--- title: "Skeleton case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Skeleton ($61.94) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.91% from 14 items with odds, observed 85.91% over 2,260 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/skeleton rendered: 2026-11-11T13:26Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Skeleton](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/skeleton) # [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Skeleton A case on CSGORoll (10%), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/skeleton?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/skeleton?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/skeleton) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/skeleton?window=all) Price · $61.94 · 88.48 coins Advertised RTP · 90.91% · EV $56.30 from 14 items Observed RTP, 30d · 85.91% · 2,260 openings, odds method Variance · 3.5× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 11 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 90.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 79.36% ±25.46 210 openings 7 days · 83.58% ±8.57 1,783 openings 30 days · 85.91% ±7.60 2,260 openings since tracking started · 85.91% ±7.60 2,260 openings 53.5% 79.5% 105.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/skeleton?window=24h) | 210 | 79.36% ±25.5 | −0.9σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/skeleton?window=7d) | 1,783 | 83.58% ±8.57 | −1.7σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/skeleton) | 2,260 | 85.91% ±7.60 | −1.3σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/skeleton?window=all) | 2,260 | 85.91% ±7.60 | −1.3σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 14 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 2,263 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Skeleton Knife \| Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 333 | $1,474 2,105 coins | 7.9% | 4 | 6.8 | 0.59× | | [★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife \| Urban Masked (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-skeleton-knife-urban-masked-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $675 964 coins | 12.0% | 24 | 22.6 | 1.06× | | [★ Skeleton Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 333 | $436 623 coins | 2.3% | 4 | 6.8 | 0.59× | | [★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife \| Stained (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-skeleton-knife-stained-factory-new) | 1 in 125 | $399 570 coins | 5.7% | 15 | 18.1 | 0.83× | | [★ Skeleton Knife \| Slaughter (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-slaughter-field-tested) | 1 in 333 | $331 473 coins | 1.8% | 4 | 6.8 | 0.59× | | [★ Skeleton Knife \| Boreal Forest (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-boreal-forest-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $292 417 coins | 5.2% | 20 | 22.6 | 0.88× | | [★ Skeleton Knife \| Scorched (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-scorched-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $235 336 coins | 4.2% | 23 | 22.6 | 1.02× | | [★ Skeleton Knife \| Case Hardened (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-case-hardened-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $229 327 coins | 4.1% | 25 | 22.6 | 1.10× | | [★ Skeleton Knife knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife) | 1 in 333 | $198 283 coins | 1.1% | 11 | 6.8 | 1.62× | | [★ Skeleton Knife \| Blue Steel (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-blue-steel-well-worn) | 1 in 100 | $175 250 coins | 3.1% | 18 | 22.6 | 0.80× | | [★ Skeleton Knife \| Night Stripe (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-night-stripe-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $134 191 coins | 2.4% | 18 | 22.6 | 0.80× | | [★ Skeleton Knife \| Forest DDPAT (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-forest-ddpat-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $111 159 coins | 2.0% | 22 | 22.6 | 0.97× | | [★ Skeleton Knife \| Safari Mesh (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-safari-mesh-well-worn) | 1 in 100 | $96.60 138 coins | 1.7% | 18 | 22.6 | 0.80× | | [AWP \| Exoskeleton (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-exoskeleton-factory-new) | 90.0% | $29.25 41.78 coins | 46.7% | 2,057 | 2036.7 | 1.01× | Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Skeleton Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) Hidden $61.94 88.48 coins $1,474 2,105 coins 23.79x 2026-11-09 18:13 UTC [★ Skeleton Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) Hidden $62.78 89.69 coins $1,415 2,022 coins 22.54x 2026-11-08 04:17 UTC [★ Skeleton Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) Hidden $62.78 89.69 coins $1,415 2,022 coins 22.54x 2026-11-07 00:25 UTC [★ Skeleton Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) Hidden $62.78 89.69 coins $1,415 2,022 coins 22.54x 2026-11-05 19:23 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife | Urban Masked (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-skeleton-knife-urban-masked-factory-new) Hidden $61.94 88.48 coins $675 964 coins 10.90x 2026-11-11 03:31 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife | Urban Masked (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-skeleton-knife-urban-masked-factory-new) Hidden $61.94 88.48 coins $675 964 coins 10.90x 2026-11-10 18:10 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife | Urban Masked (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-skeleton-knife-urban-masked-factory-new) Hidden $61.94 88.48 coins $675 964 coins 10.90x 2026-11-10 17:24 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife | Urban Masked (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-skeleton-knife-urban-masked-factory-new) [TheLiarGod](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/TheLiarGod) $61.94 88.48 coins $675 964 coins 10.90x 2026-11-10 01:55 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife | Urban Masked (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-skeleton-knife-urban-masked-factory-new) Hidden $61.94 88.48 coins $675 964 coins 10.90x 2026-11-09 00:38 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife | Urban Masked (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-skeleton-knife-urban-masked-factory-new) Hidden $61.94 88.48 coins $675 964 coins 10.90x 2026-11-08 19:53 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=skeleton) [AWP | Exoskeleton (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-exoskeleton-factory-new) Hidden $61.94 88.48 coins $29.25 41.78 coins 0.47x 2026-11-11 13:12 UTC [AWP | Exoskeleton (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-exoskeleton-factory-new) Hidden $61.94 88.48 coins $29.25 41.78 coins 0.47x 2026-11-11 12:34 UTC [AWP | Exoskeleton (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-exoskeleton-factory-new) Hidden $61.94 88.48 coins $29.25 41.78 coins 0.47x 2026-11-11 11:05 UTC [★ Skeleton Knife | Safari Mesh (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-safari-mesh-well-worn) [★ UnToUcHaBlE ™](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/%E2%98%85%20UnToUcHaBlE%20%E2%84%A2) $61.94 88.48 coins $96.60 138 coins 1.56x 2026-11-11 11:05 UTC [AWP | Exoskeleton (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-exoskeleton-factory-new) Hidden $61.94 88.48 coins $29.25 41.78 coins 0.47x 2026-11-11 10:56 UTC [AWP | Exoskeleton (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-exoskeleton-factory-new) Hidden $61.94 88.48 coins $29.25 41.78 coins 0.47x 2026-11-11 10:12 UTC [AWP | Exoskeleton (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-exoskeleton-factory-new) Hidden $61.94 88.48 coins $29.25 41.78 coins 0.47x 2026-11-11 10:12 UTC [AWP | Exoskeleton (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-exoskeleton-factory-new) Hidden $61.94 88.48 coins $29.25 41.78 coins 0.47x 2026-11-11 09:38 UTC [AWP | Exoskeleton (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-exoskeleton-factory-new) Hidden $61.94 88.48 coins $29.25 41.78 coins 0.47x 2026-11-11 08:39 UTC [AWP | Exoskeleton (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-exoskeleton-factory-new) Hidden $61.94 88.48 coins $29.25 41.78 coins 0.47x 2026-11-11 08:39 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $61.94 | 90.91% | 14 | | 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $62.59 | 90.91% | 14 | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $62.78 | 90.91% | 14 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed legendary 0.6% covert 8.4% epic 1.0% restricted 90.0% best hit $1,474 (23.79x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.91 on average: an expected loss of $9.09 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt