--- title: "Spring Time case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Spring Time ($45.84) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.91% from 15 items with odds, observed 94.84% over 388 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/spring-time rendered: 2026-11-11T13:26Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Spring Time](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/spring-time) # [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Spring Time A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/spring-time?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/spring-time?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/spring-time) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/spring-time?window=all) Price · $45.84 · 65.49 coins Advertised RTP · 90.91% · EV $41.67 from 15 items Observed RTP, 30d · 94.84% · 388 openings, odds method Variance · 2.3× · of price², per opening Tail share · 13.2% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 79.5% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 91.74% ±18.55 263 openings 30 days · 94.84% ±15.30 388 openings since tracking started · 94.84% ±15.30 388 openings 72.5% 91.8% 111.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/spring-time?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/spring-time?window=7d) | 263 | 91.74% ±18.6 | +0.1σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/spring-time) | 388 | 94.84% ±15.3 | +0.5σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/spring-time?window=all) | 388 | 94.84% ±15.3 | +0.5σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 15 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 388 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,000 | $918 1,312 coins | 1.1% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Fade (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,000 | $783 1,119 coins | 0.9% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [★ Bayonet \| Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,000 | $253 362 coins | 0.6% | 0 | 0.4 | — | | [M4A4 \| Buzz Kill (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-buzz-kill-well-worn) | 13.0% | $196 280 coins | 61.1% | 52 | 50.4 | 1.03× | | [★ Huntsman Knife \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,000 | $190 271 coins | 0.5% | 1 | 0.4 | — | | [M4A1-S \| Master Piece (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-master-piece-field-tested) | 1 in 200 | $109 155 coins | 1.3% | 3 | 1.9 | 1.55× | | [AK-47 \| The Empress (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-empress-field-tested) | 1 in 33 | $98.70 141 coins | 7.1% | 17 | 11.6 | 1.46× | | [P2000 \| Ocean Foam (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-ocean-foam-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $91.00 130 coins | 2.2% | 5 | 3.9 | 1.29× | | [★ Nomad Knife \| Forest DDPAT (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-forest-ddpat-battle-scarred) | 1 in 100 | $62.06 88.65 coins | 1.5% | 3 | 3.9 | 0.77× | | [★ Navaja Knife \| Blue Steel (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-blue-steel-field-tested) | 1 in 59 | $46.07 65.82 coins | 1.9% | 6 | 6.6 | 0.91× | | [FAMAS \| Commemoration (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-commemoration-factory-new) | 10.0% | $44.78 63.97 coins | 10.7% | 40 | 38.8 | 1.03× | | [AWP \| Wildfire (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-wildfire-battle-scarred) | 1 in 40 | $36.40 52 coins | 2.2% | 10 | 9.7 | 1.03× | | [AWP \| Pink DDPAT (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-pink-ddpat-well-worn) | 12.0% | $21.01 30.01 coins | 6.0% | 48 | 46.6 | 1.03× | | [R8 Revolver \| Nitro (Factory New) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-nitro-factory-new) | 30.0% | $2.37 3.39 coins | 1.7% | 121 | 116.4 | 1.04× | | [Galil AR \| Firefight (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-firefight-minimal-wear) | 25.0% | $1.85 2.64 coins | 1.1% | 82 | 97.0 | 0.85× | Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=spring-time) [R8 Revolver | Nitro (Factory New) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-nitro-factory-new) Hidden $45.84 65.49 coins $2.37 3.39 coins 0.05x 2026-11-09 13:13 UTC [Galil AR | Firefight (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-firefight-minimal-wear) Hidden $45.84 65.49 coins $1.85 2.64 coins 0.04x 2026-11-09 13:13 UTC [R8 Revolver | Nitro (Factory New) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-nitro-factory-new) Hidden $45.84 65.49 coins $2.37 3.39 coins 0.05x 2026-11-09 13:13 UTC [Galil AR | Firefight (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-firefight-minimal-wear) Hidden $45.84 65.49 coins $1.85 2.64 coins 0.04x 2026-11-09 13:13 UTC [FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-commemoration-factory-new) Hidden $45.84 65.49 coins $44.78 63.97 coins 0.98x 2026-11-09 13:13 UTC [M4A4 | Buzz Kill (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-buzz-kill-well-worn) [Shiba inu](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Shiba%20inu) $45.84 65.49 coins $196 280 coins 4.28x 2026-11-09 13:13 UTC [R8 Revolver | Nitro (Factory New) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-nitro-factory-new) Hidden $45.84 65.49 coins $2.37 3.39 coins 0.05x 2026-11-09 13:05 UTC [Galil AR | Firefight (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-firefight-minimal-wear) Hidden $45.84 65.49 coins $1.85 2.64 coins 0.04x 2026-11-09 13:05 UTC [R8 Revolver | Nitro (Factory New) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-nitro-factory-new) Hidden $45.84 65.49 coins $2.37 3.39 coins 0.05x 2026-11-09 13:05 UTC [R8 Revolver | Nitro (Factory New) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-nitro-factory-new) Hidden $45.84 65.49 coins $2.37 3.39 coins 0.05x 2026-11-09 13:05 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $45.84 | 90.91% | 15 | | 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $45.68 | 90.91% | 15 | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $45.63 | 90.91% | 15 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 31.5% classified 1.5% restricted 12.0% Industrial Grade 30.0% Mythical 25.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.91 on average: an expected loss of $9.09 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt