--- title: "Stickerbomb case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Stickerbomb ($80.94) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.91% from 16 items with odds, observed 102.56% over 71 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/stickerbomb rendered: 2026-11-11T20:18Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Stickerbomb](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/stickerbomb) # [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Stickerbomb A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/stickerbomb?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/stickerbomb?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/stickerbomb) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/stickerbomb?window=all) Price · $80.94 · 116 coins Advertised RTP · 90.91% · EV $73.58 from 16 items Observed RTP, 30d · 102.56% · 71 openings, odds method Variance · 1.8× · of price², per opening Tail share · 15.5% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 67.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 8 openings · below min 7 days · 53 openings · below min 30 days · 71 openings · below min since tracking started · 71 openings · below min -0.5% 86.5% 173.5% **Small sample.** 71 openings and 11.0 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/stickerbomb?window=24h) | 8 | 80.21% ±92.8 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/stickerbomb?window=7d) | 53 | 114.08% ±36.1 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/stickerbomb) | 71 | 102.56% ±31.2 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/stickerbomb?window=all) | 71 | 102.56% ±31.2 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 16 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 71 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Sticker \| 3DMAX (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-3dmax-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 10,000 | $3,312 4,731 coins | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [DreamHack 2014 Cobblestone Souvenir Package container · base](https://gambatracker.com/items/dreamhack-2014-cobblestone-souvenir-package) | 1 in 1,000 | $1,511 2,159 coins | 2.1% | 1 | 0.1 | — | | [Sticker \| Team Dignitas (Holo) \| Cologne 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-dignitas-holo-cologne-2014) | 1 in 400 | $721 1,030 coins | 2.4% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [Sticker \| rain (Gold) \| Krakow 2017 sticker · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-rain-gold-krakow-2017) | 1 in 156 | $627 896 coins | 5.5% | 0 | 0.5 | — | | [Sticker \| somebody (Gold) \| London 2018 sticker · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-somebody-gold-london-2018) | 1 in 100 | $297 424 coins | 4.0% | 2 | 0.7 | — | | [DreamHack 2014 Legends (Holo/Foil) other · base](https://gambatracker.com/items/dreamhack-2014-legends-holo-foil) | 1 in 45 | $253 362 coins | 7.6% | 1 | 1.6 | 0.64× | | [ESL One Cologne 2014 Overpass Souvenir Package container · base](https://gambatracker.com/items/esl-one-cologne-2014-overpass-souvenir-package) | 1 in 33 | $245 350 coins | 10.0% | 1 | 2.1 | 0.47× | | [Sticker \| Snax (Gold) \| Krakow 2017 sticker · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-snax-gold-krakow-2017) | 1 in 67 | $232 331 coins | 4.7% | 1 | 1.1 | 0.94× | | [Sticker \| Kjaerbye (Gold) \| Krakow 2017 sticker · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-kjaerbye-gold-krakow-2017) | 1 in 56 | $208 297 coins | 5.1% | 3 | 1.3 | 2.35× | | [Sticker \| STYKO (Gold) \| Boston 2018 sticker · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-styko-gold-boston-2018) | 1 in 20 | $191 273 coins | 13.0% | 3 | 3.6 | 0.85× | | [Sticker \| Gratisfaction (Gold) \| Katowice 2019 sticker · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-gratisfaction-gold-katowice-2019) | 11.0% | $108 154 coins | 16.1% | 5 | 7.8 | 0.64× | | [Sticker \| Natus Vincere (Foil) \| Katowice 2015 sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-natus-vincere-foil-katowice-2015) | 1 in 15 | $96.60 138 coins | 8.5% | 2 | 4.6 | 0.43× | | [Sticker \| kennyS (Foil) \| MLG Columbus 2016 sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-kennys-foil-mlg-columbus-2016) | 1 in 13 | $70.00 100 coins | 7.6% | 6 | 5.7 | 1.06× | | [Sticker \| Team Dignitas \| Cluj-Napoca 2015 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-dignitas-cluj-napoca-2015) | 1 in 11 | $35.25 50.36 coins | 4.6% | 6 | 6.7 | 0.89× | | [Sticker \| Ninjas in Pyjamas (Foil) \| Cologne 2015 sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ninjas-in-pyjamas-foil-cologne-2015) | 24.5% | $12.47 17.82 coins | 4.2% | 17 | 17.4 | 0.98× | | [Sticker \| kennyS \| Cologne 2015 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-kennys-cologne-2015) | 25.0% | $12.47 17.82 coins | 4.2% | 23 | 17.8 | 1.30× | Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 14:28 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [DreamHack 2014 Cobblestone Souvenir Package container · base](https://gambatracker.com/items/dreamhack-2014-cobblestone-souvenir-package) Hidden $80.86 116 coins $1,511 2,159 coins 18.69x 2026-11-06 16:49 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=stickerbomb) [Sticker | Kjaerbye (Gold) | Krakow 2017 sticker · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-kjaerbye-gold-krakow-2017) Hidden $80.94 116 coins $208 297 coins 2.57x 2026-11-11 17:43 UTC [Sticker | kennyS | Cologne 2015 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-kennys-cologne-2015) Hidden $80.94 116 coins $12.47 17.82 coins 0.15x 2026-11-11 17:43 UTC [Sticker | STYKO (Gold) | Boston 2018 sticker · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-styko-gold-boston-2018) Hidden $80.94 116 coins $191 273 coins 2.36x 2026-11-11 17:43 UTC [Sticker | kennyS | Cologne 2015 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-kennys-cologne-2015) [Call me Johnny](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Call%20me%20Johnny) $80.94 116 coins $12.47 17.82 coins 0.15x 2026-11-11 17:43 UTC [Sticker | Team Dignitas | Cluj-Napoca 2015 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-dignitas-cluj-napoca-2015) Hidden $80.94 116 coins $35.25 50.36 coins 0.44x 2026-11-11 17:13 UTC [Sticker | Ninjas in Pyjamas (Foil) | Cologne 2015 sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ninjas-in-pyjamas-foil-cologne-2015) Hidden $80.94 116 coins $12.47 17.82 coins 0.15x 2026-11-11 17:13 UTC [Sticker | Ninjas in Pyjamas (Foil) | Cologne 2015 sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ninjas-in-pyjamas-foil-cologne-2015) Hidden $80.94 116 coins $12.47 17.82 coins 0.15x 2026-11-11 17:13 UTC [Sticker | Team Dignitas | Cluj-Napoca 2015 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-dignitas-cluj-napoca-2015) [gifu](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/gifu) $80.94 116 coins $35.25 50.36 coins 0.44x 2026-11-11 17:13 UTC [Sticker | somebody (Gold) | London 2018 sticker · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-somebody-gold-london-2018) Hidden $80.94 116 coins $297 424 coins 3.67x 2026-11-09 21:57 UTC [Sticker | kennyS | Cologne 2015 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-kennys-cologne-2015) Hidden $80.94 116 coins $12.47 17.82 coins 0.15x 2026-11-09 21:57 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $80.94 | 90.91% | 16 | | 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $80.76 | 90.91% | 16 | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $80.86 | 90.91% | 16 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed remarkable 0.3% base 5.3% extraordinary 20.9% exotic 39.0% high 34.5% best hit $1,511 (18.69x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.91 on average: an expected loss of $9.09 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt