--- title: "Scanner case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Scanner ($128.84) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.91% from 18 items with odds, observed 37.54% over 16 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/scanner rendered: 2026-11-11T13:26Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Scanner](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/scanner) # [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Scanner A case on CSGORoll (40%), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/scanner?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/scanner?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/scanner) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/scanner?window=all) Price · $128.84 · 184 coins Advertised RTP · 90.91% · EV $117.12 from 18 items Observed RTP, 30d · 37.54% · 16 openings, odds method Variance · 1.7× · of price², per opening Tail share · 15.1% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 75.4% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 9 openings · below min 30 days · 16 openings · below min since tracking started · 16 openings · below min -0.5% 65.5% 131.5% **Small sample.** 16 openings and 2.4 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/scanner?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/scanner?window=7d) | 9 | 45.17% ±85.9 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/scanner) | 16 | 37.54% ±64.4 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/scanner?window=all) | 16 | 37.54% ±64.4 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 18 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 16 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AK-47 \| X-Ray (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-x-ray-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $1,518 2,169 coins | 1.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [M4A4 \| Poseidon (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poseidon-factory-new) | 1 in 222 | $1,241 1,773 coins | 4.8% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Specialist Gloves \| Crimson Kimono (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-crimson-kimono-battle-scarred) | 1 in 286 | $1,100 1,571 coins | 3.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Talon Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4) knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-4) | 1 in 200 | $840 1,200 coins | 3.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Karambit \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 222 | $784 1,120 coins | 3.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Moto Gloves \| Blood Pressure (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-blood-pressure-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $627 896 coins | 5.4% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Karambit \| Lore (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-lore-field-tested) | 1 in 83 | $598 854 coins | 6.1% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) StatTrak · knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-shadow-daggers-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 67 | $415 593 coins | 5.3% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [★ Bayonet \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $258 369 coins | 4.4% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [★ Shadow Daggers \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 27 | $228 326 coins | 7.3% | 1 | 0.6 | — | | [★ Ursus Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3) knife · covert · Phase 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-3) | 1 in 26 | $203 290 coins | 6.6% | 0 | 0.6 | — | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Amphibious (Battle-Scarred) gloves · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-amphibious-battle-scarred) | 1 in 22 | $183 261 coins | 7.0% | 0 | 0.7 | — | | [★ Flip Knife \| Lore (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-lore-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $148 211 coins | 6.3% | 0 | 0.8 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1) StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-shadow-daggers-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-1) | 1 in 11 | $115 165 coins | 9.3% | 1 | 1.5 | 0.66× | | [★ Bowie Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 17 | $111 158 coins | 5.7% | 0 | 1.0 | — | | [FAMAS \| Styx (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-styx-factory-new) | 20.0% | $98.00 140 coins | 16.7% | 3 | 3.2 | 0.94× | | [AK-47 \| Slate (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-slate-factory-new) | 20.0% | $13.61 19.44 coins | 2.3% | 6 | 3.2 | 1.88× | | [Five-SeveN \| Case Hardened (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-case-hardened-field-tested) | 20.0% | $9.56 13.66 coins | 1.6% | 5 | 3.2 | 1.56× | Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=scanner) [AK-47 | Slate (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-slate-factory-new) Hidden $131 188 coins $14.04 20.06 coins 0.11x 2026-11-06 17:05 UTC [Five-SeveN | Case Hardened (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-case-hardened-field-tested) Hidden $131 188 coins $10.21 14.58 coins 0.08x 2026-11-06 17:05 UTC [Five-SeveN | Case Hardened (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-case-hardened-field-tested) [hellsten05](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/hellsten05) $131 188 coins $10.21 14.58 coins 0.08x 2026-11-06 17:05 UTC [AK-47 | Slate (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-slate-factory-new) Hidden $131 188 coins $14.04 20.06 coins 0.11x 2026-11-06 11:42 UTC [★ Shadow Daggers | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) [L3MON™ csgoroll.com](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/L3MON%E2%84%A2%20csgoroll.com) $131 188 coins $243 347 coins 1.85x 2026-11-06 11:42 UTC [AK-47 | Slate (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-slate-factory-new) Hidden $131 188 coins $14.04 20.06 coins 0.11x 2026-11-06 11:42 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1) StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-shadow-daggers-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-1) [L3MON™ csgoroll.com](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/L3MON%E2%84%A2%20csgoroll.com) $131 188 coins $116 166 coins 0.89x 2026-11-06 11:42 UTC [FAMAS | Styx (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-styx-factory-new) Hidden $131 188 coins $98.00 140 coins 0.75x 2026-11-06 10:50 UTC [AK-47 | Slate (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-slate-factory-new) [L3MON™ csgoroll.com](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/L3MON%E2%84%A2%20csgoroll.com) $131 188 coins $14.04 20.06 coins 0.11x 2026-11-06 10:50 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $129 | 90.91% | 18 | | 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $129 | 90.91% | 18 | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $131 | 90.91% | 18 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 33.7% classified 0.4% extraordinary 0.4% legendary 1.0% rare 4.5% restricted 60.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.91 on average: an expected loss of $9.09 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt