--- title: "Shutdown case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Shutdown ($4,195.79) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.91% from 12 items with odds. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/shutdown rendered: 2026-11-11T13:11Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Shutdown](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/shutdown) # [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Shutdown A case on CSGORoll (10%), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/shutdown?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/shutdown?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/shutdown) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/shutdown?window=all) Price · $4,195.79 · 5,994 coins Advertised RTP · 90.91% · EV $3,814.36 from 12 items Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings Variance · 2.1× · of price², per opening Tail share · 40.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 90.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker **No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/shutdown?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/shutdown?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/shutdown) | 0 | — | — | — | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/shutdown?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Sticker \| Titan (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-titan-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 345 | $63.7K 90,950 coins | 4.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sticker \| Reason Gaming (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-reason-gaming-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 200 | $38K 54,245 coins | 5.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sticker \| Team Dignitas (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-dignitas-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 33 | $21.8K 31,155 coins | 17.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sticker \| Team LDLC.com (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-ldlc-com-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 33 | $20.8K 29,650 coins | 16.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Souvenir AWP \| Dragon Lore (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-dragon-lore-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $11.5K 16,375 coins | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Souvenir AWP \| Dragon Lore (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-dragon-lore-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,000 | $8,880 12,685 coins | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Souvenir AWP \| Dragon Lore (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-dragon-lore-well-worn) | 1 in 100 | $6,808 9,725 coins | 1.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Souvenir AWP \| Dragon Lore (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-dragon-lore-field-tested) | 1 in 667 | $6,545 9,350 coins | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Vice (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-vice-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $5,600 8,000 coins | 2.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Talon Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 30.0% | $2,667 3,810 coins | 21.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| The Prince (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-the-prince-factory-new) | 30.0% | $2,454 3,505 coins | 19.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Bayonet \| Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-emerald) | 30.0% | $1,438 2,054 coins | 11.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=shutdown) **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days No history yet ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $4,196 | 90.91% | 12 | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $4,214 | 90.91% | 12 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed legendary 0.3% remarkable 6.5% covert 91.2% extraordinary 2.0% 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.91 on average: an expected loss of $9.09 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt