--- title: "Sparks case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Sparks ($15.27) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.92% from 17 items with odds, observed 84.95% over 2,236 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/sparks rendered: 2026-11-11T13:33Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Sparks](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/sparks) # [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Sparks A case on CSGORoll (5%, gloves), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/sparks?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/sparks?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/sparks) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/sparks?window=all) Price · $15.27 · 21.81 coins Advertised RTP · 90.92% · EV $13.88 from 17 items Observed RTP, 30d · 84.95% · 2,236 openings, odds method Variance · 3.8× · of price², per opening Tail share · 36.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 64.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 87.16% ±27.36 197 openings 7 days · 85.40% ±8.77 1,951 openings 30 days · 84.95% ±8.19 2,236 openings since tracking started · 84.95% ±8.19 2,236 openings 59.0% 87.0% 115.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/sparks?window=24h) | 197 | 87.16% ±27.4 | −0.3σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/sparks?window=7d) | 1,951 | 85.40% ±8.77 | −1.2σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/sparks) | 2,236 | 84.95% ±8.19 | −1.4σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/sparks?window=all) | 2,236 | 84.95% ±8.19 | −1.4σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 17 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 2,236 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Superconductor (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-superconductor-battle-scarred) | 1 in 2,000 | $745 1,064 coins | 2.7% | 0 | 1.1 | 0.00× | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Nocts (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-nocts-well-worn) | 1 in 1,000 | $477 682 coins | 3.4% | 3 | 2.2 | 1.34× | | [★ Driver Gloves \| Black Tie (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-black-tie-minimal-wear) | 1 in 667 | $255 364 coins | 2.8% | 2 | 3.4 | 0.60× | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Slingshot (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-slingshot-well-worn) | 1 in 667 | $223 318 coins | 2.4% | 1 | 3.4 | 0.30× | | [★ Driver Gloves \| Snow Leopard (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-snow-leopard-battle-scarred) | 1 in 667 | $193 275 coins | 2.1% | 1 | 3.4 | 0.30× | | [★ Broken Fang Gloves \| Needle Point (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/broken-fang-gloves-needle-point-factory-new) | 1 in 500 | $162 232 coins | 2.3% | 2 | 4.5 | 0.45× | | [★ Specialist Gloves \| Mogul (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-mogul-minimal-wear) | 1 in 667 | $122 174 coins | 1.3% | 5 | 3.4 | 1.49× | | [★ Specialist Gloves \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-crimson-web-field-tested) | 1 in 500 | $110 157 coins | 1.6% | 6 | 4.5 | 1.34× | | [★ Driver Gloves \| Queen Jaguar (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-queen-jaguar-minimal-wear) | 1 in 333 | $89.60 128 coins | 1.9% | 8 | 6.7 | 1.19× | | [★ Moto Gloves \| Polygon (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-polygon-field-tested) | 1 in 250 | $84.00 120 coins | 2.4% | 9 | 8.9 | 1.01× | | [★ Hand Wraps \| Constrictor (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-constrictor-minimal-wear) | 1 in 200 | $74.90 107 coins | 2.7% | 9 | 11.2 | 0.81× | | [★ Broken Fang Gloves \| Unhinged (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/broken-fang-gloves-unhinged-minimal-wear) | 1 in 154 | $66.66 95.23 coins | 3.1% | 7 | 14.5 | 0.48× | | [★ Moto Gloves \| Turtle (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-turtle-well-worn) | 1 in 125 | $52.24 74.63 coins | 3.0% | 15 | 17.9 | 0.84× | | [★ Moto Gloves \| Transport (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-transport-field-tested) | 1 in 83 | $33.10 47.29 coins | 2.9% | 32 | 26.8 | 1.19× | | [Glock-18 \| Snack Attack (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-snack-attack-field-tested) | 31.0% | $15.46 22.08 coins | 34.5% | 698 | 693.2 | 1.01× | | [PP-Bizon \| High Roller (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-high-roller-minimal-wear) | 31.0% | $10.56 15.09 coins | 23.6% | 724 | 693.2 | 1.04× | | [StatTrak™ PP-Bizon \| Osiris (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-pp-bizon-osiris-factory-new) | 33.0% | $3.04 4.35 coins | 7.2% | 714 | 737.9 | 0.97× | Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=sparks) [Glock-18 | Snack Attack (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-snack-attack-field-tested) Hidden $15.27 21.81 coins $15.46 22.08 coins 1.01x 2026-11-11 13:24 UTC [PP-Bizon | High Roller (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-high-roller-minimal-wear) [wSe](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/wSe) $15.27 21.81 coins $10.56 15.09 coins 0.69x 2026-11-11 13:24 UTC [StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Osiris (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-pp-bizon-osiris-factory-new) Hidden $15.27 21.81 coins $3.04 4.35 coins 0.20x 2026-11-11 13:23 UTC [StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Osiris (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-pp-bizon-osiris-factory-new) [Rusty Cake](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Rusty%20Cake) $15.27 21.81 coins $3.04 4.35 coins 0.20x 2026-11-11 13:23 UTC [★ Broken Fang Gloves | Unhinged (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/broken-fang-gloves-unhinged-minimal-wear) Hidden $15.27 21.81 coins $66.66 95.23 coins 4.37x 2026-11-11 13:23 UTC [PP-Bizon | High Roller (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-high-roller-minimal-wear) Hidden $15.27 21.81 coins $10.56 15.09 coins 0.69x 2026-11-11 13:23 UTC [StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Osiris (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-pp-bizon-osiris-factory-new) [Heffa](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Heffa) $15.27 21.81 coins $3.04 4.35 coins 0.20x 2026-11-11 12:31 UTC [PP-Bizon | High Roller (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-high-roller-minimal-wear) Hidden $15.27 21.81 coins $10.56 15.09 coins 0.69x 2026-11-11 12:31 UTC [PP-Bizon | High Roller (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-high-roller-minimal-wear) [Wcale nie Alfred](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Wcale%20nie%20Alfred) $15.27 21.81 coins $10.56 15.09 coins 0.69x 2026-11-11 12:31 UTC [StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Osiris (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-pp-bizon-osiris-factory-new) Hidden $15.27 21.81 coins $3.04 4.35 coins 0.20x 2026-11-11 12:20 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $15.27 | 90.92% | 17 | | 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $15.17 | 90.92% | 17 | | 5 Nov, 22:45 UTC | $15.24 | 90.90% | 17 | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $15.30 | 90.90% | 17 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed extraordinary 5.0% classified 62.0% restricted 33.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.92 on average: an expected loss of $9.08 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt