---
title: "Slasher case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Slasher ($151.89) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.91% from 29 items with odds, observed 92.08% over 129 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/slasher
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:18Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Slasher](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/slasher)

# [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Slasher

A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/slasher?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/slasher?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/slasher) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/slasher?window=all)

Price · $151.89 · 217 coins

Advertised RTP · 90.91% · EV $138.09 from 29 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 92.08% · 129 openings, odds method

Variance · 2.3× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 14.3% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 75.8% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 24 openings · below min

7 days · 84.80% ±27.55 116 openings

30 days · 92.08% ±26.13 129 openings

since tracking started · 92.08% ±26.13 129 openings

56.5% 148.3% 240.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/slasher?window=24h) | 24 | 178.71% ±60.4 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/slasher?window=7d) | 116 | 84.80% ±27.5 | −0.4σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/slasher) | 129 | 92.08% ±26.1 | +0.1σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/slasher?window=all) | 129 | 92.08% ±26.1 | +0.1σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 29 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 129 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Karambit \| Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 20,000 | $5,548 7,925 coins | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4) knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-4) | 1 in 400 | $2,769 3,955 coins | 5.0% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-doppler-minimal-wear-ruby) | 1 in 392 | $1,514 2,163 coins | 2.8% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Karambit \| Marble Fade (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-marble-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 400 | $1,096 1,566 coins | 2.0% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife \| Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-talon-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $911 1,302 coins | 6.6% | 2 | 1.3 | 1.55× |
| [★ Talon Knife \| Ultraviolet (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-ultraviolet-factory-new) | 1 in 400 | $848 1,212 coins | 1.5% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Autotronic (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-autotronic-minimal-wear) | 1 in 67 | $652 932 coins | 7.1% | 1 | 1.9 | 0.52× |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-crimson-web-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $620 886 coins | 4.5% | 1 | 1.3 | 0.78× |
| [★ Karambit \| Black Laminate (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-black-laminate-well-worn) | 1 in 67 | $559 799 coins | 6.1% | 2 | 1.9 | 1.03× |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Ultraviolet (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-ultraviolet-field-tested) | 1 in 67 | $517 738 coins | 5.6% | 0 | 1.9 | 0.00× |
| [★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife \| Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-skeleton-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 400 | $472 674 coins | 0.9% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Ursus Knife \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-sapphire) | 1 in 417 | $445 636 coins | 0.8% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 100 | $435 622 coins | 3.2% | 0 | 1.3 | 0.00× |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-crimson-web-minimal-wear) | 1 in 400 | $320 457 coins | 0.6% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Case Hardened (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-case-hardened-well-worn) | 1 in 20 | $218 312 coins | 7.9% | 7 | 6.5 | 1.09× |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 20 | $178 254 coins | 6.4% | 8 | 6.5 | 1.24× |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-case-hardened-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20 | $167 239 coins | 6.1% | 4 | 6.5 | 0.62× |
| [AK-47 \| Jungle Spray (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-jungle-spray-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $142 203 coins | 5.1% | 3 | 6.5 | 0.47× |
| [★ Bayonet \| Night (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-night-field-tested) | 1 in 13 | $125 178 coins | 7.2% | 10 | 10.3 | 0.97× |
| [P250 \| Nuclear Threat (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-nuclear-threat-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20 | $123 176 coins | 4.5% | 9 | 6.5 | 1.40× |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Scorched (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-scorched-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $95.20 136 coins | 3.4% | 10 | 6.5 | 1.55× |
| [MAC-10 \| Stalker (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-stalker-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $86.10 123 coins | 3.1% | 6 | 6.5 | 0.93× |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Lore (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-lore-field-tested) | 10.0% | $72.10 103 coins | 5.2% | 18 | 12.9 | 1.40× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Cobra Strike (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-cobra-strike-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20 | $49.00 70 coins | 1.8% | 4 | 6.5 | 0.62× |
| [P90 \| Cold Blooded (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-cold-blooded-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $41.94 59.92 coins | 1.5% | 4 | 6.5 | 0.62× |
| [M4A4 \| Dark Blossom (Well-Worn) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-dark-blossom-well-worn) | 1 in 11 | $9.14 13.05 coins | 0.6% | 13 | 11.6 | 1.12× |
| [Nova \| Rising Skull (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-rising-skull-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $6.52 9.31 coins | 0.2% | 6 | 6.5 | 0.93× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Twist (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-twist-minimal-wear) | 1 in 19 | $1.21 1.73 coins | 0.0% | 6 | 6.8 | 0.89× |
| [MP9 \| Goo (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-goo-battle-scarred) | 1 in 12 | $0.97 1.38 coins | 0.1% | 12 | 11.0 | 1.09× |

Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4) knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-4) [Vnx6d](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Vnx6d) $152 217 coins $2,769 3,955 coins 18.23x 2026-11-10 14:45 UTC

[★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-talon-knife-fade-factory-new) Hidden $152 217 coins $911 1,302 coins 6.00x 2026-11-10 14:58 UTC

[★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-talon-knife-fade-factory-new) [hellsten05](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/hellsten05) $154 220 coins $911 1,302 coins 5.91x 2026-11-06 17:23 UTC

[★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-talon-knife-fade-factory-new) Hidden $154 220 coins $911 1,302 coins 5.91x 2026-11-02 23:31 UTC

[★ Talon Knife | Ultraviolet (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-ultraviolet-factory-new) Hidden $152 217 coins $848 1,212 coins 5.59x 2026-11-09 23:57 UTC

[★ M9 Bayonet | Autotronic (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-autotronic-minimal-wear) Hidden $154 220 coins $704 1,006 coins 4.57x 2026-11-02 23:31 UTC

[★ Butterfly Knife | Crimson Web (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-crimson-web-field-tested) Hidden $154 220 coins $621 887 coins 4.03x 2026-11-04 16:31 UTC

[★ Karambit | Black Laminate (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-black-laminate-well-worn) Hidden $152 217 coins $559 799 coins 3.68x 2026-11-10 14:50 UTC

[★ Karambit | Black Laminate (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-black-laminate-well-worn) Hidden $152 217 coins $559 799 coins 3.68x 2026-11-10 14:45 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=slasher)

[MP9 | Goo (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-goo-battle-scarred) [Vnx6d](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Vnx6d) $152 217 coins $0.97 1.38 coins 0.01x 2026-11-10 14:59 UTC

[MP9 | Goo (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-goo-battle-scarred) Hidden $152 217 coins $0.97 1.38 coins 0.01x 2026-11-10 14:59 UTC

[★ Bayonet | Case Hardened (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-case-hardened-well-worn) Hidden $152 217 coins $218 312 coins 1.44x 2026-11-10 14:59 UTC

[M4A4 | Dark Blossom (Well-Worn) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-dark-blossom-well-worn) Hidden $152 217 coins $9.14 13.05 coins 0.06x 2026-11-10 14:59 UTC

[MAC-10 | Stalker (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-stalker-factory-new) Hidden $152 217 coins $86.10 123 coins 0.57x 2026-11-10 14:59 UTC

[★ Bayonet | Night (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-night-field-tested) Hidden $152 217 coins $125 178 coins 0.82x 2026-11-10 14:59 UTC

[★ Gut Knife | Lore (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-lore-field-tested) [Vnx6d](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Vnx6d) $152 217 coins $72.10 103 coins 0.47x 2026-11-10 14:58 UTC

[★ Flip Knife | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-case-hardened-minimal-wear) Hidden $152 217 coins $167 239 coins 1.10x 2026-11-10 14:58 UTC

[★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-talon-knife-fade-factory-new) Hidden $152 217 coins $911 1,302 coins 6.00x 2026-11-10 14:58 UTC

[AK-47 | Jungle Spray (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-jungle-spray-factory-new) [Vnx6d](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Vnx6d) $152 217 coins $142 203 coins 0.94x 2026-11-10 14:50 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 9 Nov, 00:04 UTC | $152 | 90.91% | 29 |
| 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $152 | 90.91% | 29 |
| 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $152 | 90.91% | 29 |
| 5 Nov, 22:45 UTC | $154 | 90.91% | 29 |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $154 | 90.91% | 29 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 51.2% epic 1.0% industrial 14.0% restricted 18.5% classified 10.0% mil spec 5.3% best hit $2,769 (18.23x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.91 on average: an expected loss of $9.09 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt