--- title: "Salty case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Salty ($179.17) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.91% from 15 items with odds, observed 91.53% over 921 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/salty rendered: 2026-11-11T15:54Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Salty](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/salty) # [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Salty A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/salty?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/salty?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/salty) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/salty?window=all) Price · $179.17 · 256 coins Advertised RTP · 90.91% · EV $162.88 from 15 items Observed RTP, 30d · 91.53% · 921 openings, odds method Variance · 3.8× · of price², per opening Tail share · 15.5% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 75.5% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 38 openings · below min 7 days · 92.08% ±13.56 794 openings 30 days · 91.53% ±12.59 921 openings since tracking started · 91.53% ±12.59 921 openings 57.5% 120.0% 182.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/salty?window=24h) | 38 | 120.14% ±61.9 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/salty?window=7d) | 794 | 92.08% ±13.6 | +0.2σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/salty) | 921 | 91.53% ±12.6 | +0.1σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/salty?window=all) | 921 | 91.53% ±12.6 | +0.1σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 15 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 921 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AWP \| Gungnir (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-gungnir-well-worn) | 1 in 1,000 | $6,941 9,915 coins | 4.3% | 0 | 0.9 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Karambit \| Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 2) StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-phase-2) | 1 in 250 | $2,167 3,095 coins | 5.3% | 8 | 3.7 | 2.17× | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Pandora's Box (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-pandoras-box-battle-scarred) | 1 in 133 | $1,865 2,665 coins | 8.6% | 6 | 6.9 | 0.87× | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2) knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new-phase-2) | 1 in 80 | $1,108 1,583 coins | 8.5% | 10 | 11.5 | 0.87× | | [Souvenir AWP \| Desert Hydra (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-desert-hydra-well-worn) | 1 in 67 | $783 1,119 coins | 7.2% | 13 | 13.8 | 0.94× | | [★ Hand Wraps \| CAUTION! (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-caution-factory-new) | 1 in 40 | $517 739 coins | 7.9% | 20 | 23.0 | 0.87× | | [★ Flip Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 2) knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-phase-2) | 1 in 33 | $403 575 coins | 7.4% | 24 | 27.6 | 0.87× | | [★ Shadow Daggers \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-doppler-minimal-wear-ruby) | 1 in 17 | $388 554 coins | 14.3% | 56 | 55.3 | 1.01× | | [★ Skeleton Knife \| Slaughter (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-slaughter-field-tested) | 1 in 25 | $331 473 coins | 8.1% | 41 | 36.8 | 1.11× | | [★ Flip Knife \| Fade (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20 | $256 366 coins | 7.9% | 60 | 46.1 | 1.30× | | [M4A1-S \| Chantico's Fire (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-chanticos-fire-minimal-wear) | 12.0% | $113 161 coins | 8.3% | 104 | 110.5 | 0.94× | | [USP-S \| Kill Confirmed (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-kill-confirmed-field-tested) | 12.0% | $62.36 89.09 coins | 4.6% | 119 | 110.5 | 1.08× | | [USP-S \| Printstream (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-printstream-field-tested) | 15.0% | $34.79 49.7 coins | 3.2% | 132 | 138.2 | 0.96× | | [Sticker \| Pimp \| Cluj-Napoca 2015 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-pimp-cluj-napoca-2015) | 18.5% | $25.83 36.9 coins | 2.9% | 170 | 170.4 | 1.00× | | [Patch \| Meal Time patch · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/patch-meal-time) | 18.0% | $13.05 18.64 coins | 1.4% | 158 | 165.8 | 0.95× | Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 14:28 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 2) StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-phase-2) Hidden $182 260 coins $2,342 3,345 coins 12.84x 2026-11-08 03:33 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 2) StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-phase-2) Hidden $182 260 coins $2,342 3,345 coins 12.84x 2026-11-08 03:18 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 2) StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-phase-2) Hidden $182 260 coins $2,342 3,345 coins 12.84x 2026-11-04 22:41 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 2) StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-phase-2) Hidden $182 260 coins $2,342 3,345 coins 12.84x 2026-11-04 21:04 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 2) StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-phase-2) [Philiacos](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Philiacos) $182 260 coins $2,342 3,345 coins 12.84x 2026-11-04 18:21 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 2) StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-phase-2) Hidden $179 256 coins $2,167 3,095 coins 12.09x 2026-11-11 12:25 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 2) StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-phase-2) Hidden $179 256 coins $2,167 3,095 coins 12.09x 2026-11-10 12:00 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 2) StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-phase-2) Hidden $179 256 coins $2,167 3,095 coins 12.09x 2026-11-10 11:06 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Pandora's Box (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-pandoras-box-battle-scarred) [Tokzeen](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Tokzeen) $182 260 coins $1,949 2,785 coins 10.69x 2026-11-05 10:15 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Pandora's Box (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-pandoras-box-battle-scarred) [Tahaguy](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Tahaguy) $182 260 coins $1,949 2,785 coins 10.69x 2026-11-05 02:06 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=salty) [★ Flip Knife | Fade (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-fade-minimal-wear) Hidden $179 256 coins $256 366 coins 1.43x 2026-11-11 15:14 UTC [M4A1-S | Chantico's Fire (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-chanticos-fire-minimal-wear) Hidden $179 256 coins $113 161 coins 0.63x 2026-11-11 15:14 UTC [M4A1-S | Chantico's Fire (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-chanticos-fire-minimal-wear) Hidden $179 256 coins $113 161 coins 0.63x 2026-11-11 15:14 UTC [Sticker | Pimp | Cluj-Napoca 2015 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-pimp-cluj-napoca-2015) Hidden $179 256 coins $25.83 36.9 coins 0.14x 2026-11-11 15:14 UTC [Sticker | Pimp | Cluj-Napoca 2015 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-pimp-cluj-napoca-2015) Hidden $179 256 coins $25.83 36.9 coins 0.14x 2026-11-11 15:14 UTC [USP-S | Kill Confirmed (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-kill-confirmed-field-tested) [Lars](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Lars) $179 256 coins $62.36 89.09 coins 0.35x 2026-11-11 15:14 UTC [M4A1-S | Chantico's Fire (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-chanticos-fire-minimal-wear) Hidden $179 256 coins $113 161 coins 0.63x 2026-11-11 13:51 UTC [M4A1-S | Chantico's Fire (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-chanticos-fire-minimal-wear) Hidden $179 256 coins $113 161 coins 0.63x 2026-11-11 13:51 UTC [★ Hand Wraps | CAUTION! (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-caution-factory-new) [Lore](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Lore) $179 256 coins $517 739 coins 2.89x 2026-11-11 13:51 UTC [Patch | Meal Time patch · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/patch-meal-time) Hidden $179 256 coins $13.05 18.64 coins 0.07x 2026-11-11 12:26 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $179 | 90.91% | 15 | | 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $182 | 90.91% | 15 | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $182 | 90.91% | 15 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 60.3% extraordinary 0.8% legendary 2.5% high 18.5% remarkable 18.0% best hit $2,342 (12.84x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.91 on average: an expected loss of $9.09 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt