--- title: "Slapshot case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Slapshot ($34.44) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.90% from 9 items with odds, observed 95.09% over 348 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/slapshot rendered: 2026-11-11T13:22Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Slapshot](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/slapshot) # [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Slapshot A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/slapshot?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/slapshot?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/slapshot) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/slapshot?window=all) Price · $34.44 · 49.2 coins Advertised RTP · 90.90% · EV $31.31 from 9 items Observed RTP, 30d · 95.09% · 348 openings, odds method Variance · 0.7× · of price², per opening Tail share · 39.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 42.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 26 openings · below min 7 days · 95.29% ±9.46 308 openings 30 days · 95.09% ±8.90 348 openings since tracking started · 95.09% ±8.90 348 openings 79.0% 112.0% 145.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/slapshot?window=24h) | 26 | 112.10% ±32.5 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/slapshot?window=7d) | 308 | 95.29% ±9.46 | +0.9σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/slapshot) | 348 | 95.09% ±8.90 | +0.9σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/slapshot?window=all) | 348 | 95.09% ±8.90 | +0.9σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 9 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 348 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Golden Coil (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-golden-coil-well-worn) | 1 in 67 | $99.40 142 coins | 4.8% | 8 | 5.2 | 1.53× | | [AWP \| Containment Breach (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-containment-breach-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $93.10 133 coins | 3.0% | 2 | 3.5 | 0.57× | | [MAC-10 \| Stalker (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-stalker-factory-new) | 1 in 40 | $86.10 123 coins | 6.9% | 5 | 8.7 | 0.57× | | [AWP \| Asiimov (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-asiimov-well-worn) | 1 in 33 | $83.30 119 coins | 8.0% | 9 | 10.4 | 0.86× | | [USP-S \| Kill Confirmed (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-kill-confirmed-field-tested) | 1 in 25 | $62.36 89.09 coins | 8.0% | 18 | 13.9 | 1.29× | | [M4A4 \| The Emperor (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-the-emperor-field-tested) | 27.0% | $52.35 74.78 coins | 45.1% | 108 | 94.0 | 1.15× | | [AK-47 \| Neon Rider (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-rider-field-tested) | 1 in 14 | $41.03 58.61 coins | 9.2% | 29 | 24.4 | 1.19× | | [AK-47 \| Asiimov (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-asiimov-well-worn) | 12.0% | $39.37 56.24 coins | 15.1% | 32 | 41.8 | 0.77× | | [P250 \| Boreal Forest (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-boreal-forest-field-tested) | 42.0% | $0.02 0.03 coins | 0.0% | 137 | 146.2 | 0.94× | Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=slapshot) [P250 | Boreal Forest (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-boreal-forest-field-tested) [Queen B ❤](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Queen%20B%20%E2%9D%A4) $34.44 49.2 coins $0.02 0.03 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 08:18 UTC [AK-47 | Neon Rider (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-rider-field-tested) [Veckans](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Veckans) $34.44 49.2 coins $41.03 58.61 coins 1.19x 2026-11-11 08:18 UTC [M4A4 | The Emperor (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-the-emperor-field-tested) Hidden $34.44 49.2 coins $52.35 74.78 coins 1.52x 2026-11-11 08:18 UTC [M4A4 | The Emperor (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-the-emperor-field-tested) Hidden $34.44 49.2 coins $52.35 74.78 coins 1.52x 2026-11-11 08:18 UTC [P250 | Boreal Forest (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-boreal-forest-field-tested) Hidden $34.44 49.2 coins $0.02 0.03 coins 0.00x 2026-11-10 23:55 UTC [USP-S | Kill Confirmed (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-kill-confirmed-field-tested) [Veckans](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Veckans) $34.44 49.2 coins $62.36 89.09 coins 1.81x 2026-11-10 23:55 UTC [AK-47 | Neon Rider (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-rider-field-tested) Hidden $34.44 49.2 coins $41.03 58.61 coins 1.19x 2026-11-10 23:55 UTC [M4A4 | The Emperor (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-the-emperor-field-tested) Hidden $34.44 49.2 coins $52.35 74.78 coins 1.52x 2026-11-10 23:55 UTC [P250 | Boreal Forest (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-boreal-forest-field-tested) [Elturados](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Elturados) $34.44 49.2 coins $0.02 0.03 coins 0.00x 2026-11-10 23:38 UTC [AK-47 | Asiimov (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-asiimov-well-worn) [Veckans](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Veckans) $34.44 49.2 coins $39.37 56.24 coins 1.14x 2026-11-10 23:38 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 9 Nov, 08:05 UTC | $34.44 | 90.90% | 9 | | 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $34.43 | 90.91% | 9 | | 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $34.38 | 90.91% | 9 | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $34.43 | 90.91% | 9 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 58.0% consumer 42.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.90 on average: an expected loss of $9.10 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt