---
title: "Sightless case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Sightless ($98.43) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.91% from 20 items with odds, observed 91.90% over 787 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/sightless
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:26Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Sightless](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/sightless)

# [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Sightless

A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/sightless?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/sightless?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/sightless) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/sightless?window=all)

Price · $98.43 · 141 coins

Advertised RTP · 90.91% · EV $89.48 from 20 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 91.90% · 787 openings, odds method

Variance · 0.8× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 24.5% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 62.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 89 openings · below min

7 days · 91.27% ±6.82 661 openings

30 days · 91.90% ±6.25 787 openings

since tracking started · 91.90% ±6.25 787 openings

63.0% 82.0% 101.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/sightless?window=24h) | 89 | 82.01% ±18.5 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/sightless?window=7d) | 661 | 91.27% ±6.82 | +0.1σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/sightless) | 787 | 91.90% ±6.25 | +0.3σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/sightless?window=all) | 787 | 91.90% ±6.25 | +0.3σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 20 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 789 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Karambit \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-minimal-wear-black-pearl) | 1 in 100,000 | $7,252 10,360 coins | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Fade (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $1,165 1,664 coins | 0.1% | 1 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $799 1,141 coins | 0.4% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-slaughter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,250 | $623 890 coins | 0.6% | 1 | 0.6 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Case Hardened (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-case-hardened-factory-new) | 1 in 125 | $414 592 coins | 3.7% | 4 | 6.3 | 0.63× |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Neon Rider (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-neon-rider-factory-new) | 1 in 67 | $360 514 coins | 6.0% | 15 | 11.8 | 1.27× |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Vice (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-vice-field-tested) | 1 in 50,000 | $346 494 coins | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Black Laminate (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-black-laminate-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $286 409 coins | 0.3% | 1 | 0.8 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Hellfire (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-hellfire-factory-new) | 1 in 14 | $279 398 coins | 21.8% | 60 | 55.2 | 1.09× |
| [★ Bayonet \| Slaughter (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-slaughter-field-tested) | 1 in 200 | $259 370 coins | 1.4% | 5 | 3.9 | 1.27× |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-hyper-beast-minimal-wear) | 1 in 33 | $159 227 coins | 5.3% | 21 | 23.7 | 0.89× |
| [Galil AR \| Aqua Terrace (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-aqua-terrace-factory-new) | 1 in 25 | $131 187 coins | 5.9% | 31 | 31.6 | 0.98× |
| [AWP \| Corticera (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-corticera-factory-new) | 1 in 13 | $112 160 coins | 9.4% | 44 | 59.2 | 0.74× |
| [M4A1-S \| Hyper Beast (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hyper-beast-well-worn) | 13.5% | $107 153 coins | 16.2% | 96 | 106.5 | 0.90× |
| [P90 \| Death by Kitty (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-death-by-kitty-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20 | $80.50 115 coins | 4.5% | 39 | 39.5 | 0.99× |
| [AWP \| Redline (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-redline-minimal-wear) | 1 in 17 | $51.53 73.61 coins | 3.5% | 66 | 47.3 | 1.39× |
| [Glock-18 \| Bullet Queen (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-bullet-queen-battle-scarred) | 20.0% | $50.64 72.34 coins | 11.3% | 157 | 157.8 | 0.99× |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Safari Mesh (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-safari-mesh-battle-scarred) | 1 in 20 | $42.52 60.74 coins | 2.4% | 44 | 39.5 | 1.12× |
| [AK-47 \| Black Laminate (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-black-laminate-field-tested) | 10.0% | $34.52 49.31 coins | 3.9% | 89 | 78.9 | 1.13× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Crimson Web (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-crimson-web-factory-new) | 16.0% | $18.20 26 coins | 3.2% | 115 | 125.9 | 0.91× |

Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[Glock-18 | Fade (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-fade-factory-new) Hidden $98.43 141 coins $1,165 1,664 coins 11.83x 2026-11-10 11:44 UTC

[★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Slaughter (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-slaughter-minimal-wear) Hidden $98.43 141 coins $623 890 coins 6.33x 2026-11-09 07:20 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=sightless)

[★ Shadow Daggers | Safari Mesh (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-safari-mesh-battle-scarred) Hidden $98.43 141 coins $42.52 60.74 coins 0.43x 2026-11-11 13:21 UTC

[Glock-18 | Bullet Queen (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-bullet-queen-battle-scarred) Hidden $98.43 141 coins $50.64 72.34 coins 0.51x 2026-11-11 12:37 UTC

[M4A1-S | Hyper Beast (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hyper-beast-well-worn) Hidden $98.43 141 coins $107 153 coins 1.09x 2026-11-11 11:28 UTC

[M4A4 | Hellfire (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-hellfire-factory-new) [Jhon csgoroll.com](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Jhon%20csgoroll.com) $98.43 141 coins $279 398 coins 2.83x 2026-11-11 11:28 UTC

[Galil AR | Aqua Terrace (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-aqua-terrace-factory-new) Hidden $98.43 141 coins $131 187 coins 1.33x 2026-11-11 10:15 UTC

[StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-hyper-beast-minimal-wear) Hidden $98.43 141 coins $159 227 coins 1.61x 2026-11-11 09:36 UTC

[AK-47 | Black Laminate (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-black-laminate-field-tested) Hidden $98.43 141 coins $34.52 49.31 coins 0.35x 2026-11-11 08:57 UTC

[Glock-18 | Bullet Queen (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-bullet-queen-battle-scarred) Hidden $98.43 141 coins $50.64 72.34 coins 0.51x 2026-11-11 08:02 UTC

[CZ75-Auto | Crimson Web (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-crimson-web-factory-new) Hidden $98.43 141 coins $18.20 26 coins 0.18x 2026-11-11 07:43 UTC

[AK-47 | Black Laminate (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-black-laminate-field-tested) Hidden $98.43 141 coins $34.52 49.31 coins 0.35x 2026-11-11 07:09 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $98.43 | 90.91% | 20 |
| 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $98.22 | 90.91% | 20 |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $98.68 | 90.91% | 20 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 49.5% restricted 0.0% extraordinary 0.0% classified 20.5% mil spec 30.0% best hit $1,165 (11.83x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.91 on average: an expected loss of $9.09 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt