---
title: "Squats case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Squats ($38.44) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.91% from 20 items with odds, observed 89.58% over 105 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/squats
rendered: 2026-11-11T14:02Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Squats](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/squats)

# [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Squats

A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/squats?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/squats?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/squats) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/squats?window=all)

Price · $38.44 · 54.91 coins

Advertised RTP · 90.91% · EV $34.94 from 20 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 89.58% · 105 openings, odds method

Variance · 2.2× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 16.4% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 74.6% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 26 openings · below min

7 days · 87 openings · below min

30 days · 89.58% ±28.03 105 openings

since tracking started · 89.58% ±28.03 105 openings

26.0% 83.5% 141.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/squats?window=24h) | 26 | 83.46% ±56.9 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/squats?window=7d) | 87 | 95.96% ±30.9 | — | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/squats) | 105 | 89.58% ±28.0 | −0.1σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/squats?window=all) | 105 | 89.58% ±28.0 | −0.1σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 20 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 105 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Karambit \| Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 4) knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-phase-4) | 1 in 10,000 | $1,417 2,024 coins | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Emerald Web (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-emerald-web-field-tested) | 1 in 5,000 | $1,100 1,572 coins | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1) knife · covert · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-1) | 1 in 3,333 | $1,077 1,539 coins | 0.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Poseidon (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poseidon-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,000 | $1,002 1,432 coins | 1.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) | 1 in 1,000 | $418 597 coins | 1.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Emerald Jörmungandr (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-emerald-jormungandr-factory-new) | 1 in 667 | $386 551 coins | 1.7% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 3) knife · covert · Phase 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-phase-3) | 1 in 400 | $349 498 coins | 2.5% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [P90 \| Astral Jörmungandr (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-astral-jormungandr-battle-scarred) | 1 in 200 | $307 438 coins | 4.4% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1) StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-huntsman-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-1) | 1 in 333 | $223 319 coins | 1.9% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Survival Knife \| Boreal Forest (Factory New) knife · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-boreal-forest-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $127 182 coins | 10.9% | 8 | 3.1 | 2.54× |
| [P90 \| Emerald Dragon (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-emerald-dragon-well-worn) | 1 in 20 | $87.50 125 coins | 12.5% | 3 | 5.3 | 0.57× |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4) knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-4) | 1 in 100 | $86.80 124 coins | 2.5% | 4 | 1.1 | 3.81× |
| [USP-S \| Overgrowth (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-overgrowth-factory-new) | 1 in 17 | $78.40 112 coins | 13.5% | 6 | 6.3 | 0.95× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Cobra Strike (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-cobra-strike-factory-new) | 1 in 14 | $67.04 95.77 coins | 13.4% | 6 | 7.4 | 0.82× |
| [★ Moto Gloves \| Turtle (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-turtle-well-worn) | 1 in 50 | $52.24 74.63 coins | 3.0% | 1 | 2.1 | 0.48× |
| [SCAR-20 \| Emerald (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-emerald-minimal-wear) | 1 in 13 | $24.78 35.4 coins | 5.7% | 8 | 8.4 | 0.95× |
| [USP-S \| Overgrowth (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-overgrowth-field-tested) | 15.0% | $17.88 25.55 coins | 7.7% | 17 | 15.8 | 1.08× |
| [FAMAS \| Spitfire (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-spitfire-field-tested) | 15.0% | $15.51 22.16 coins | 6.7% | 16 | 15.8 | 1.02× |
| [AK-47 \| Jungle Spray (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-jungle-spray-minimal-wear) | 15.0% | $10.15 14.5 coins | 4.4% | 15 | 15.8 | 0.95× |
| [M4A4 \| Jungle Tiger (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-jungle-tiger-minimal-wear) | 21.6% | $7.71 11.02 coins | 4.8% | 21 | 22.7 | 0.93× |

Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=squats)

[FAMAS | Spitfire (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-spitfire-field-tested) Hidden $38.44 54.91 coins $15.51 22.16 coins 0.40x 2026-11-11 07:59 UTC

[Dual Berettas | Cobra Strike (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-cobra-strike-factory-new) Hidden $38.44 54.91 coins $67.04 95.77 coins 1.74x 2026-11-11 07:59 UTC

[FAMAS | Spitfire (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-spitfire-field-tested) Hidden $38.44 54.91 coins $15.51 22.16 coins 0.40x 2026-11-11 07:59 UTC

[USP-S | Overgrowth (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-overgrowth-factory-new) [Fuksas](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Fuksas) $38.44 54.91 coins $78.40 112 coins 2.04x 2026-11-11 07:59 UTC

[AK-47 | Jungle Spray (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-jungle-spray-minimal-wear) Hidden $38.44 54.91 coins $10.15 14.5 coins 0.26x 2026-11-11 05:23 UTC

[★ Shadow Daggers | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4) knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-4) Hidden $38.44 54.91 coins $86.80 124 coins 2.26x 2026-11-11 05:23 UTC

[★ Survival Knife | Boreal Forest (Factory New) knife · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-boreal-forest-factory-new) Hidden $38.44 54.91 coins $127 182 coins 3.31x 2026-11-11 05:23 UTC

[★ Shadow Daggers | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4) knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-4) Hidden $38.44 54.91 coins $86.80 124 coins 2.26x 2026-11-11 05:23 UTC

[FAMAS | Spitfire (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-spitfire-field-tested) Hidden $38.44 54.91 coins $15.51 22.16 coins 0.40x 2026-11-11 05:23 UTC

[USP-S | Overgrowth (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-overgrowth-field-tested) [Avyrian](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Avyrian) $38.44 54.91 coins $17.88 25.55 coins 0.47x 2026-11-11 05:23 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $38.44 | 90.91% | 20 |
| 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $39.72 | 90.91% | 20 |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $39.82 | 90.91% | 20 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 1.7% extraordinary 2.0% classified 12.1% restricted 44.6% rare 3.0% industrial 36.6% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.91 on average: an expected loss of $9.09 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt