---
title: "Sandstorm case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Sandstorm ($27.18) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.90% from 14 items with odds, observed 86.96% over 891 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/sandstorm
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:50Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Sandstorm](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/sandstorm)

# [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Sandstorm

A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/sandstorm?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/sandstorm?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/sandstorm) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/sandstorm?window=all)

Price · $27.18 · 38.83 coins

Advertised RTP · 90.90% · EV $24.71 from 14 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 86.96% · 891 openings, odds method

Variance · 5.2× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 12.2% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 68.8% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 55 openings · below min

7 days · 88.31% ±17.96 648 openings

30 days · 86.96% ±15.36 891 openings

since tracking started · 86.96% ±15.36 891 openings

46.5% 107.5% 168.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/sandstorm?window=24h) | 55 | 107.60% ±60.3 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/sandstorm?window=7d) | 648 | 88.31% ±18.0 | −0.3σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/sandstorm) | 891 | 86.96% ±15.4 | −0.5σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/sandstorm?window=all) | 891 | 86.96% ±15.4 | −0.5σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 14 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 891 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Emerald) StatTrak · knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-emerald) | 1 in 20,000 | $6,003 8,575 coins | 1.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Crimson Weave (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-crimson-weave-factory-new) | 1 in 20,000 | $1,879 2,685 coins | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Karambit \| Lore (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-lore-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $1,288 1,840 coins | 2.6% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-flip-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $287 410 coins | 1.2% | 1 | 0.9 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Urban Masked (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-urban-masked-well-worn) | 1 in 33 | $114 163 coins | 13.9% | 19 | 26.7 | 0.71× |
| [AK-47 \| The Empress (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-empress-minimal-wear) | 1 in 17 | $101 144 coins | 24.5% | 56 | 53.5 | 1.05× |
| [SSG 08 \| Blood in the Water (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-blood-in-the-water-field-tested) | 1 in 33 | $83.30 119 coins | 10.1% | 33 | 26.7 | 1.23× |
| [SSG 08 \| Turbo Peek (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-turbo-peek-factory-new) | 1 in 11 | $43.58 62.26 coins | 15.9% | 74 | 80.2 | 0.92× |
| [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Gold Toof (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-gold-toof-field-tested) | 10.0% | $38.31 54.73 coins | 15.5% | 100 | 89.1 | 1.12× |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| The Outsiders (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-the-outsiders-battle-scarred) | 10.8% | $17.77 25.39 coins | 7.8% | 91 | 96.6 | 0.94× |
| [Charm \| Semi-Precious charm · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-semi-precious) | 10.0% | $8.11 11.58 coins | 3.3% | 91 | 89.1 | 1.02× |
| [SCAR-20 \| Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-crimson-web-minimal-wear) | 15.0% | $3.91 5.58 coins | 2.4% | 131 | 133.7 | 0.98× |
| [AUG \| Radiation Hazard (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-radiation-hazard-field-tested) | 15.0% | $1.78 2.54 coins | 1.1% | 120 | 133.7 | 0.90× |
| [Tec-9 \| Sandstorm (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-sandstorm-battle-scarred) | 18.0% | $0.39 0.55 coins | 0.3% | 175 | 160.4 | 1.09× |

Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=sandstorm)

[SCAR-20 | Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-crimson-web-minimal-wear) [Miltsukkaaaw :3](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Miltsukkaaaw%20%3A3) $27.18 38.83 coins $3.91 5.58 coins 0.14x 2026-11-11 11:51 UTC

[SCAR-20 | Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-crimson-web-minimal-wear) Hidden $27.18 38.83 coins $3.91 5.58 coins 0.14x 2026-11-11 11:51 UTC

[★ Bayonet | Urban Masked (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-urban-masked-well-worn) Hidden $27.18 38.83 coins $114 163 coins 4.20x 2026-11-11 11:51 UTC

[SSG 08 | Turbo Peek (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-turbo-peek-factory-new) Hidden $27.18 38.83 coins $43.58 62.26 coins 1.60x 2026-11-11 11:51 UTC

[Tec-9 | Sandstorm (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-sandstorm-battle-scarred) [PDCDRAGON](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/PDCDRAGON) $27.18 38.83 coins $0.39 0.55 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 08:08 UTC

[Tec-9 | Sandstorm (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-sandstorm-battle-scarred) Hidden $27.18 38.83 coins $0.39 0.55 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 08:08 UTC

[Charm | Semi-Precious charm · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-semi-precious) Hidden $27.18 38.83 coins $8.11 11.58 coins 0.30x 2026-11-11 08:08 UTC

[★ Bayonet | Urban Masked (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-urban-masked-well-worn) Hidden $27.18 38.83 coins $114 163 coins 4.20x 2026-11-11 08:08 UTC

[StatTrak™ AK-47 | The Outsiders (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-the-outsiders-battle-scarred) Hidden $27.18 38.83 coins $17.77 25.39 coins 0.65x 2026-11-11 08:08 UTC

[StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Gold Toof (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-gold-toof-field-tested) Hidden $27.18 38.83 coins $38.31 54.73 coins 1.41x 2026-11-11 08:08 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 9 Nov, 14:08 UTC | $27.18 | 90.90% | 14 |
| 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $27.20 | 90.91% | 14 |
| 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $26.29 | 90.90% | 14 |
| 6 Nov, 10:50 UTC | $26.32 | 90.91% | 14 |
| 3 Nov, 09:32 UTC | $26.32 | 90.91% | 14 |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $26.31 | 90.90% | 14 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 12.2% legendary 0.0% classified 9.0% rare 30.8% mil spec 33.0% industrial 15.0% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.90 on average: an expected loss of $9.10 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt