--- title: "Spectrum case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Spectrum ($48.70) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.92% from 16 items with odds, observed 102.51% over 114 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/spectrum rendered: 2026-11-11T13:35Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Spectrum](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/spectrum) # [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Spectrum A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/spectrum?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/spectrum?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/spectrum) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/spectrum?window=all) Price · $48.70 · 69.57 coins Advertised RTP · 90.92% · EV $44.27 from 16 items Observed RTP, 30d · 102.51% · 114 openings, odds method Variance · 1.6× · of price², per opening Tail share · 18.3% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 69.7% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 14 openings · below min 7 days · 97 openings · below min 30 days · 102.51% ±23.39 114 openings since tracking started · 102.51% ±23.39 114 openings 43.5% 110.5% 177.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/spectrum?window=24h) | 14 | 110.67% ±66.3 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/spectrum?window=7d) | 97 | 109.74% ±25.3 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/spectrum) | 114 | 102.51% ±23.4 | +1.0σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/spectrum?window=all) | 114 | 102.51% ±23.4 | +1.0σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 16 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 114 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Karambit \| Fade (Minimal Wear) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 10,000 | $1,567 2,239 coins | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [M4A4 \| Poseidon (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poseidon-field-tested) | 1 in 2,000 | $983 1,404 coins | 1.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Karambit \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-crimson-web-field-tested) | 1 in 2,000 | $642 917 coins | 0.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Talon Knife \| Damascus Steel (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-damascus-steel-field-tested) | 1 in 143 | $279 399 coins | 4.4% | 1 | 0.8 | — | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Slingshot (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-slingshot-field-tested) | 1 in 200 | $279 398 coins | 3.1% | 0 | 0.6 | — | | [★ Bayonet knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet) | 1 in 91 | $194 277 coins | 4.8% | 1 | 1.3 | 0.80× | | [Desert Eagle \| Golden Koi (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-golden-koi-factory-new) | 1 in 71 | $174 248 coins | 5.5% | 1 | 1.6 | 0.63× | | [★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-huntsman-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 40 | $164 234 coins | 9.2% | 6 | 2.9 | 2.11× | | [★ Bayonet \| Night (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-night-battle-scarred) | 1 in 17 | $122 175 coins | 16.6% | 8 | 6.8 | 1.17× | | [Tec-9 \| Tornado (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-tornado-factory-new) | 1 in 17 | $89.60 128 coins | 12.1% | 8 | 6.8 | 1.17× | | [P2000 \| Fire Elemental (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-fire-elemental-minimal-wear) | 12.0% | $81.20 116 coins | 22.0% | 19 | 13.7 | 1.39× | | [AK-47 \| Neon Rider (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-rider-field-tested) | 1 in 13 | $41.03 58.61 coins | 7.4% | 6 | 9.1 | 0.66× | | [Five-SeveN \| Copper Galaxy (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-copper-galaxy-factory-new) | 17.0% | $17.07 24.38 coins | 6.6% | 18 | 19.4 | 0.93× | | [AK-47 \| Cartel (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-cartel-field-tested) | 1 in 11 | $14.44 20.63 coins | 2.9% | 9 | 10.3 | 0.88× | | [Dual Berettas \| Marina (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-marina-minimal-wear) | 20.0% | $5.17 7.38 coins | 2.3% | 19 | 22.8 | 0.83× | | [M249 \| Humidor (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-humidor-battle-scarred) | 15.7% | $1.99 2.85 coins | 0.7% | 18 | 17.9 | 1.01× | Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=spectrum) [M249 | Humidor (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-humidor-battle-scarred) Hidden $48.70 69.57 coins $1.99 2.85 coins 0.04x 2026-11-11 05:41 UTC [M249 | Humidor (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-humidor-battle-scarred) Hidden $48.70 69.57 coins $1.99 2.85 coins 0.04x 2026-11-11 05:41 UTC [Five-SeveN | Copper Galaxy (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-copper-galaxy-factory-new) Hidden $48.70 69.57 coins $17.07 24.38 coins 0.35x 2026-11-11 05:41 UTC [Five-SeveN | Copper Galaxy (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-copper-galaxy-factory-new) [✪ Gytis ✪](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/%E2%9C%AA%20Gytis%20%E2%9C%AA) $48.70 69.57 coins $17.07 24.38 coins 0.35x 2026-11-11 05:41 UTC [★ Bayonet | Night (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-night-battle-scarred) Hidden $48.70 69.57 coins $122 175 coins 2.52x 2026-11-11 05:39 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-huntsman-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) Hidden $48.70 69.57 coins $164 234 coins 3.36x 2026-11-11 05:39 UTC [P2000 | Fire Elemental (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-fire-elemental-minimal-wear) Hidden $48.70 69.57 coins $81.20 116 coins 1.67x 2026-11-11 05:39 UTC [P2000 | Fire Elemental (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-fire-elemental-minimal-wear) [✪ Gytis ✪](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/%E2%9C%AA%20Gytis%20%E2%9C%AA) $48.70 69.57 coins $81.20 116 coins 1.67x 2026-11-11 05:39 UTC [Dual Berettas | Marina (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-marina-minimal-wear) Hidden $48.70 69.57 coins $5.17 7.38 coins 0.11x 2026-11-11 04:40 UTC [M249 | Humidor (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-humidor-battle-scarred) [Avyrian](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Avyrian) $48.70 69.57 coins $1.99 2.85 coins 0.04x 2026-11-11 04:40 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $48.70 | 90.92% | 16 | | 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $48.40 | 90.91% | 16 | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $48.91 | 90.91% | 16 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed epic 0.0% classified 9.0% covert 31.8% extraordinary 0.5% consumer 6.0% restricted 37.0% mil spec 15.7% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.92 on average: an expected loss of $9.08 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt