--- title: "Sheeeeeeeeeesh case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Sheeeeeeeeeesh ($52.65) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.91% from 15 items with odds, observed 94.14% over 147 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/sheeeeeeeeeesh rendered: 2026-11-11T17:04Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Sheeeeeeeeeesh](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/sheeeeeeeeeesh) # [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Sheeeeeeeeeesh A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/sheeeeeeeeeesh?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/sheeeeeeeeeesh?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/sheeeeeeeeeesh) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/sheeeeeeeeeesh?window=all) Price · $52.65 · 75.21 coins Advertised RTP · 90.91% · EV $47.86 from 15 items Observed RTP, 30d · 94.14% · 147 openings, odds method Variance · 1.4× · of price², per opening Tail share · 16.6% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 73.4% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 4 openings · below min 7 days · 110.92% ±23.52 103 openings 30 days · 94.14% ±19.69 147 openings since tracking started · 94.14% ±19.69 147 openings 31.5% 150.3% 269.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/sheeeeeeeeeesh?window=24h) | 4 | 150.26% ±118.0 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/sheeeeeeeeeesh?window=7d) | 103 | 110.92% ±23.5 | +1.7σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/sheeeeeeeeeesh) | 147 | 94.14% ±19.7 | +0.3σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/sheeeeeeeeeesh?window=all) | 147 | 94.14% ±19.7 | +0.3σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 15 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 147 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Kill Confirmed (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-kill-confirmed-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $697 996 coins | 1.5% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [AK-47 \| Fire Serpent (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fire-serpent-well-worn) | 1 in 10,000 | $634 905 coins | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Skeleton Knife \| Fade (Minimal Wear) knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 10,000 | $427 610 coins | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Desert Eagle \| Sunset Storm 弐 (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-sunset-storm-minimal-wear) | 1 in 500 | $404 577 coins | 1.7% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [★ Skeleton Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $382 545 coins | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ AWP \| Wildfire (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-wildfire-factory-new) | 1 in 333 | $255 365 coins | 1.6% | 0 | 0.4 | — | | [SSG 08 \| Dragonfire (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-dragonfire-field-tested) | 1 in 13 | $193 276 coins | 32.3% | 14 | 11.8 | 1.19× | | [M4A4 \| Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-asiimov-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $174 249 coins | 3.6% | 2 | 1.5 | 1.36× | | [AK-47 \| Bloodsport (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-bloodsport-minimal-wear) | 1 in 33 | $118 168 coins | 7.4% | 5 | 4.4 | 1.13× | | [Glock-18 \| Bullet Queen (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-bullet-queen-factory-new) | 1 in 25 | $102 145 coins | 8.5% | 10 | 5.9 | 1.70× | | [USP-S \| Neo-Noir (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-neo-noir-well-worn) | 10.0% | $95.20 136 coins | 19.9% | 9 | 14.7 | 0.61× | | [FAMAS \| Commemoration (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-commemoration-minimal-wear) | 12.0% | $30.51 43.58 coins | 7.6% | 27 | 17.6 | 1.53× | | [StatTrak™ SG 553 \| Cyrex (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sg-553-cyrex-minimal-wear) | 1 in 17 | $16.34 23.34 coins | 2.0% | 10 | 8.8 | 1.13× | | [P250 \| Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-asiimov-field-tested) | 28.0% | $11.77 16.82 coins | 6.9% | 37 | 41.2 | 0.90× | | [P250 \| Muertos (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-muertos-battle-scarred) | 27.4% | $11.70 16.71 coins | 6.7% | 33 | 40.2 | 0.82× | Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 14:28 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=sheeeeeeeeeesh) [SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-dragonfire-field-tested) Hidden $52.65 75.21 coins $193 276 coins 3.67x 2026-11-10 20:27 UTC [P250 | Muertos (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-muertos-battle-scarred) Hidden $52.65 75.21 coins $11.70 16.71 coins 0.22x 2026-11-10 20:27 UTC [StatTrak™ SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sg-553-cyrex-minimal-wear) Hidden $52.65 75.21 coins $16.34 23.34 coins 0.31x 2026-11-10 20:27 UTC [USP-S | Neo-Noir (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-neo-noir-well-worn) [Russy](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Russy) $52.65 75.21 coins $95.20 136 coins 1.81x 2026-11-10 20:27 UTC [P250 | Muertos (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-muertos-battle-scarred) Hidden $52.65 75.21 coins $11.70 16.71 coins 0.22x 2026-11-09 20:16 UTC [P250 | Muertos (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-muertos-battle-scarred) Hidden $52.65 75.21 coins $11.70 16.71 coins 0.22x 2026-11-09 20:16 UTC [FAMAS | Commemoration (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-commemoration-minimal-wear) Hidden $52.65 75.21 coins $30.51 43.58 coins 0.58x 2026-11-09 20:16 UTC [P250 | Muertos (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-muertos-battle-scarred) Hidden $52.65 75.21 coins $11.70 16.71 coins 0.22x 2026-11-09 20:16 UTC [FAMAS | Commemoration (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-commemoration-minimal-wear) [krnl2k](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/krnl2k) $52.65 75.21 coins $30.51 43.58 coins 0.58x 2026-11-09 20:16 UTC [P250 | Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-asiimov-field-tested) Hidden $52.65 75.21 coins $11.77 16.82 coins 0.22x 2026-11-09 20:16 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $52.65 | 90.91% | 15 | | 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $52.72 | 90.90% | 15 | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $52.61 | 90.91% | 15 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 38.4% legendary 0.0% restricted 0.2% classified 61.4% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.91 on average: an expected loss of $9.09 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt