--- title: "Spiderverse case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Spiderverse ($48.99) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.92% from 17 items with odds, observed 90.65% over 157 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/spiderverse rendered: 2026-11-11T19:33Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Spiderverse](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/spiderverse) # [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Spiderverse A case on CSGORoll (knives, 20%), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/spiderverse?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/spiderverse?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/spiderverse) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/spiderverse?window=all) Price · $48.99 · 69.98 coins Advertised RTP · 90.92% · EV $44.54 from 17 items Observed RTP, 30d · 90.65% · 157 openings, odds method Variance · 20.4× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 14 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 80.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 94.81% ±73.43 143 openings 30 days · 90.65% ±70.06 157 openings since tracking started · 90.65% ±70.06 157 openings 20.0% 94.5% 169.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/spiderverse?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/spiderverse?window=7d) | 143 | 94.81% ±73.4 | +0.1σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/spiderverse) | 157 | 90.65% ±70.1 | −0.0σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/spiderverse?window=all) | 157 | 90.65% ±70.1 | −0.0σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 17 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 161 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife \| Crimson Web (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 11,111 | $11.9K 17,000 coins | 2.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Karambit \| Crimson Web (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 100,000 | $11.8K 16,905 coins | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife \| Crimson Web (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-skeleton-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $9,332 13,332 coins | 2.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife \| Crimson Web (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ursus-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $5,740 8,200 coins | 6.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Specialist Gloves \| Crimson Web (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $1,523 2,175 coins | 3.4% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [★ Specialist Gloves \| Crimson Kimono (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-crimson-kimono-well-worn) | 1 in 1,000 | $1,373 1,962 coins | 3.1% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [★ Stiletto Knife \| Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 667 | $1,255 1,793 coins | 4.2% | 1 | 0.2 | — | | [★ Nomad Knife \| Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 500 | $1,008 1,440 coins | 4.5% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [★ Shadow Daggers \| Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 333 | $394 563 coins | 2.7% | 1 | 0.5 | — | | [★ Gut Knife \| Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $350 500 coins | 3.9% | 1 | 0.8 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife \| Crimson Web (Well-Worn) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-huntsman-knife-crimson-web-well-worn) | 1 in 111 | $175 250 coins | 3.5% | 1 | 1.4 | 0.69× | | [★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers \| Crimson Web (Well-Worn) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-shadow-daggers-crimson-web-well-worn) | 1 in 20 | $120 171 coins | 13.4% | 8 | 8.1 | 0.99× | | [★ Bowie Knife \| Crimson Web (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-crimson-web-well-worn) | 1 in 60 | $98.70 141 coins | 3.7% | 5 | 2.7 | 1.85× | | [★ Navaja Knife \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-crimson-web-field-tested) | 11.0% | $62.78 89.68 coins | 15.5% | 19 | 17.7 | 1.07× | | [SCAR-20 \| Crimson Web (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-crimson-web-factory-new) | 25.0% | $25.05 35.78 coins | 14.1% | 40 | 40.3 | 0.99× | | [CZ75-Auto \| Crimson Web (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-crimson-web-factory-new) | 25.0% | $18.20 26 coins | 10.2% | 43 | 40.3 | 1.07× | | [Desert Eagle \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-crimson-web-field-tested) | 30.0% | $9.60 13.72 coins | 6.5% | 42 | 48.3 | 0.87× | Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 14:28 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Stiletto Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) Hidden $49.50 70.71 coins $1,255 1,793 coins 25.36x 2026-11-06 08:29 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=spiderverse) [Desert Eagle | Crimson Web (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-crimson-web-field-tested) Hidden $48.99 69.98 coins $9.60 13.72 coins 0.20x 2026-11-10 02:41 UTC [★ Bowie Knife | Crimson Web (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-crimson-web-well-worn) Hidden $48.99 69.98 coins $98.70 141 coins 2.01x 2026-11-10 02:41 UTC [CZ75-Auto | Crimson Web (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-crimson-web-factory-new) Hidden $48.99 69.98 coins $18.20 26 coins 0.37x 2026-11-10 02:41 UTC [Desert Eagle | Crimson Web (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-crimson-web-field-tested) Hidden $48.99 69.98 coins $9.60 13.72 coins 0.20x 2026-11-10 02:41 UTC [CZ75-Auto | Crimson Web (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-crimson-web-factory-new) Hidden $48.99 69.98 coins $18.20 26 coins 0.37x 2026-11-10 02:41 UTC [CZ75-Auto | Crimson Web (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-crimson-web-factory-new) [🟢Kick: Activ3C0ma](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/%F0%9F%9F%A2Kick%3A%20Activ3C0ma) $48.99 69.98 coins $18.20 26 coins 0.37x 2026-11-10 02:41 UTC [CZ75-Auto | Crimson Web (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-crimson-web-factory-new) Hidden $48.99 69.98 coins $18.20 26 coins 0.37x 2026-11-10 01:46 UTC [SCAR-20 | Crimson Web (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-crimson-web-factory-new) Hidden $48.99 69.98 coins $25.05 35.78 coins 0.51x 2026-11-10 01:46 UTC [Desert Eagle | Crimson Web (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-crimson-web-field-tested) Hidden $48.99 69.98 coins $9.60 13.72 coins 0.20x 2026-11-10 01:46 UTC [CZ75-Auto | Crimson Web (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-crimson-web-factory-new) Hidden $48.99 69.98 coins $18.20 26 coins 0.37x 2026-11-10 01:46 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $48.99 | 90.92% | 17 | | 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $49.47 | 90.91% | 17 | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $49.50 | 90.91% | 17 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 19.4% legendary 0.4% extraordinary 0.2% mil spec 50.0% restricted 30.0% best hit $1,255 (25.36x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.92 on average: an expected loss of $9.08 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt