---
title: "Sanctuary case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Sanctuary ($46.46) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.90% from 14 items with odds, observed 93.96% over 780 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/sanctuary
rendered: 2026-11-11T15:00Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Sanctuary](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/sanctuary)

# [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Sanctuary

A case on CSGORoll (40%), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/sanctuary?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/sanctuary?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/sanctuary) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/sanctuary?window=all)

Price · $46.46 · 66.37 coins

Advertised RTP · 90.90% · EV $42.23 from 14 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 93.96% · 780 openings, odds method

Variance · 0.7× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 25.0% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 60.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 35 openings · below min

7 days · 91.67% ±6.86 616 openings

30 days · 93.96% ±6.10 780 openings

since tracking started · 93.96% ±6.10 780 openings

50.5% 79.5% 108.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/sanctuary?window=24h) | 35 | 79.45% ±28.4 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/sanctuary?window=7d) | 616 | 91.67% ±6.86 | +0.2σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/sanctuary) | 780 | 93.96% ±6.10 | +1.0σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/sanctuary?window=all) | 780 | 93.96% ±6.10 | +1.0σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 14 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 780 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Desert Eagle \| Emerald Jörmungandr (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-emerald-jormungandr-minimal-wear) | 1 in 286 | $378 540 coins | 3.1% | 4 | 2.7 | 1.47× |
| [AK-47 \| Vulcan (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-vulcan-minimal-wear) | 1 in 667 | $304 434 coins | 1.1% | 4 | 1.2 | 3.42× |
| [AK-47 \| Fuel Injector (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fuel-injector-factory-new) | 1 in 667 | $283 404 coins | 1.0% | 2 | 1.2 | 1.71× |
| [★ Bloodhound Gloves \| Guerrilla (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/bloodhound-gloves-guerrilla-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $199 284 coins | 4.7% | 8 | 7.8 | 1.03× |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 1) knife · covert · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-doppler-minimal-wear-phase-1) | 1 in 286 | $118 168 coins | 1.0% | 1 | 2.7 | 0.37× |
| [MAC-10 \| Stalker (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-stalker-factory-new) | 10.0% | $86.10 123 coins | 20.4% | 63 | 78.0 | 0.81× |
| [★ Hand Wraps \| Badlands (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-badlands-battle-scarred) | 1 in 100 | $82.60 118 coins | 2.0% | 13 | 7.8 | 1.67× |
| [StatTrak™ P90 \| Cold Blooded (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-cold-blooded-minimal-wear) | 12.0% | $68.92 98.46 coins | 19.6% | 106 | 93.6 | 1.13× |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Crimson Web (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-crimson-web-well-worn) | 1 in 40 | $65.53 93.61 coins | 3.9% | 21 | 19.5 | 1.08× |
| [★ Broken Fang Gloves \| Jade (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/broken-fang-gloves-jade-field-tested) | 1 in 40 | $63.18 90.26 coins | 3.7% | 19 | 19.5 | 0.97× |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Crimson Web (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-crimson-web-well-worn) | 10.0% | $61.54 87.92 coins | 14.6% | 69 | 78.0 | 0.88× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Mecha Industries (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mecha-industries-factory-new) | 20.0% | $23.30 33.28 coins | 11.0% | 148 | 156.0 | 0.95× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Yellow Jacket (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-yellow-jacket-factory-new) | 20.0% | $20.01 28.59 coins | 9.5% | 172 | 156.0 | 1.10× |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Briefing (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-briefing-field-tested) | 20.0% | $9.45 13.5 coins | 4.5% | 150 | 156.0 | 0.96× |

Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 14:28 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=sanctuary)

[StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Briefing (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-briefing-field-tested) [Miltsukkaaaw :3](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Miltsukkaaaw%20%3A3) $46.46 66.37 coins $9.45 13.5 coins 0.20x 2026-11-11 12:00 UTC

[StatTrak™ P90 | Cold Blooded (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-cold-blooded-minimal-wear) Hidden $46.46 66.37 coins $68.92 98.46 coins 1.48x 2026-11-11 11:42 UTC

[CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-yellow-jacket-factory-new) Hidden $46.46 66.37 coins $20.01 28.59 coins 0.43x 2026-11-11 09:33 UTC

[MAC-10 | Stalker (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-stalker-factory-new) Hidden $46.46 66.37 coins $86.10 123 coins 1.85x 2026-11-11 09:31 UTC

[★ Bloodhound Gloves | Guerrilla (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/bloodhound-gloves-guerrilla-minimal-wear) Hidden $46.46 66.37 coins $199 284 coins 4.28x 2026-11-11 09:14 UTC

[StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Briefing (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-briefing-field-tested) Hidden $46.46 66.37 coins $9.45 13.5 coins 0.20x 2026-11-11 04:17 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mecha-industries-factory-new) Hidden $46.46 66.37 coins $23.30 33.28 coins 0.50x 2026-11-11 00:01 UTC

[CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-yellow-jacket-factory-new) [trae](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/trae) $46.46 66.37 coins $20.01 28.59 coins 0.43x 2026-11-10 23:59 UTC

[★ Navaja Knife | Crimson Web (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-crimson-web-well-worn) Hidden $46.46 66.37 coins $61.54 87.92 coins 1.32x 2026-11-10 22:18 UTC

[StatTrak™ P90 | Cold Blooded (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-cold-blooded-minimal-wear) Hidden $46.46 66.37 coins $68.92 98.46 coins 1.48x 2026-11-10 22:18 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $46.46 | 90.90% | 14 |
| 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $46.54 | 90.91% | 14 |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $46.49 | 90.91% | 14 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed restricted 0.4% covert 23.2% extraordinary 4.5% classified 52.0% mil spec 20.0% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.90 on average: an expected loss of $9.10 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt