---
title: "Sky High case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Sky High ($15.45) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.92% from 18 items with odds, observed 93.85% over 5,418 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/sky-high
rendered: 2026-11-11T14:04Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Sky High](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/sky-high)

# [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Sky High

A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/sky-high?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/sky-high?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/sky-high) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/sky-high?window=all)

Price · $15.45 · 22.07 coins

Advertised RTP · 90.92% · EV $14.05 from 18 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 93.85% · 5,418 openings, odds method

Variance · 6.9× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 14 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 75.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 101.04% ±24.00 458 openings

7 days · 92.69% ±7.35 4,327 openings

30 days · 93.85% ±6.53 5,418 openings

since tracking started · 93.85% ±6.53 5,418 openings

76.5% 101.0% 125.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/sky-high?window=24h) | 458 | 101.04% ±24.0 | +0.8σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/sky-high?window=7d) | 4,327 | 92.69% ±7.35 | +0.5σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/sky-high) | 5,418 | 93.85% ±6.53 | +0.9σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/sky-high?window=all) | 5,418 | 93.85% ±6.53 | +0.9σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 18 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 5,432 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [AWP \| Dragon Lore (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-well-worn) | 1 in 1,000,000 | $5,688 8,125 coins | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Blaze (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blaze-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $563 804 coins | 2.0% | 6 | 2.7 | 2.21× |
| [P90 \| Emerald Dragon (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-emerald-dragon-factory-new) | 1 in 222 | $493 704 coins | 15.8% | 24 | 24.4 | 0.98× |
| [M4A1-S \| Icarus Fell (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-icarus-fell-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $385 550 coins | 2.7% | 6 | 5.4 | 1.10× |
| [AK-47 \| Vulcan (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-vulcan-battle-scarred) | 1 in 69 | $95.20 136 coins | 9.8% | 96 | 78.8 | 1.22× |
| [M4A4 \| Desolate Space (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desolate-space-factory-new) | 1 in 48 | $59.89 85.56 coins | 9.0% | 112 | 114.1 | 0.98× |
| [FAMAS \| Spitfire (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-spitfire-minimal-wear) | 1 in 33 | $56.98 81.4 coins | 12.2% | 150 | 163.0 | 0.92× |
| [AK-47 \| Orbit Mk01 (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-orbit-mk01-field-tested) | 1 in 25 | $22.79 32.56 coins | 6.5% | 218 | 217.3 | 1.00× |
| [M4A4 \| 龍王 (Dragon King) (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-dragon-king-minimal-wear) | 1 in 13 | $21.74 31.06 coins | 12.2% | 399 | 426.4 | 0.94× |
| [MP9 \| Airlock (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-airlock-factory-new) | 1 in 17 | $20.05 28.65 coins | 8.6% | 329 | 325.9 | 1.01× |
| [PP-Bizon \| High Roller (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-high-roller-minimal-wear) | 1 in 13 | $10.56 15.09 coins | 6.0% | 442 | 434.6 | 1.02× |
| [StatTrak™ SG 553 \| Darkwing (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sg-553-darkwing-factory-new) | 1 in 13 | $7.64 10.92 coins | 4.4% | 432 | 434.6 | 0.99× |
| [M249 \| Warbird (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-warbird-factory-new) | 1 in 13 | $3.91 5.58 coins | 2.2% | 409 | 434.6 | 0.94× |
| [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Moonrise (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-moonrise-minimal-wear) | 1 in 11 | $2.94 4.2 coins | 1.9% | 551 | 488.9 | 1.13× |
| [G3SG1 \| High Seas (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-high-seas-minimal-wear) | 11.0% | $2.79 3.98 coins | 2.2% | 570 | 597.5 | 0.95× |
| [P250 \| Wingshot (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-wingshot-minimal-wear) | 1 in 13 | $2.16 3.09 coins | 1.2% | 455 | 434.6 | 1.05× |
| [Sawed-Off \| Highwayman (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-highwayman-minimal-wear) | 15.0% | $2.07 2.95 coins | 2.2% | 786 | 814.8 | 0.96× |
| [PP-Bizon \| Seabird (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-seabird-field-tested) | 1 in 13 | $2.06 2.94 coins | 1.2% | 447 | 434.6 | 1.03× |

Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[Desert Eagle | Blaze (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blaze-factory-new) Hidden $14.90 21.28 coins $573 818 coins 38.44x 2026-11-08 10:21 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Blaze (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blaze-factory-new) Hidden $14.90 21.28 coins $573 818 coins 38.44x 2026-11-07 19:58 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Blaze (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blaze-factory-new) Hidden $14.90 21.29 coins $573 818 coins 38.42x 2026-11-05 17:14 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Blaze (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blaze-factory-new) [suppEN](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/suppEN) $14.90 21.29 coins $573 818 coins 38.42x 2026-11-05 15:54 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Blaze (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blaze-factory-new) [speen.mp4](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/speen.mp4) $14.90 21.29 coins $573 818 coins 38.42x 2026-11-04 11:01 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Blaze (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blaze-factory-new) [Eminescu](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Eminescu) $15.45 22.07 coins $563 804 coins 36.43x 2026-11-10 09:56 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=sky-high)

[PP-Bizon | High Roller (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-high-roller-minimal-wear) Hidden $15.45 22.07 coins $10.56 15.09 coins 0.68x 2026-11-11 13:58 UTC

[AK-47 | Orbit Mk01 (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-orbit-mk01-field-tested) Hidden $15.45 22.07 coins $22.79 32.56 coins 1.48x 2026-11-11 13:58 UTC

[P250 | Wingshot (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-wingshot-minimal-wear) Hidden $15.45 22.07 coins $2.16 3.09 coins 0.14x 2026-11-11 13:58 UTC

[PP-Bizon | High Roller (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-high-roller-minimal-wear) Hidden $15.45 22.07 coins $10.56 15.09 coins 0.68x 2026-11-11 13:47 UTC

[AK-47 | Orbit Mk01 (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-orbit-mk01-field-tested) Hidden $15.45 22.07 coins $22.79 32.56 coins 1.48x 2026-11-11 13:47 UTC

[M4A4 | 龍王 (Dragon King) (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-dragon-king-minimal-wear) [Eminescu](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Eminescu) $15.45 22.07 coins $21.74 31.06 coins 1.41x 2026-11-11 13:33 UTC

[StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Moonrise (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-moonrise-minimal-wear) Hidden $15.45 22.07 coins $2.94 4.2 coins 0.19x 2026-11-11 13:31 UTC

[Sawed-Off | Highwayman (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-highwayman-minimal-wear) Hidden $15.45 22.07 coins $2.07 2.95 coins 0.13x 2026-11-11 13:23 UTC

[Sawed-Off | Highwayman (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-highwayman-minimal-wear) Hidden $15.45 22.07 coins $2.07 2.95 coins 0.13x 2026-11-11 13:21 UTC

[Sawed-Off | Highwayman (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-highwayman-minimal-wear) Hidden $15.45 22.07 coins $2.07 2.95 coins 0.13x 2026-11-11 13:21 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 10 Nov, 02:14 UTC | $15.45 | 90.92% | 18 |
| 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $15.46 | 90.92% | 18 |
| 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $15.35 | 90.91% | 18 |
| 6 Nov, 22:57 UTC | $14.90 | 90.93% | 18 |
| 3 Nov, 22:41 UTC | $14.90 | 90.90% | 18 |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $14.92 | 90.91% | 18 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 1.5% rare 0.1% classified 24.4% restricted 54.1% violet 4.0% mil spec 8.0% consumer 8.0% best hit $573 (38.44x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.92 on average: an expected loss of $9.08 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt