---
title: "Snowstorm case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Snowstorm ($87.27) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.91% from 11 items with odds, observed 90.59% over 1,659 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/snowstorm
rendered: 2026-11-11T14:58Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Snowstorm](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/snowstorm)

# [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Snowstorm

A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/snowstorm?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/snowstorm?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/snowstorm) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/snowstorm?window=all)

Price · $87.27 · 125 coins

Advertised RTP · 90.91% · EV $79.33 from 11 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 90.59% · 1,659 openings, odds method

Variance · 1.1× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 29.5% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 67.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 90.74% ±17.56 142 openings

7 days · 86.98% ±6.77 979 openings

30 days · 90.59% ±5.22 1,659 openings

since tracking started · 90.59% ±5.22 1,659 openings

72.5% 90.8% 109.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/snowstorm?window=24h) | 142 | 90.74% ±17.6 | −0.0σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/snowstorm?window=7d) | 979 | 86.98% ±6.77 | −1.1σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/snowstorm) | 1,659 | 90.59% ±5.22 | −0.1σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/snowstorm?window=all) | 1,659 | 90.59% ±5.22 | −0.1σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 11 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,659 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Karambit \| Damascus Steel (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-damascus-steel-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $616 880 coins | 3.9% | 1 | 8.3 | 0.12× |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Damascus Steel (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-damascus-steel-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $426 609 coins | 5.4% | 18 | 16.6 | 1.08× |
| [P250 \| Whiteout (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-whiteout-factory-new) | 1 in 13 | $260 371 coins | 26.2% | 133 | 132.7 | 1.00× |
| [★ Stiletto Knife \| Damascus Steel (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-damascus-steel-well-worn) | 1 in 25 | $158 225 coins | 7.9% | 77 | 66.4 | 1.16× |
| [MP7 \| Whiteout (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-whiteout-minimal-wear) | 16.0% | $146 209 coins | 29.5% | 268 | 265.4 | 1.01× |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Damascus Steel (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-damascus-steel-factory-new) | 1 in 29 | $129 184 coins | 5.7% | 67 | 58.1 | 1.15× |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Damascus Steel (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-damascus-steel-minimal-wear) | 1 in 25 | $86.10 123 coins | 4.3% | 72 | 66.4 | 1.08× |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Damascus Steel (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-damascus-steel-well-worn) | 1 in 25 | $72.80 104 coins | 3.7% | 71 | 66.4 | 1.07× |
| [P90 \| Cold Blooded (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-cold-blooded-factory-new) | 16.0% | $41.94 59.92 coins | 8.5% | 244 | 265.4 | 0.92× |
| [Galil AR \| Stone Cold (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-stone-cold-factory-new) | 18.0% | $20.60 29.43 coins | 4.7% | 317 | 298.6 | 1.06× |
| [Tec-9 \| Ice Cap (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-ice-cap-factory-new) | 25.0% | $0.89 1.27 coins | 0.3% | 391 | 414.8 | 0.94× |

Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 14:28 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ Karambit | Damascus Steel (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-damascus-steel-factory-new) Hidden $89.51 128 coins $640 914 coins 7.15x 2026-11-06 20:38 UTC

[★ Karambit | Damascus Steel (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-damascus-steel-factory-new) Hidden $89.52 128 coins $640 914 coins 7.15x 2026-11-03 03:22 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=snowstorm)

[P250 | Whiteout (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-whiteout-factory-new) Hidden $87.27 125 coins $260 371 coins 2.98x 2026-11-11 14:50 UTC

[Tec-9 | Ice Cap (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-ice-cap-factory-new) Hidden $87.27 125 coins $0.89 1.27 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 14:48 UTC

[P90 | Cold Blooded (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-cold-blooded-factory-new) Hidden $87.27 125 coins $41.94 59.92 coins 0.48x 2026-11-11 14:48 UTC

[Galil AR | Stone Cold (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-stone-cold-factory-new) Hidden $87.27 125 coins $20.60 29.43 coins 0.24x 2026-11-11 14:33 UTC

[★ Falchion Knife | Damascus Steel (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-damascus-steel-minimal-wear) [furis med snoken](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/furis%20med%20snoken) $87.27 125 coins $86.10 123 coins 0.99x 2026-11-11 14:17 UTC

[P90 | Cold Blooded (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-cold-blooded-factory-new) Hidden $87.27 125 coins $41.94 59.92 coins 0.48x 2026-11-11 13:55 UTC

[Galil AR | Stone Cold (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-stone-cold-factory-new) Hidden $87.27 125 coins $20.60 29.43 coins 0.24x 2026-11-11 13:17 UTC

[P90 | Cold Blooded (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-cold-blooded-factory-new) Hidden $87.27 125 coins $41.94 59.92 coins 0.48x 2026-11-11 12:46 UTC

[P250 | Whiteout (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-whiteout-factory-new) Hidden $87.27 125 coins $260 371 coins 2.98x 2026-11-11 12:40 UTC

[Tec-9 | Ice Cap (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-ice-cap-factory-new) Hidden $87.27 125 coins $0.89 1.27 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 12:37 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 10 Nov, 08:16 UTC | $87.27 | 90.91% | 11 |
| 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $87.26 | 90.91% | 11 |
| 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $87.27 | 90.91% | 11 |
| 8 Nov, 11:27 UTC | $89.51 | 90.91% | 11 |
| 5 Nov, 10:39 UTC | $89.51 | 90.91% | 11 |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $89.52 | 90.91% | 11 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 17.0% mil spec 49.0% classified 16.0% restricted 18.0% best hit $640 (7.15x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.91 on average: an expected loss of $9.09 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt