--- title: "Showdown case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Showdown ($950.43) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.91% from 12 items with odds. Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/showdown rendered: 2026-11-11T13:24Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Showdown](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/showdown) # [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Showdown A case on CSGORoll (20%), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/showdown?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/showdown?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/showdown) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/showdown?window=all) Price · $950.43 · 1,358 coins Advertised RTP · 90.91% · EV $864.03 from 12 items Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings Variance · 5.8× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 16 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 80.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker **No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/showdown?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/showdown?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/showdown) | 0 | — | — | — | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/showdown?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [EMS Katowice 2014 Legends other · base](https://gambatracker.com/items/ems-katowice-2014-legends) | 1 in 200 | $25K 35,730 coins | 14.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sticker \| Natus Vincere (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-natus-vincere-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 133 | $10.3K 14,660 coins | 8.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sticker \| Ninjas in Pyjamas (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ninjas-in-pyjamas-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 25 | $5,040 7,200 coins | 23.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sticker \| Virtus.Pro (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-virtus-pro-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 100 | $4,305 6,150 coins | 5.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sticker \| Clan-Mystik (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-clan-mystik-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 133 | $4,288 6,125 coins | 3.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sticker \| iBUYPOWER \| Katowice 2014 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ibuypower-katowice-2014) | 1 in 100 | $4,035 5,765 coins | 4.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sticker \| Reason Gaming \| Katowice 2014 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-reason-gaming-katowice-2014) | 1 in 33 | $3,164 4,520 coins | 11.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sticker \| Titan \| Katowice 2014 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-titan-katowice-2014) | 1 in 100 | $3,136 4,480 coins | 3.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sticker \| Vox Eminor (Holo) \| Katowice 2015 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-vox-eminor-holo-katowice-2015) | 1 in 13 | $1,387 1,982 coins | 12.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sticker \| Natus Vincere \| Katowice 2014 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-natus-vincere-katowice-2014) | 10.0% | $666 951 coins | 7.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Audience Participation Parcel other · base](https://gambatracker.com/items/audience-participation-parcel) | 35.0% | $88.20 126 coins | 3.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Boston 2018 Minor Challengers with Flash Gaming (Holo-Foil) other · base](https://gambatracker.com/items/boston-2018-minor-challengers-with-flash-gaming-holo-foil) | 35.0% | $28.97 41.38 coins | 1.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=showdown) **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days No history yet ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $950 | 90.91% | 12 | | 3 Nov, 15:54 UTC | $955 | 90.91% | 12 | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $955 | 90.91% | 12 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed base 70.5% remarkable 12.8% legendary 1.8% high 15.0% 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.91 on average: an expected loss of $9.09 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt