--- title: "Static case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Static ($183.04) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.91% from 21 items with odds, observed 82.60% over 16 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/static rendered: 2026-11-11T13:16Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Static](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/static) # [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Static A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/static?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/static?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/static) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/static?window=all) Price · $183.04 · 261 coins Advertised RTP · 90.91% · EV $166.39 from 21 items Observed RTP, 30d · 82.60% · 16 openings, odds method Variance · 0.8× · of price², per opening Tail share · 19.1% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 77.9% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 8 openings · below min 30 days · 16 openings · below min since tracking started · 16 openings · below min 2.0% 65.5% 129.0% **Small sample.** 16 openings and 3.1 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/static?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/static?window=7d) | 8 | 65.58% ±62.9 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/static) | 16 | 82.60% ±44.5 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/static?window=all) | 16 | 82.60% ±44.5 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 21 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 16 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Pandora's Box (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-pandoras-box-well-worn) | 1 in 2,857 | $2,716 3,880 coins | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| The Prince (Well-Worn) weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-the-prince-well-worn) | 1 in 1,818 | $1,528 2,183 coins | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Souvenir AWP \| Desert Hydra (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-desert-hydra-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $1,295 1,850 coins | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| Desert Hydra (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-desert-hydra-battle-scarred) | 1 in 400 | $878 1,254 coins | 1.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Moto Gloves \| Finish Line (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-finish-line-factory-new) | 1 in 133 | $865 1,235 coins | 3.9% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Karambit \| Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-crimson-web-minimal-wear) | 1 in 200 | $860 1,228 coins | 2.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [AK-47 \| Vulcan (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-vulcan-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $473 676 coins | 2.8% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [AWP \| Lightning Strike (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-lightning-strike-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $440 628 coins | 13.2% | 2 | 0.8 | — | | [Desert Eagle \| Sunset Storm 弐 (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-sunset-storm-minimal-wear) | 1 in 13 | $404 577 coins | 19.4% | 0 | 1.3 | 0.00× | | [★ Shadow Daggers \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-doppler-minimal-wear-ruby) | 1 in 50 | $388 554 coins | 4.7% | 1 | 0.3 | — | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Slingshot (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-slingshot-field-tested) | 1 in 67 | $279 398 coins | 2.5% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [★ Bayonet \| Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) | 1 in 33 | $253 362 coins | 4.6% | 0 | 0.5 | — | | [★ Gut Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2) knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-2) | 1 in 17 | $157 224 coins | 5.7% | 1 | 1.0 | — | | [★ Bayonet \| Freehand (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-freehand-field-tested) | 1 in 17 | $148 211 coins | 5.3% | 1 | 1.0 | — | | [MP7 \| Whiteout (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-whiteout-minimal-wear) | 10.0% | $146 209 coins | 8.8% | 2 | 1.6 | 1.25× | | [M4A1-S \| Mecha Industries (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-mecha-industries-field-tested) | 10.9% | $105 150 coins | 6.9% | 2 | 1.7 | 1.15× | | [★ Gut Knife \| Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-crimson-web-minimal-wear) | 1 in 11 | $94.50 135 coins | 5.1% | 1 | 1.4 | 0.69× | | [Desert Eagle \| Pilot (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-pilot-battle-scarred) | 1 in 11 | $82.60 118 coins | 4.5% | 1 | 1.4 | 0.69× | | [★ Shadow Daggers \| Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) | 1 in 11 | $63.06 90.08 coins | 3.4% | 1 | 1.4 | 0.69× | | [★ Shadow Daggers \| Stained (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-stained-well-worn) | 1 in 11 | $52.44 74.91 coins | 2.8% | 3 | 1.4 | 2.08× | | [Souvenir Dual Berettas \| Stained (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-dual-berettas-stained-factory-new) | 1 in 11 | $25.09 35.84 coins | 1.4% | 1 | 1.4 | 0.69× | Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=static) [M4A1-S | Mecha Industries (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-mecha-industries-field-tested) Hidden $186 266 coins $104 149 coins 0.56x 2026-11-06 05:49 UTC [★ Shadow Daggers | Stained (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-stained-well-worn) [LongKoala](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/LongKoala) $186 266 coins $49.35 70.5 coins 0.27x 2026-11-06 05:49 UTC [MP7 | Whiteout (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-whiteout-minimal-wear) Hidden $186 266 coins $146 209 coins 0.79x 2026-11-04 20:29 UTC [Souvenir Dual Berettas | Stained (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-dual-berettas-stained-factory-new) [tashud](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/tashud) $186 266 coins $25.10 35.85 coins 0.13x 2026-11-04 20:29 UTC [AWP | Lightning Strike (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-lightning-strike-factory-new) Hidden $186 266 coins $451 645 coins 2.43x 2026-11-04 20:27 UTC [★ Gut Knife | Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-crimson-web-minimal-wear) [tashud](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/tashud) $186 266 coins $100 143 coins 0.54x 2026-11-04 20:27 UTC [★ Shadow Daggers | Stained (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-stained-well-worn) Hidden $186 266 coins $49.35 70.5 coins 0.27x 2026-11-04 20:26 UTC [★ Shadow Daggers | Stained (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-stained-well-worn) [tashud](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/tashud) $186 266 coins $49.35 70.5 coins 0.27x 2026-11-04 20:26 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $183 | 90.91% | 21 | | 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $183 | 90.91% | 21 | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $186 | 90.91% | 21 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed extraordinary 2.3% legendary 0.1% covert 61.7% restricted 17.0% mil spec 10.0% industrial 9.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.91 on average: an expected loss of $9.09 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt