--- title: "SOS case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "SOS ($72.32) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.91% from 24 items with odds, observed 91.92% over 1,686 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/sos rendered: 2026-11-11T13:24Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [SOS](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/sos) # [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · SOS A case on CSGORoll (20%), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/sos?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/sos?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/sos) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/sos?window=all) Price · $72.32 · 103 coins Advertised RTP · 90.91% · EV $65.74 from 24 items Observed RTP, 30d · 91.92% · 1,686 openings, odds method Variance · 9.5× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 27 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 85.4% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 102.61% ±46.08 172 openings 7 days · 96.77% ±19.44 987 openings 30 days · 91.92% ±14.92 1,686 openings since tracking started · 91.92% ±14.92 1,686 openings 56.0% 102.8% 149.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/sos?window=24h) | 172 | 102.61% ±46.1 | +0.5σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/sos?window=7d) | 987 | 96.77% ±19.4 | +0.6σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/sos) | 1,686 | 91.92% ±14.9 | +0.1σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/sos?window=all) | 1,686 | 91.92% ±14.9 | +0.1σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 24 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,686 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Hedge Maze (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-hedge-maze-well-worn) | 1 in 400 | $2,888 4,125 coins | 11.0% | 4 | 4.2 | 0.95× | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3) knife · covert · Phase 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-3) | 1 in 667 | $1,939 2,770 coins | 4.4% | 1 | 2.5 | 0.40× | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 333 | $1,090 1,557 coins | 5.0% | 10 | 5.1 | 1.98× | | [SCAR-20 \| Splash Jam (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-splash-jam-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $883 1,262 coins | 6.7% | 18 | 8.4 | 2.14× | | [★ Talon Knife \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 1) knife · covert · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-phase-1) | 1 in 250 | $746 1,066 coins | 4.5% | 2 | 6.7 | 0.30× | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Nocts (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-nocts-minimal-wear) | 1 in 200 | $723 1,033 coins | 5.5% | 9 | 8.4 | 1.07× | | [★ Moto Gloves \| Polygon (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-polygon-factory-new) | 1 in 250 | $568 812 coins | 3.5% | 13 | 6.7 | 1.93× | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Amphibious (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-amphibious-minimal-wear) | 1 in 667 | $566 808 coins | 1.3% | 1 | 2.5 | 0.40× | | [★ StatTrak™ Paracord Knife \| Stained (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-paracord-knife-stained-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $560 800 coins | 8.5% | 16 | 16.9 | 0.95× | | [★ Hand Wraps \| Badlands (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-badlands-minimal-wear) | 1 in 50 | $542 774 coins | 16.5% | 31 | 33.7 | 0.92× | | [★ Bowie Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-emerald) | 1 in 400 | $410 585 coins | 1.6% | 2 | 4.2 | 0.47× | | [★ Skeleton Knife \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 200 | $337 482 coins | 2.6% | 9 | 8.4 | 1.07× | | [★ Specialist Gloves \| Marble Fade (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-marble-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 333 | $302 432 coins | 1.4% | 3 | 5.1 | 0.59× | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Slingshot (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-slingshot-field-tested) | 1 in 200 | $279 398 coins | 2.1% | 6 | 8.4 | 0.71× | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Vice (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-vice-battle-scarred) | 1 in 200 | $225 321 coins | 1.7% | 5 | 8.4 | 0.59× | | [★ Hand Wraps \| Leather (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-leather-well-worn) | 1 in 29 | $220 314 coins | 11.4% | 41 | 57.3 | 0.72× | | [★ Skeleton Knife \| Blue Steel (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-blue-steel-minimal-wear) | 1 in 200 | $219 313 coins | 1.7% | 7 | 8.4 | 0.83× | | [★ Gut Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 1) knife · covert · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-phase-1) | 1 in 100 | $142 203 coins | 2.2% | 18 | 16.9 | 1.07× | | [★ Driver Gloves \| King Snake (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-king-snake-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $126 180 coins | 1.9% | 22 | 16.9 | 1.30× | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Bronze Morph (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-bronze-morph-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $116 166 coins | 1.8% | 14 | 16.9 | 0.83× | | [★ Shadow Daggers \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $64.32 91.88 coins | 2.0% | 36 | 33.7 | 1.07× | | [★ Classic Knife \| Boreal Forest (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/classic-knife-boreal-forest-battle-scarred) | 1 in 29 | $56.77 81.1 coins | 2.9% | 46 | 57.3 | 0.80× | | [PP-Bizon \| Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-field-tested) | 40.0% | $0.01 0.02 coins | 0.0% | 698 | 674.4 | 1.03× | | [MP9 \| Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-field-tested) | 40.0% | \<$0.01 0.01 coins | 0.0% | 674 | 674.4 | 1.00× | Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Sport Gloves | Hedge Maze (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-hedge-maze-well-worn) Hidden $72.05 103 coins $2,968 4,240 coins 41.19x 2026-11-06 07:09 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Hedge Maze (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-hedge-maze-well-worn) Hidden $72.05 103 coins $2,968 4,240 coins 41.19x 2026-11-05 00:25 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Hedge Maze (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-hedge-maze-well-worn) [GliderHax](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/GliderHax) $72.05 103 coins $2,968 4,240 coins 41.19x 2026-11-03 13:48 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Hedge Maze (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-hedge-maze-well-worn) Hidden $72.05 103 coins $2,968 4,240 coins 41.19x 2026-11-03 09:40 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3) knife · covert · Phase 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-3) Hidden $72.05 103 coins $2,040 2,915 coins 28.32x 2026-11-03 22:33 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) [User#878](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/User%23878) $72.05 103 coins $1,116 1,594 coins 15.49x 2026-11-07 01:19 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) Hidden $72.05 103 coins $1,116 1,594 coins 15.49x 2026-11-06 18:47 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) Hidden $72.05 103 coins $1,116 1,594 coins 15.49x 2026-11-05 16:41 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) Hidden $72.05 103 coins $1,116 1,594 coins 15.49x 2026-11-04 14:47 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) [GliderHax](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/GliderHax) $72.05 103 coins $1,116 1,594 coins 15.49x 2026-11-03 13:49 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=sos) [MP9 | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $72.32 103 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 09:50 UTC [MP9 | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $72.32 103 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 09:50 UTC [MP9 | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $72.32 103 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 09:50 UTC [MP9 | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $72.32 103 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 09:50 UTC [MP9 | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $72.32 103 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 09:50 UTC [PP-Bizon | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-field-tested) [tiltedfish](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/tiltedfish) $72.32 103 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 09:50 UTC [PP-Bizon | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $72.32 103 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 09:48 UTC [MP9 | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $72.32 103 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 09:48 UTC [PP-Bizon | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-field-tested) [tiltedfish](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/tiltedfish) $72.32 103 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 09:48 UTC [MP9 | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $72.32 103 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 09:48 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $72.32 | 90.91% | 24 | | 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $72.29 | 90.91% | 24 | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $72.05 | 90.91% | 24 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed extraordinary 9.6% covert 9.5% classified 0.5% legendary 0.4% consumer 80.0% best hit $2,968 (41.19x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.91 on average: an expected loss of $9.09 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt