--- title: "Runic case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Runic ($1,373.65) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.91% from 15 items with odds, observed 78.69% over 24 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/runic rendered: 2026-11-11T13:48Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Runic](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/runic) # [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Runic A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/runic?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/runic?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/runic) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/runic?window=all) Price · $1,373.65 · 1,962 coins Advertised RTP · 90.91% · EV $1,248.77 from 15 items Observed RTP, 30d · 78.69% · 24 openings, odds method Variance · 7.1× · of price², per opening Tail share · 18.2% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 76.8% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 24 openings · below min 30 days · 24 openings · below min since tracking started · 24 openings · below min -0.5% 92.3% 185.0% **Small sample.** 24 openings and 4.4 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/runic?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/runic?window=7d) | 24 | 78.69% ±105.6 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/runic) | 24 | 78.69% ±105.6 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/runic?window=all) | 24 | 78.69% ±105.6 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 15 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 24 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Sticker \| iBUYPOWER (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ibuypower-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 333 | $53.5K 76,380 coins | 12.8% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [Sticker \| Reason Gaming (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-reason-gaming-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 500 | $38K 54,245 coins | 6.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sticker \| Team LDLC.com (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-ldlc-com-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 250 | $20.8K 29,650 coins | 6.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Karambit \| Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 40 | $5,548 7,925 coins | 11.1% | 1 | 0.6 | — | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Pandora's Box (Minimal Wear) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-pandoras-box-minimal-wear) | 1 in 125 | $4,655 6,650 coins | 3.0% | 1 | 0.2 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) StatTrak · knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-talon-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 25 | $2,513 3,590 coins | 8.0% | 0 | 1.0 | — | | [★ Karambit \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2) knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-factory-new-phase-2) | 10.0% | $1,639 2,341 coins | 13.1% | 2 | 2.4 | 0.83× | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4) knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-4) | 1 in 20 | $1,543 2,204 coins | 6.2% | 2 | 1.2 | 1.67× | | [★ Stiletto Knife \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-sapphire) | 1 in 17 | $937 1,339 coins | 4.5% | 0 | 1.4 | 0.00× | | [Sticker \| rain (Gold) \| Boston 2018 sticker · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-rain-gold-boston-2018) | 19.3% | $704 1,005 coins | 10.9% | 4 | 4.6 | 0.86× | | [Sticker \| Natus Vincere \| Katowice 2014 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-natus-vincere-katowice-2014) | 13.0% | $666 951 coins | 6.9% | 4 | 3.1 | 1.28× | | [★ Falchion Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-emerald) | 1 in 13 | $424 606 coins | 2.5% | 3 | 1.8 | 1.67× | | [★ Skeleton Knife \| Slaughter (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-slaughter-field-tested) | 11.0% | $331 473 coins | 2.9% | 4 | 2.6 | 1.52× | | [Sticker \| Crown (Foil) sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-crown-foil) | 13.0% | $329 470 coins | 3.4% | 3 | 3.1 | 0.96× | | [★ Skeleton Knife \| Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-crimson-web-minimal-wear) | 1 in 14 | $320 457 coins | 1.8% | 0 | 1.7 | 0.00× | Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Karambit | Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-crimson-web-factory-new) [tashud](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/tashud) $1,391 1,988 coins $5,656 8,080 coins 4.07x 2026-11-04 21:51 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Pandora's Box (Minimal Wear) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-pandoras-box-minimal-wear) Hidden $1,391 1,988 coins $4,830 6,900 coins 3.47x 2026-11-04 21:50 UTC [★ Karambit | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2) knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-factory-new-phase-2) [tashud](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/tashud) $1,391 1,988 coins $1,665 2,379 coins 1.20x 2026-11-04 21:49 UTC [★ Karambit | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2) knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-factory-new-phase-2) Hidden $1,391 1,988 coins $1,665 2,379 coins 1.20x 2026-11-04 21:47 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4) knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-4) Hidden $1,391 1,988 coins $1,621 2,315 coins 1.16x 2026-11-04 21:49 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4) knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-4) Hidden $1,391 1,988 coins $1,621 2,315 coins 1.16x 2026-11-04 21:49 UTC [Sticker | rain (Gold) | Boston 2018 sticker · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-rain-gold-boston-2018) Hidden $1,391 1,988 coins $704 1,005 coins 0.51x 2026-11-04 21:51 UTC [Sticker | rain (Gold) | Boston 2018 sticker · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-rain-gold-boston-2018) Hidden $1,391 1,988 coins $704 1,005 coins 0.51x 2026-11-04 21:48 UTC [Sticker | rain (Gold) | Boston 2018 sticker · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-rain-gold-boston-2018) Hidden $1,391 1,988 coins $704 1,005 coins 0.51x 2026-11-04 21:48 UTC [Sticker | rain (Gold) | Boston 2018 sticker · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-rain-gold-boston-2018) [tashud](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/tashud) $1,391 1,988 coins $704 1,005 coins 0.51x 2026-11-04 21:47 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=runic) [Sticker | Natus Vincere | Katowice 2014 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-natus-vincere-katowice-2014) Hidden $1,391 1,988 coins $683 975 coins 0.49x 2026-11-04 21:51 UTC [Sticker | rain (Gold) | Boston 2018 sticker · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-rain-gold-boston-2018) Hidden $1,391 1,988 coins $704 1,005 coins 0.51x 2026-11-04 21:51 UTC [★ Falchion Knife | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-emerald) Hidden $1,391 1,988 coins $449 642 coins 0.32x 2026-11-04 21:51 UTC [★ Karambit | Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-crimson-web-factory-new) [tashud](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/tashud) $1,391 1,988 coins $5,656 8,080 coins 4.07x 2026-11-04 21:51 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Pandora's Box (Minimal Wear) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-pandoras-box-minimal-wear) Hidden $1,391 1,988 coins $4,830 6,900 coins 3.47x 2026-11-04 21:50 UTC [★ Skeleton Knife | Slaughter (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-slaughter-field-tested) Hidden $1,391 1,988 coins $336 480 coins 0.24x 2026-11-04 21:50 UTC [★ Skeleton Knife | Slaughter (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-slaughter-field-tested) Hidden $1,391 1,988 coins $336 480 coins 0.24x 2026-11-04 21:50 UTC [★ Falchion Knife | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-emerald) [tashud](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/tashud) $1,391 1,988 coins $449 642 coins 0.32x 2026-11-04 21:50 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4) knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-4) Hidden $1,391 1,988 coins $1,621 2,315 coins 1.16x 2026-11-04 21:49 UTC [Sticker | Natus Vincere | Katowice 2014 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-natus-vincere-katowice-2014) Hidden $1,391 1,988 coins $683 975 coins 0.49x 2026-11-04 21:49 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $1,374 | 90.91% | 15 | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $1,391 | 90.91% | 15 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed legendary 1.1% remarkable 0.6% covert 53.0% extraordinary 19.3% high 13.0% exotic 13.0% best hit $5,656 (4.07x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.91 on average: an expected loss of $9.09 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt