--- title: "Spiderweb case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Spiderweb ($51.99) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.91% from 13 items with odds, observed 87.37% over 39 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/spiderweb rendered: 2026-11-11T23:02Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Spiderweb](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/spiderweb) # [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Spiderweb A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/spiderweb?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/spiderweb?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/spiderweb) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/spiderweb?window=all) Price · $51.99 · 74.27 coins Advertised RTP · 90.91% · EV $47.26 from 13 items Observed RTP, 30d · 87.37% · 39 openings, odds method Variance · 0.5× · of price², per opening Tail share · 25.1% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 65.4% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 3 openings · below min 7 days · 33 openings · below min 30 days · 39 openings · below min since tracking started · 39 openings · below min -0.5% 60.5% 121.5% **Small sample.** 39 openings and 9.8 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/spiderweb?window=24h) | 3 | 39.73% ±81.0 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/spiderweb?window=7d) | 33 | 92.24% ±24.6 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/spiderweb) | 39 | 87.37% ±22.6 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/spiderweb?window=all) | 39 | 87.37% ±22.6 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 13 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 39 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Freehand (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-freehand-field-tested) | 1 in 100,000 | $326 465 coins | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Nomad Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $226 323 coins | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [M4A1-S \| Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hyper-beast-minimal-wear) | 1 in 14 | $111 159 coins | 16.5% | 1 | 2.7 | 0.37× | | [AWP \| Man-o'-war (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-man-o-war-field-tested) | 1 in 13 | $109 156 coins | 18.5% | 5 | 3.1 | 1.60× | | [AK-47 \| The Empress (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-empress-battle-scarred) | 10.0% | $95.20 136 coins | 20.1% | 3 | 3.9 | 0.77× | | [USP-S \| Royal Blue (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-royal-blue-factory-new) | 1 in 14 | $72.80 104 coins | 10.8% | 2 | 2.7 | 0.73× | | [★ Specialist Gloves \| Mogul (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-mogul-well-worn) | 1 in 40 | $71.40 102 coins | 3.8% | 1 | 1.0 | — | | [AWP \| Redline (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-redline-minimal-wear) | 1 in 33 | $51.53 73.61 coins | 3.3% | 2 | 1.2 | 1.71× | | [P250 \| Mehndi (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-mehndi-factory-new) | 10.0% | $25.56 36.52 coins | 5.4% | 9 | 3.9 | 2.31× | | [SCAR-20 \| Cyrex (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-cyrex-minimal-wear) | 10.0% | $24.75 35.36 coins | 5.2% | 1 | 3.9 | 0.26× | | [CZ75-Auto \| Crimson Web (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-crimson-web-factory-new) | 20.0% | $18.20 26 coins | 7.7% | 8 | 7.8 | 1.03× | | [M4A1-S \| Decimator (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-decimator-minimal-wear) | 20.0% | $17.47 24.95 coins | 7.4% | 6 | 7.8 | 0.77× | | [Souvenir Glock-18 \| Candy Apple (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-glock-18-candy-apple-factory-new) | 1 in 42 | $16.42 23.46 coins | 0.8% | 1 | 0.9 | — | Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 20:32 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=spiderweb) [CZ75-Auto | Crimson Web (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-crimson-web-factory-new) Hidden $51.99 74.27 coins $18.20 26 coins 0.35x 2026-11-11 22:53 UTC [CZ75-Auto | Crimson Web (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-crimson-web-factory-new) Hidden $51.99 74.27 coins $18.20 26 coins 0.35x 2026-11-11 22:53 UTC [P250 | Mehndi (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-mehndi-factory-new) [Shiba inu](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Shiba%20inu) $51.99 74.27 coins $25.56 36.52 coins 0.49x 2026-11-11 22:53 UTC [CZ75-Auto | Crimson Web (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-crimson-web-factory-new) Hidden $51.79 73.98 coins $17.62 25.17 coins 0.34x 2026-11-08 18:17 UTC [CZ75-Auto | Crimson Web (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-crimson-web-factory-new) Hidden $51.79 73.98 coins $17.62 25.17 coins 0.34x 2026-11-08 18:17 UTC [AK-47 | The Empress (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-empress-battle-scarred) Hidden $51.79 73.98 coins $95.20 136 coins 1.84x 2026-11-08 18:17 UTC [P250 | Mehndi (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-mehndi-factory-new) Hidden $51.79 73.98 coins $24.65 35.22 coins 0.48x 2026-11-08 18:17 UTC [P250 | Mehndi (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-mehndi-factory-new) Hidden $51.79 73.98 coins $24.65 35.22 coins 0.48x 2026-11-08 18:17 UTC [P250 | Mehndi (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-mehndi-factory-new) [El Gamblino 𝓜𝓐𝓕𝓘𝓐](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/El%20Gamblino%20%F0%9D%93%9C%F0%9D%93%90%F0%9D%93%95%F0%9D%93%98%F0%9D%93%90) $51.79 73.98 coins $24.65 35.22 coins 0.48x 2026-11-08 18:17 UTC [AWP | Man-o'-war (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-man-o-war-field-tested) Hidden $51.93 74.19 coins $106 152 coins 2.05x 2026-11-07 00:12 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $51.99 | 90.91% | 13 | | 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $52.35 | 90.91% | 13 | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $51.93 | 90.91% | 13 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 25.1% industrial 7.0% extraordinary 2.5% classified 43.0% mil spec 22.4% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.91 on average: an expected loss of $9.09 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt