---
title: "Seven Seas case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Seven Seas ($49.75) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.91% from 18 items with odds, observed 87.50% over 784 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/seven-seas
rendered: 2026-11-11T17:40Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Seven Seas](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/seven-seas)

# [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Seven Seas

A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/seven-seas?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/seven-seas?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/seven-seas) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/seven-seas?window=all)

Price · $49.75 · 71.07 coins

Advertised RTP · 90.91% · EV $45.23 from 18 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 87.50% · 784 openings, odds method

Variance · 1.7× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 13.3% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 64.7% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 64 openings · below min

7 days · 90.93% ±9.94 661 openings

30 days · 87.50% ±9.12 784 openings

since tracking started · 87.50% ±9.12 784 openings

47.0% 79.5% 112.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/seven-seas?window=24h) | 64 | 79.52% ±31.9 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/seven-seas?window=7d) | 661 | 90.93% ±9.94 | +0.0σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/seven-seas) | 784 | 87.50% ±9.12 | −0.7σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/seven-seas?window=all) | 784 | 87.50% ±9.12 | −0.7σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 18 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 784 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-sapphire) | 1 in 5,000 | $799 1,142 coins | 0.4% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 2,500 | $435 622 coins | 0.4% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Bright Water (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-bright-water-field-tested) | 1 in 200 | $424 606 coins | 4.7% | 6 | 3.9 | 1.53× |
| [M4A1-S \| Icarus Fell (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-icarus-fell-factory-new) | 1 in 400 | $385 550 coins | 2.1% | 1 | 2.0 | 0.51× |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Bright Water (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-bright-water-well-worn) | 1 in 167 | $292 417 coins | 3.9% | 2 | 4.7 | 0.43× |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 100 | $291 415 coins | 6.4% | 9 | 7.8 | 1.15× |
| [M4A1-S \| Nightmare (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-nightmare-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $186 266 coins | 20.6% | 28 | 39.2 | 0.71× |
| [SSG 08 \| Blood in the Water (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-blood-in-the-water-factory-new) | 1 in 40 | $116 166 coins | 6.4% | 24 | 19.6 | 1.22× |
| [P2000 \| Ocean Foam (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-ocean-foam-factory-new) | 1 in 71 | $91.00 130 coins | 2.8% | 10 | 11.0 | 0.91× |
| [P2000 \| Ocean Foam (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-ocean-foam-minimal-wear) | 1 in 50 | $88.90 127 coins | 3.9% | 14 | 15.7 | 0.89× |
| [USP-S \| Royal Blue (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-royal-blue-factory-new) | 1 in 14 | $72.80 104 coins | 11.3% | 63 | 54.9 | 1.15× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Cobalt Disruption (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-cobalt-disruption-field-tested) | 1 in 14 | $65.46 93.51 coins | 10.1% | 48 | 54.9 | 0.87× |
| [Glock-18 \| Water Elemental (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-water-elemental-factory-new) | 1 in 13 | $52.74 75.35 coins | 9.3% | 77 | 62.7 | 1.23× |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Blue Steel (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-blue-steel-well-worn) | 1 in 25 | $44.56 63.65 coins | 3.9% | 27 | 31.4 | 0.86× |
| [AUG \| Anodized Navy (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-anodized-navy-minimal-wear) | 1 in 11 | $28.27 40.38 coins | 5.6% | 70 | 70.6 | 0.99× |
| [AK-47 \| Blue Laminate (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-blue-laminate-field-tested) | 14.0% | $12.87 18.38 coins | 4.0% | 105 | 109.8 | 0.96× |
| [MP5-SD \| Phosphor (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-phosphor-minimal-wear) | 17.0% | $5.45 7.78 coins | 2.0% | 145 | 133.3 | 1.09× |
| [MAG-7 \| Hard Water (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-hard-water-minimal-wear) | 20.7% | $4.52 6.46 coins | 2.1% | 155 | 162.2 | 0.96× |

Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 14:28 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=seven-seas)

[MAG-7 | Hard Water (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-hard-water-minimal-wear) Hidden $49.75 71.07 coins $4.52 6.46 coins 0.09x 2026-11-11 16:59 UTC

[AUG | Anodized Navy (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-anodized-navy-minimal-wear) Hidden $49.75 71.07 coins $28.27 40.38 coins 0.57x 2026-11-11 16:58 UTC

[MAG-7 | Hard Water (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-hard-water-minimal-wear) Hidden $49.75 71.07 coins $4.52 6.46 coins 0.09x 2026-11-11 16:47 UTC

[MAG-7 | Hard Water (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-hard-water-minimal-wear) [Twewis](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Twewis) $49.75 71.07 coins $4.52 6.46 coins 0.09x 2026-11-11 16:47 UTC

[P2000 | Ocean Foam (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-ocean-foam-minimal-wear) Hidden $49.75 71.07 coins $88.90 127 coins 1.79x 2026-11-11 16:47 UTC

[AUG | Anodized Navy (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-anodized-navy-minimal-wear) Hidden $49.75 71.07 coins $28.27 40.38 coins 0.57x 2026-11-11 16:47 UTC

[AUG | Anodized Navy (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-anodized-navy-minimal-wear) Hidden $49.75 71.07 coins $28.27 40.38 coins 0.57x 2026-11-11 16:47 UTC

[Glock-18 | Water Elemental (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-water-elemental-factory-new) Hidden $49.75 71.07 coins $52.74 75.35 coins 1.06x 2026-11-11 16:47 UTC

[AK-47 | Blue Laminate (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-blue-laminate-field-tested) Hidden $49.75 71.07 coins $12.87 18.38 coins 0.26x 2026-11-11 16:43 UTC

[AK-47 | Blue Laminate (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-blue-laminate-field-tested) Hidden $49.75 71.07 coins $12.87 18.38 coins 0.26x 2026-11-11 16:41 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $49.75 | 90.91% | 18 |
| 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $49.91 | 90.91% | 18 |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $49.41 | 90.91% | 18 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 8.7% restricted 14.3% classified 40.4% industrial 7.0% mil spec 29.7% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.91 on average: an expected loss of $9.09 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt