-case?window=24h) | 960 | 81.82% ±46.7 | −0.4σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/rubik-case?window=7d) | 7,488 | 93.48% ±16.7 | +0.3σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/rubik-case) | 9,073 | 89.90% ±15.2 | −0.1σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/rubik-case?window=all) | 9,073 | 89.90% ±15.2 | −0.1σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 23 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 9,083 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Superconductor (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-superconductor-factory-new) | 1 in 100,000 | $10.7K 15,300 coins | 1.8% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Sticker \| LGB eSports (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-lgb-esports-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 25,000 | $4,088 5,840 coins | 2.8% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Daybreak (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-daybreak-factory-new) | 1 in 6,667 | $561 801 coins | 1.4% | 1 | 1.4 | 0.73× |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Occult (Field-Tested) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-occult-field-tested) | 1 in 2,857 | $429 613 coins | 2.6% | 2 | 3.2 | 0.63× |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Cloud Chaser (Well-Worn) gloves · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-cloud-chaser-well-worn) | 1 in 1,333 | $362 517 coins | 4.7% | 11 | 6.8 | 1.61× |
| [M4A4 \| Bullet Rain (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-bullet-rain-factory-new) | 1 in 500 | $200 286 coins | 6.9% | 20 | 18.2 | 1.10× |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Seigaiha (Minimal Wear) gloves · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-seigaiha-minimal-wear) | 1 in 250 | $145 207 coins | 10.0% | 36 | 36.3 | 0.99× |
| [★ Moto Gloves \| Turtle (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-turtle-well-worn) | 1 in 250 | $52.24 74.63 coins | 3.6% | 39 | 36.3 | 1.07× |
| [USP-S \| The Traitor (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-the-traitor-minimal-wear) | 1 in 133 | $47.59 67.98 coins | 6.1% | 67 | 68.1 | 0.98× |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Temukau (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-temukau-well-worn) | 1 in 87 | $29.61 42.3 coins | 5.9% | 118 | 104.5 | 1.13× |
| [Souvenir P250 \| Digital Architect (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-p250-digital-architect-field-tested) | 1 in 71 | $19.12 27.31 coins | 4.6% | 161 | 127.2 | 1.27× |
| [Sticker \| Sprout Esports (Holo) \| Boston 2018 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-sprout-esports-holo-boston-2018) | 1 in 64 | $16.38 23.4 coins | 4.4% | 160 | 142.6 | 1.12× |
| [Tec-9 \| Fuel Injector (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-fuel-injector-field-tested) | 1 in 29 | $11.41 16.3 coins | 6.9% | 306 | 317.9 | 0.96× |
| [P2000 \| Imperial Dragon (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-imperial-dragon-battle-scarred) | 1 in 25 | $10.75 15.35 coins | 7.4% | 361 | 363.3 | 0.99× |
| [PP-Bizon \| High Roller (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-high-roller-field-tested) | 1 in 24 | $8.20 11.71 coins | 5.9% | 333 | 381.5 | 0.87× |
| [Sticker \| Miami Buttery (Holo) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-miami-buttery-holo) | 1 in 23 | $7.36 10.52 coins | 5.5% | 389 | 390.6 | 1.00× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Urban Shock (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-urban-shock-factory-new) | 1 in 18 | $4.45 6.36 coins | 4.2% | 490 | 499.6 | 0.98× |
| [StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Survivor Z (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-famas-survivor-z-factory-new) | 1 in 13 | $2.45 3.5 coins | 3.3% | 698 | 703.9 | 0.99× |
| [Sticker \| Vitality (Holo) \| Stockholm 2021 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-vitality-holo-stockholm-2021) | 1 in 12 | $1.85 2.65 coins | 2.7% | 788 | 781.1 | 1.01× |
| [StatTrak™ M249 \| System Lock (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m249-system-lock-factory-new) | 1 in 11 | $1.69 2.41 coins | 2.8% | 1,011 | 862.9 | 1.17× |
| [Sealed Graffiti \| Space Soldiers \| London 2018 graffiti · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-space-soldiers-london-2018) | 11.8% | $1.62 2.32 coins | 3.3% | 924 | 1076.3 | 0.86× |
| [MAC-10 \| Last Dive (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-last-dive-well-worn) | 12.5% | $1.10 1.57 coins | 2.4% | 1,151 | 1135.4 | 1.01× |
| [StatTrak™ MP5-SD \| Liquidation (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp5-sd-liquidation-minimal-wear) | 22.3% | $0.20 0.28 coins | 0.8% | 2,017 | 2025.5 | 1.00× |

Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[M4A4 | Daybreak (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-daybreak-factory-new) [obibi](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/obibi) $6.37 9.1 coins $559 798 coins 87.69x 2026-11-06 20:30 UTC

[★ Sport Gloves | Occult (Field-Tested) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-occult-field-tested) Hidden $6.36 9.09 coins $433 618 coins 67.99x 2026-11-04 23:06 UTC

[★ Sport Gloves | Occult (Field-Tested) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-occult-field-tested) Hidden $6.38 9.12 coins $429 613 coins 67.21x 2026-11-09 14:53 UTC

[★ Specialist Gloves | Cloud Chaser (Well-Worn) gloves · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-cloud-chaser-well-worn) Hidden $6.37 9.1 coins $364 520 coins 57.14x 2026-11-08 06:01 UTC

[★ Specialist Gloves | Cloud Chaser (Well-Worn) gloves · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-cloud-chaser-well-worn) Hidden $6.37 9.1 coins $364 520 coins 57.14x 2026-11-08 01:33 UTC

[★ Specialist Gloves | Cloud Chaser (Well-Worn) gloves · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-cloud-chaser-well-worn) [Gamblers Anonymous](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Gamblers%20Anonymous) $6.37 9.1 coins $364 520 coins 57.14x 2026-11-07 17:23 UTC

[★ Specialist Gloves | Cloud Chaser (Well-Worn) gloves · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-cloud-chaser-well-worn) [Silviu Gherman](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Silviu%20Gherman) $6.36 9.09 coins $364 520 coins 57.21x 2026-11-05 19:21 UTC

[★ Specialist Gloves | Cloud Chaser (Well-Worn) gloves · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-cloud-chaser-well-worn) Hidden $6.36 9.09 coins $364 520 coins 57.21x 2026-11-05 17:51 UTC

[★ Specialist Gloves | Cloud Chaser (Well-Worn) gloves · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-cloud-chaser-well-worn) [mikkeul09](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/mikkeul09) $6.36 9.09 coins $364 520 coins 57.21x 2026-11-05 16:41 UTC

[★ Specialist Gloves | Cloud Chaser (Well-Worn) gloves · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-cloud-chaser-well-worn) Hidden $6.36 9.09 coins $364 520 coins 57.21x 2026-11-05 05:52 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=rubik-case)

[Sealed Graffiti | Space Soldiers | London 2018 graffiti · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-space-soldiers-london-2018) Hidden $6.38 9.12 coins $1.62 2.32 coins 0.25x 2026-11-11 14:00 UTC

[MAC-10 | Last Dive (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-last-dive-well-worn) Hidden $6.38 9.12 coins $1.10 1.57 coins 0.17x 2026-11-11 14:00 UTC

[StatTrak™ M249 | System Lock (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m249-system-lock-factory-new) Hidden $6.38 9.12 coins $1.69 2.41 coins 0.26x 2026-11-11 14:00 UTC

[MAC-10 | Last Dive (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-last-dive-well-worn) Hidden $6.38 9.12 coins $1.10 1.57 coins 0.17x 2026-11-11 14:00 UTC

[★ Driver Gloves | Seigaiha (Minimal Wear) gloves · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-seigaiha-minimal-wear) Hidden $6.38 9.12 coins $145 207 coins 22.70x 2026-11-11 14:00 UTC

[★ Moto Gloves | Turtle (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-turtle-well-worn) [CekoS](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/CekoS) $6.38 9.12 coins $52.24 74.63 coins 8.18x 2026-11-11 14:00 UTC

[StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Liquidation (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp5-sd-liquidation-minimal-wear) Hidden $6.38 9.12 coins $0.20 0.28 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 13:45 UTC

[StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Liquidation (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp5-sd-liquidation-minimal-wear) Hidden $6.38 9.12 coins $0.20 0.28 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 13:45 UTC

[Sealed Graffiti | Space Soldiers | London 2018 graffiti · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-space-soldiers-london-2018) Hidden $6.38 9.12 coins $1.62 2.32 coins 0.25x 2026-11-11 13:45 UTC

[StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Liquidation (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp5-sd-liquidation-minimal-wear) Hidden $6.38 9.12 coins $0.20 0.28 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 13:45 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 9 Nov, 01:53 UTC | $6.38 | 90.94% | 23 |
| 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $6.39 | 90.89% | 23 |
| 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $6.44 | 90.94% | 23 |
| 5 Nov, 22:45 UTC | $6.37 | 90.95% | 23 |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $6.36 | 90.94% | 23 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed extraordinary 0.4% remarkable 14.5% restricted 19.4% legendary 0.0% rare 0.1% covert 2.1% epic 0.4% classified 11.7% mil spec 39.5% high 11.8% best hit $559 (87.69x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.94 on average: an expected loss of $9.06 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt