--- title: "Slice case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Slice ($40.29) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.92% from 12 items with odds, observed 86.79% over 336 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/slice rendered: 2026-11-11T14:13Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Slice](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/slice) # [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Slice A case on CSGORoll (10%, knives), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/slice?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/slice?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/slice) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/slice?window=all) Price · $40.29 · 57.56 coins Advertised RTP · 90.92% · EV $36.63 from 12 items Observed RTP, 30d · 86.79% · 336 openings, odds method Variance · 2.9× · of price², per opening Tail share · 10.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 90.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 4 openings · below min 7 days · 88.35% ±20.24 276 openings 30 days · 86.79% ±18.34 336 openings since tracking started · 86.79% ±18.34 336 openings -0.5% 103.8% 208.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/slice?window=24h) | 4 | 39.04% ±168.2 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/slice?window=7d) | 276 | 88.35% ±20.2 | −0.2σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/slice) | 336 | 86.79% ±18.3 | −0.4σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/slice?window=all) | 336 | 86.79% ±18.3 | −0.4σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 336 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Karambit \| Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 3) knife · covert · Phase 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-phase-3) | 1 in 10,000 | $1,424 2,034 coins | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) StatTrak · knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 2,000 | $1,161 1,658 coins | 1.6% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife \| Crimson Web (Well-Worn) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-crimson-web-well-worn) | 1 in 667 | $610 871 coins | 2.5% | 0 | 0.5 | — | | [★ Bayonet \| Lore (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-lore-factory-new) | 1 in 345 | $434 620 coins | 3.4% | 2 | 1.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife \| Case Hardened (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-nomad-knife-case-hardened-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $434 620 coins | 5.9% | 2 | 1.7 | 1.19× | | [★ Bayonet \| Lore (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-lore-well-worn) | 1 in 50 | $200 285 coins | 10.9% | 8 | 6.7 | 1.19× | | [★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4) StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bowie-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-4) | 1 in 100 | $194 277 coins | 5.3% | 2 | 3.4 | 0.60× | | [★ Bowie Knife \| Fade (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 33 | $184 263 coins | 15.1% | 12 | 10.1 | 1.19× | | [★ Huntsman Knife \| Marble Fade (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-marble-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 33 | $155 221 coins | 12.7% | 4 | 10.1 | 0.40× | | [Sticker \| Cotton Candy Flow (Holo) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-cotton-candy-flow-holo) | 30.0% | $24.63 35.19 coins | 20.2% | 92 | 100.8 | 0.91× | | [Sticker \| Miami Tier6 (Holo) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-miami-tier6-holo) | 30.0% | $15.60 22.28 coins | 12.8% | 114 | 100.8 | 1.13× | | [Patch \| Death From Below patch · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/patch-death-from-below) | 30.0% | $11.35 16.21 coins | 9.3% | 100 | 100.8 | 0.99× | Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=slice) [Sticker | Miami Tier6 (Holo) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-miami-tier6-holo) Hidden $40.29 57.56 coins $15.60 22.28 coins 0.39x 2026-11-11 11:52 UTC [Patch | Death From Below patch · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/patch-death-from-below) Hidden $40.29 57.56 coins $11.35 16.21 coins 0.28x 2026-11-11 11:52 UTC [Patch | Death From Below patch · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/patch-death-from-below) Hidden $40.29 57.56 coins $11.35 16.21 coins 0.28x 2026-11-11 11:52 UTC [Sticker | Cotton Candy Flow (Holo) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-cotton-candy-flow-holo) [Miltsukkaaaw :3](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Miltsukkaaaw%20%3A3) $40.29 57.56 coins $24.63 35.19 coins 0.61x 2026-11-11 11:52 UTC [Patch | Death From Below patch · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/patch-death-from-below) Hidden $40.29 57.56 coins $11.35 16.21 coins 0.28x 2026-11-10 14:59 UTC [Sticker | Miami Tier6 (Holo) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-miami-tier6-holo) Hidden $40.29 57.56 coins $15.60 22.28 coins 0.39x 2026-11-10 14:59 UTC [Patch | Death From Below patch · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/patch-death-from-below) Hidden $40.29 57.56 coins $11.35 16.21 coins 0.28x 2026-11-10 14:59 UTC [Sticker | Cotton Candy Flow (Holo) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-cotton-candy-flow-holo) Hidden $40.29 57.56 coins $24.63 35.19 coins 0.61x 2026-11-10 14:59 UTC [Patch | Death From Below patch · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/patch-death-from-below) Hidden $40.29 57.56 coins $11.35 16.21 coins 0.28x 2026-11-10 14:59 UTC [Sticker | Cotton Candy Flow (Holo) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-cotton-candy-flow-holo) [JoneBakk |](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/JoneBakk%20%7C) $40.29 57.56 coins $24.63 35.19 coins 0.61x 2026-11-10 14:59 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $40.29 | 90.92% | 12 | | 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $40.35 | 90.91% | 12 | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $40.78 | 90.90% | 12 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 9.7% epic 0.3% remarkable 90.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.92 on average: an expected loss of $9.08 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt