--- title: "Skyline case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Skyline ($36.81) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.91% from 19 items with odds, observed 83.24% over 1,008 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/skyline rendered: 2026-11-11T18:41Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Skyline](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/skyline) # [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Skyline A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/skyline?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/skyline?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/skyline) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/skyline?window=all) Price · $36.81 · 52.58 coins Advertised RTP · 90.91% · EV $33.46 from 19 items Observed RTP, 30d · 83.24% · 1,008 openings, odds method Variance · 2.4× · of price², per opening Tail share · 12.9% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 65.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 29 openings · below min 7 days · 79.68% ±11.20 767 openings 30 days · 83.24% ±9.80 1,008 openings since tracking started · 83.24% ±9.80 1,008 openings 29.5% 86.0% 142.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/skyline?window=24h) | 29 | 86.11% ±55.9 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/skyline?window=7d) | 767 | 79.68% ±11.2 | −2.0σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/skyline) | 1,008 | 83.24% ±9.80 | −1.5σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/skyline?window=all) | 1,008 | 83.24% ±9.80 | −1.5σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 19 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,008 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4) StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-doppler-factory-new-phase-4) | 1 in 1,000 | $397 567 coins | 1.2% | 1 | 1.0 | 0.99× | | [CZ75-Auto \| Chalice (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-chalice-minimal-wear) | 1 in 182 | $348 497 coins | 5.7% | 5 | 5.5 | 0.90× | | [★ Huntsman Knife \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 4) knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-phase-4) | 1 in 333 | $295 421 coins | 2.6% | 2 | 3.0 | 0.66× | | [★ Gut Knife \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-sapphire) | 1 in 250 | $285 407 coins | 3.4% | 1 | 4.0 | 0.25× | | [★ Bayonet \| Blue Steel (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-blue-steel-minimal-wear) | 1 in 125 | $244 348 coins | 5.8% | 9 | 8.1 | 1.12× | | [★ Shadow Daggers \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-doppler-minimal-wear-sapphire) | 1 in 154 | $224 320 coins | 4.4% | 5 | 6.6 | 0.76× | | [★ Hand Wraps \| CAUTION! (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-caution-minimal-wear) | 1 in 500 | $155 221 coins | 0.9% | 0 | 2.0 | 0.00× | | [★ Moto Gloves \| Finish Line (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-finish-line-minimal-wear) | 1 in 200 | $133 190 coins | 2.0% | 4 | 5.0 | 0.79× | | [Sticker \| qikert (Gold) \| Boston 2018 sticker · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-qikert-gold-boston-2018) | 1 in 25 | $133 190 coins | 15.9% | 40 | 40.3 | 0.99× | | [CZ75-Auto \| Emerald Quartz (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-emerald-quartz-factory-new) | 1 in 67 | $105 150 coins | 4.7% | 17 | 15.1 | 1.12× | | [★ Flip Knife \| Bright Water (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-bright-water-well-worn) | 1 in 111 | $104 149 coins | 2.8% | 6 | 9.1 | 0.66× | | [★ Gut Knife \| Ultraviolet (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-ultraviolet-minimal-wear) | 1 in 33 | $75.60 108 coins | 6.8% | 32 | 30.2 | 1.06× | | [★ Paracord Knife \| Crimson Web (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-crimson-web-well-worn) | 1 in 50 | $74.90 107 coins | 4.5% | 16 | 20.2 | 0.79× | | [AK-47 \| Neon Rider (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-rider-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20 | $63.41 90.59 coins | 9.5% | 50 | 50.4 | 0.99× | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Asiimov (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-asiimov-field-tested) | 1 in 14 | $61.13 87.33 coins | 12.8% | 69 | 70.6 | 0.98× | | [Sawed-Off \| First Class (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-first-class-factory-new) | 1 in 12 | $56.07 80.1 coins | 13.6% | 72 | 81.6 | 0.88× | | [CZ75-Auto \| Indigo (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-indigo-minimal-wear) | 20.0% | $2.42 3.45 coins | 1.4% | 212 | 201.6 | 1.05× | | [MAG-7 \| Irradiated Alert (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-irradiated-alert-field-tested) | 20.0% | $2.32 3.31 coins | 1.4% | 202 | 201.6 | 1.00× | | [Tec-9 \| Avalanche (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-avalanche-battle-scarred) | 25.0% | $0.83 1.19 coins | 0.6% | 265 | 252.0 | 1.05× | Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 14:28 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=skyline) [Tec-9 | Avalanche (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-avalanche-battle-scarred) Hidden $36.81 52.58 coins $0.83 1.19 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 18:17 UTC [MAG-7 | Irradiated Alert (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-irradiated-alert-field-tested) Hidden $36.81 52.58 coins $2.32 3.31 coins 0.06x 2026-11-11 18:17 UTC [CZ75-Auto | Indigo (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-indigo-minimal-wear) Hidden $36.81 52.58 coins $2.42 3.45 coins 0.07x 2026-11-11 18:17 UTC [MAG-7 | Irradiated Alert (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-irradiated-alert-field-tested) Hidden $36.81 52.58 coins $2.32 3.31 coins 0.06x 2026-11-11 18:17 UTC [MAG-7 | Irradiated Alert (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-irradiated-alert-field-tested) [sakalaka bum bum](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/sakalaka%20bum%20bum) $36.81 52.58 coins $2.32 3.31 coins 0.06x 2026-11-11 18:17 UTC [CZ75-Auto | Emerald Quartz (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-emerald-quartz-factory-new) Hidden $36.81 52.58 coins $105 150 coins 2.85x 2026-11-11 18:17 UTC [Tec-9 | Avalanche (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-avalanche-battle-scarred) Hidden $36.81 52.58 coins $0.83 1.19 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 18:16 UTC [Tec-9 | Avalanche (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-avalanche-battle-scarred) [sakalaka bum bum](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/sakalaka%20bum%20bum) $36.81 52.58 coins $0.83 1.19 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 18:16 UTC [CZ75-Auto | Indigo (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-indigo-minimal-wear) Hidden $36.81 52.58 coins $2.42 3.45 coins 0.07x 2026-11-11 18:16 UTC [AK-47 | Neon Rider (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-rider-minimal-wear) Hidden $36.81 52.58 coins $63.41 90.59 coins 1.72x 2026-11-11 18:16 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC | $36.81 | 90.91% | 19 | | 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $36.81 | 90.90% | 19 | | 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $37.00 | 90.91% | 19 | | 8 Nov, 11:27 UTC | $37.86 | 90.90% | 19 | | 5 Nov, 10:39 UTC | $37.86 | 90.91% | 19 | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $37.86 | 90.91% | 19 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 20.2% restricted 25.6% extraordinary 4.7% mil spec 9.6% consumer 40.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.91 on average: an expected loss of $9.09 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt