--- title: "Slime case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Slime ($2.09) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.92% from 10 items with odds, observed 88.60% over 86.4K openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/slime rendered: 2026-11-11T13:02Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Slime](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/slime) # [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Slime A case on CSGORoll (10%), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/slime?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/slime?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/slime) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/slime?window=all) Price · $2.09 · 2.99 coins Advertised RTP · 90.92% · EV $1.90 from 10 items Observed RTP, 30d · 88.60% · 86.4K openings, odds method Variance · 20.9× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 71 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 93.5% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 87.81% ±9.47 8,945 openings 7 days · 88.55% ±3.34 72.2K openings 30 days · 88.60% ±3.06 86.4K openings since tracking started · 88.60% ±3.06 86.4K openings 77.5% 87.8% 98.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/slime?window=24h) | 8,945 | 87.81% ±9.47 | −0.6σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/slime?window=7d) | 72.2K | 88.55% ±3.34 | −1.3σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/slime) | 86.4K | 88.60% ±3.06 | −1.4σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/slime?window=all) | 86.4K | 88.60% ±3.06 | −1.4σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 10 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 86.5K openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [M4A4 \| Bullet Rain (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-bullet-rain-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $77.70 111 coins | 40.8% | 828 | 865.3 | 0.96× | | [Desert Eagle \| Kumicho Dragon (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-kumicho-dragon-factory-new) | 1 in 250 | $59.44 84.91 coins | 12.5% | 351 | 346.1 | 1.01× | | [MAC-10 \| Propaganda (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-propaganda-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $53.82 76.89 coins | 2.8% | 80 | 86.5 | 0.92× | | [USP-S \| Purple DDPAT (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-purple-ddpat-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $25.77 36.81 coins | 13.5% | 849 | 865.3 | 0.98× | | [Desert Eagle \| Mecha Industries (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mecha-industries-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $23.30 33.28 coins | 24.5% | 1,706 | 1730.6 | 0.99× | | [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Light Rail (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-light-rail-field-tested) | 1 in 50 | $3.26 4.65 coins | 3.4% | 1,731 | 1730.6 | 1.00× | | [M4A1-S \| Nitro (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-nitro-minimal-wear) | 1 in 29 | $0.94 1.35 coins | 1.7% | 3,030 | 3028.6 | 1.00× | | [P250 \| Boreal Forest (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-boreal-forest-field-tested) | 30.0% | $0.02 0.03 coins | 0.3% | 26,140 | 25959.0 | 1.01× | | [PP-Bizon \| Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-field-tested) | 30.0% | $0.01 0.02 coins | 0.2% | 25,816 | 25959.0 | 0.99× | | [MP9 \| Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-field-tested) | 30.0% | \<$0.01 0.01 coins | 0.1% | 25,999 | 25959.0 | 1.00× | Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=slime) [MP9 | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $2.09 2.99 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:00 UTC [PP-Bizon | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $2.09 2.99 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 13:00 UTC [P250 | Boreal Forest (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-boreal-forest-field-tested) Hidden $2.09 2.99 coins $0.02 0.03 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 13:00 UTC [P250 | Boreal Forest (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-boreal-forest-field-tested) Hidden $2.09 2.99 coins $0.02 0.03 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 13:00 UTC [M4A1-S | Nitro (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-nitro-minimal-wear) Hidden $2.09 2.99 coins $0.94 1.35 coins 0.45x 2026-11-11 13:00 UTC [PP-Bizon | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-field-tested) [danis](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/danis) $2.09 2.99 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 13:00 UTC [MP9 | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $2.09 2.99 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:58 UTC [PP-Bizon | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $2.09 2.99 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 12:58 UTC [MP9 | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $2.09 2.99 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:58 UTC [P250 | Boreal Forest (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-boreal-forest-field-tested) Hidden $2.09 2.99 coins $0.02 0.03 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 12:58 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 9 Nov, 08:05 UTC | $2.09 | 90.92% | 10 | | 9 Nov, 00:04 UTC | $2.09 | 90.82% | 10 | | 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $2.09 | 90.90% | 10 | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $2.07 | 90.76% | 10 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 1.0% classified 2.5% mil spec 1.0% restricted 5.5% consumer 90.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.92 on average: an expected loss of $9.08 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt