---
title: "Six Seven case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Six Seven ($15.29) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.91% from 16 items with odds, observed 89.06% over 3,186 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/six-seven
rendered: 2026-11-11T16:03Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Six Seven](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/six-seven)

# [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Six Seven

A case on CSGORoll (pistols, 30%), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/six-seven?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/six-seven?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/six-seven) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/six-seven?window=all)

Price · $15.29 · 21.84 coins

Advertised RTP · 90.91% · EV $13.90 from 16 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 89.06% · 3,186 openings, odds method

Variance · 5.4× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 13 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 70.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 71.87% ±25.34 322 openings

7 days · 89.34% ±8.43 2,885 openings

30 days · 89.06% ±8.02 3,186 openings

since tracking started · 89.06% ±8.02 3,186 openings

46.0% 72.3% 98.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/six-seven?window=24h) | 322 | 71.87% ±25.3 | −1.5σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/six-seven?window=7d) | 2,885 | 89.34% ±8.43 | −0.4σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/six-seven) | 3,186 | 89.06% ±8.02 | −0.5σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/six-seven?window=all) | 3,186 | 89.06% ±8.02 | −0.5σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 16 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 3,186 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Five-SeveN \| Neon Kimono (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-neon-kimono-factory-new) | 1 in 500 | $465 664 coins | 6.7% | 4 | 6.4 | 0.63× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Fall Hazard (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-fall-hazard-factory-new) | 1 in 333 | $314 448 coins | 6.8% | 10 | 9.6 | 1.05× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Hyper Beast (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-hyper-beast-field-tested) | 1 in 400 | $226 323 coins | 4.1% | 10 | 8.0 | 1.26× |
| [StatTrak™ Five-SeveN \| Fairy Tale (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-fairy-tale-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $206 294 coins | 7.4% | 14 | 15.9 | 0.88× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Berries And Cherries (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-berries-and-cherries-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $69.59 99.41 coins | 5.0% | 32 | 31.9 | 1.00× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Crimson Blossom (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-crimson-blossom-minimal-wear) | 1 in 67 | $67.59 96.55 coins | 7.3% | 47 | 47.8 | 0.98× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Candy Apple (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-candy-apple-minimal-wear) | 1 in 57 | $54.19 77.42 coins | 6.8% | 58 | 55.8 | 1.04× |
| [StatTrak™ Five-SeveN \| Angry Mob (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-angry-mob-battle-scarred) | 1 in 40 | $49.74 71.06 coins | 8.9% | 89 | 79.7 | 1.12× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Hot Shot (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-hot-shot-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $33.85 48.36 coins | 12.2% | 144 | 159.3 | 0.90× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Case Hardened (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-case-hardened-factory-new) | 1 in 17 | $29.87 42.67 coins | 12.9% | 191 | 191.2 | 1.00× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Nitro (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-nitro-field-tested) | 1 in 33 | $25.86 36.94 coins | 5.6% | 99 | 95.6 | 1.04× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Heat Treated (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-heat-treated-factory-new) | 1 in 13 | $15.72 22.46 coins | 9.0% | 246 | 254.9 | 0.97× |
| [StatTrak™ Five-SeveN \| Retrobution (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-retrobution-minimal-wear) | 10.0% | $4.89 6.98 coins | 3.5% | 301 | 318.6 | 0.94× |
| [StatTrak™ Five-SeveN \| Buddy (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-buddy-minimal-wear) | 15.0% | $2.53 3.61 coins | 2.7% | 497 | 477.9 | 1.04× |
| [Souvenir Five-SeveN \| Withered Vine (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-five-seven-withered-vine-well-worn) | 20.0% | $0.72 1.03 coins | 1.0% | 616 | 637.2 | 0.97× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Coolant (Field-Tested) weapon · #777777](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-coolant-field-tested) | 25.0% | \<$0.01 0.01 coins | 0.0% | 828 | 796.5 | 1.04× |

Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 14:28 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=six-seven)

[Souvenir Five-SeveN | Withered Vine (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-five-seven-withered-vine-well-worn) Hidden $15.29 21.84 coins $0.72 1.03 coins 0.05x 2026-11-11 15:15 UTC

[StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Buddy (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-buddy-minimal-wear) Hidden $15.29 21.84 coins $2.53 3.61 coins 0.17x 2026-11-11 15:15 UTC

[StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Buddy (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-buddy-minimal-wear) Hidden $15.29 21.84 coins $2.53 3.61 coins 0.17x 2026-11-11 15:15 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Coolant (Field-Tested) weapon · #777777](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-coolant-field-tested) Hidden $15.29 21.84 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 15:15 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Candy Apple (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-candy-apple-minimal-wear) Hidden $15.29 21.84 coins $54.19 77.42 coins 3.54x 2026-11-11 15:15 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Heat Treated (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-heat-treated-factory-new) [ZaneTrain](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/ZaneTrain) $15.29 21.84 coins $15.72 22.46 coins 1.03x 2026-11-11 15:15 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Coolant (Field-Tested) weapon · #777777](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-coolant-field-tested) Hidden $15.29 21.84 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:38 UTC

[StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Buddy (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-buddy-minimal-wear) Hidden $15.29 21.84 coins $2.53 3.61 coins 0.17x 2026-11-11 12:38 UTC

[StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Buddy (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-buddy-minimal-wear) Hidden $15.29 21.84 coins $2.53 3.61 coins 0.17x 2026-11-11 12:38 UTC

[Souvenir Five-SeveN | Withered Vine (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-five-seven-withered-vine-well-worn) Hidden $15.29 21.84 coins $0.72 1.03 coins 0.05x 2026-11-11 12:38 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 9 Nov, 00:04 UTC | $15.29 | 90.91% | 16 |
| 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $15.27 | 90.89% | 16 |
| 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $15.35 | 90.89% | 16 |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $15.16 | 90.91% | 16 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed restricted 40.2% classified 0.8% covert 2.8% mil spec 4.5% industrial 26.8% #777777 25.0% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.91 on average: an expected loss of $9.09 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt