--- title: "Starsigns case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Starsigns ($161.74) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.91% from 17 items with odds, observed 57.50% over 86 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/starsigns rendered: 2026-11-11T13:57Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Starsigns](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/starsigns) # [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Starsigns A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/starsigns?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/starsigns?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/starsigns) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/starsigns?window=all) Price · $161.74 · 231 coins Advertised RTP · 90.91% · EV $147.04 from 17 items Observed RTP, 30d · 57.50% · 86 openings, odds method Variance · 2.6× · of price², per opening Tail share · 29.4% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 70.6% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 10 openings · below min 7 days · 86 openings · below min 30 days · 86 openings · below min since tracking started · 86 openings · below min -0.5% 95.0% 190.5% **Small sample.** 86 openings and 25.3 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/starsigns?window=24h) | 10 | 90.30% ±99.4 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/starsigns?window=7d) | 86 | 57.50% ±34.6 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/starsigns) | 86 | 57.50% ±34.6 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/starsigns?window=all) | 86 | 57.50% ±34.6 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 17 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 86 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) | 1 in 2,500 | $7,000 10,000 coins | 1.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Nocts (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-nocts-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $2,895 4,135 coins | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| Medusa (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-medusa-battle-scarred) | 1 in 667 | $1,697 2,424 coins | 1.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Karambit \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2) StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-doppler-factory-new-phase-2) | 1 in 154 | $1,691 2,416 coins | 7.5% | 0 | 0.6 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Karambit \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3) StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-doppler-factory-new-phase-3) | 1 in 100 | $1,226 1,752 coins | 8.3% | 0 | 0.9 | — | | [★ Moto Gloves \| Smoke Out (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-smoke-out-factory-new) | 1 in 5,000 | $939 1,342 coins | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Huntsman Knife \| Night (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-night-factory-new) | 1 in 286 | $894 1,277 coins | 2.1% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1) knife · covert · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new-phase-1) | 1 in 77 | $832 1,188 coins | 7.4% | 0 | 1.1 | 0.00× | | [★ Gut Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) | 1 in 65 | $573 818 coins | 6.0% | 0 | 1.3 | 0.00× | | [★ Flip Knife \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 3) knife · covert · Phase 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-phase-3) | 1 in 43 | $274 392 coins | 4.3% | 2 | 2.0 | 1.01× | | [Glock-18 \| Twilight Galaxy (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-twilight-galaxy-field-tested) | 22.0% | $193 276 coins | 28.9% | 15 | 18.9 | 0.79× | | [★ Huntsman Knife \| Night (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-night-minimal-wear) | 1 in 22 | $131 187 coins | 4.0% | 3 | 3.9 | 0.78× | | [★ Shadow Daggers \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 3) knife · covert · Phase 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-doppler-minimal-wear-phase-3) | 1 in 17 | $115 164 coins | 4.7% | 7 | 5.2 | 1.36× | | [Desert Eagle \| Night (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-night-factory-new) | 14.0% | $80.50 115 coins | 7.7% | 16 | 12.0 | 1.33× | | [★ Falchion Knife \| Night (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-night-well-worn) | 1 in 15 | $63.79 91.13 coins | 2.9% | 6 | 5.7 | 1.06× | | [★ Falchion Knife \| Ultraviolet (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-ultraviolet-well-worn) | 1 in 14 | $62.06 88.65 coins | 3.0% | 9 | 6.0 | 1.50× | | [Glock-18 \| Night (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-night-factory-new) | 32.5% | $42.20 60.28 coins | 9.3% | 28 | 28.0 | 1.00× | Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=starsigns) [Glock-18 | Twilight Galaxy (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-twilight-galaxy-field-tested) Hidden $162 231 coins $193 276 coins 1.19x 2026-11-10 23:35 UTC [Glock-18 | Twilight Galaxy (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-twilight-galaxy-field-tested) Hidden $162 231 coins $193 276 coins 1.19x 2026-11-10 23:35 UTC [Desert Eagle | Night (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-night-factory-new) Hidden $162 231 coins $80.50 115 coins 0.50x 2026-11-10 23:35 UTC [★ Shadow Daggers | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 3) knife · covert · Phase 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-doppler-minimal-wear-phase-3) [karma](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/karma) $162 231 coins $115 164 coins 0.71x 2026-11-10 23:35 UTC [★ Falchion Knife | Night (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-night-well-worn) Hidden $162 231 coins $63.79 91.13 coins 0.39x 2026-11-10 17:34 UTC [Glock-18 | Twilight Galaxy (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-twilight-galaxy-field-tested) Hidden $162 231 coins $193 276 coins 1.19x 2026-11-10 17:34 UTC [Glock-18 | Twilight Galaxy (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-twilight-galaxy-field-tested) Hidden $162 231 coins $193 276 coins 1.19x 2026-11-10 17:34 UTC [Glock-18 | Twilight Galaxy (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-twilight-galaxy-field-tested) Hidden $162 231 coins $193 276 coins 1.19x 2026-11-10 17:34 UTC [Glock-18 | Twilight Galaxy (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-twilight-galaxy-field-tested) Hidden $162 231 coins $193 276 coins 1.19x 2026-11-10 17:34 UTC [Glock-18 | Night (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-night-factory-new) [Lars](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Lars) $162 231 coins $42.20 60.28 coins 0.26x 2026-11-10 17:34 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $162 | 90.91% | 17 | | 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $159 | 90.91% | 17 | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $160 | 90.91% | 17 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 31.1% legendary 0.0% extraordinary 0.0% epic 0.4% classified 22.0% industrial 46.5% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.91 on average: an expected loss of $9.09 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt