--- title: "Sticky Hunt case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Sticky Hunt ($22.40) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.92% from 18 items with odds, observed 86.34% over 1,863 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/sticky-hunt rendered: 2026-11-11T18:28Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Sticky Hunt](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/sticky-hunt) # [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Sticky Hunt A case on CSGORoll (20%), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/sticky-hunt?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/sticky-hunt?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/sticky-hunt) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/sticky-hunt?window=all) Price · $22.40 · 32 coins Advertised RTP · 90.92% · EV $20.37 from 18 items Observed RTP, 30d · 86.34% · 1,863 openings, odds method Variance · 13.1× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 11 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 80.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 84.91% ±51.40 190 openings 7 days · 87.52% ±17.57 1,613 openings 30 days · 86.34% ±16.34 1,863 openings since tracking started · 86.34% ±16.34 1,863 openings 33.0% 85.0% 137.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/sticky-hunt?window=24h) | 190 | 84.91% ±51.4 | −0.2σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/sticky-hunt?window=7d) | 1,613 | 87.52% ±17.6 | −0.4σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/sticky-hunt) | 1,863 | 86.34% ±16.3 | −0.6σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/sticky-hunt?window=all) | 1,863 | 86.34% ±16.3 | −0.6σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 18 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,863 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Sticker \| mousesports (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-mousesports-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 10,000 | $4,949 7,070 coins | 2.4% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [Sticker \| Reason Gaming \| Katowice 2014 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-reason-gaming-katowice-2014) | 1 in 6,667 | $3,164 4,520 coins | 2.3% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [Sticker \| Team LDLC.com \| Katowice 2014 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-ldlc-com-katowice-2014) | 1 in 5,000 | $1,130 1,614 coins | 1.1% | 1 | 0.4 | — | | [Sticker \| Howling Dawn sticker · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-howling-dawn) | 1 in 3,333 | $1,130 1,614 coins | 1.7% | 0 | 0.6 | — | | [Sticker \| Team Dignitas \| Katowice 2014 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-dignitas-katowice-2014) | 1 in 1,667 | $767 1,095 coins | 2.3% | 1 | 1.1 | 0.89× | | [Sticker \| Team Dignitas (Holo) \| Cologne 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-dignitas-holo-cologne-2014) | 1 in 2,500 | $721 1,030 coins | 1.4% | 0 | 0.7 | — | | [Sticker \| Natus Vincere \| Katowice 2014 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-natus-vincere-katowice-2014) | 1 in 1,111 | $666 951 coins | 2.9% | 2 | 1.7 | 1.19× | | [ESL One Katowice 2015 Challengers (Holo-Foil) other · base](https://gambatracker.com/items/esl-one-katowice-2015-challengers-holo-foil) | 1 in 667 | $365 522 coins | 2.7% | 6 | 2.8 | 2.15× | | [Sticker \| Fnatic (Holo) \| DreamHack 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-fnatic-holo-dreamhack-2014) | 1 in 333 | $295 421 coins | 4.3% | 4 | 5.6 | 0.72× | | [Sticker \| Virtus.Pro (Holo) \| DreamHack 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-virtus-pro-holo-dreamhack-2014) | 1 in 200 | $162 232 coins | 4.0% | 6 | 9.3 | 0.64× | | [Sticker \| HellRaisers (Holo) \| Katowice 2015 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-hellraisers-holo-katowice-2015) | 1 in 125 | $160 229 coins | 6.3% | 14 | 14.9 | 0.94× | | [Sticker \| Team LDLC.com (Holo) \| Cologne 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-ldlc-com-holo-cologne-2014) | 1 in 83 | $123 176 coins | 7.3% | 27 | 22.4 | 1.21× | | [Sticker \| Cloud9 (Holo) \| Boston 2018 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-cloud9-holo-boston-2018) | 1 in 50 | $93.80 134 coins | 9.2% | 32 | 37.3 | 0.86× | | [Sticker \| Astralis (Holo) \| Atlanta 2017 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-astralis-holo-atlanta-2017) | 1 in 25 | $41.97 59.96 coins | 8.2% | 73 | 74.5 | 0.98× | | [Sticker \| Luminosity Gaming (Foil) \| Cologne 2015 sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-luminosity-gaming-foil-cologne-2015) | 10.8% | $37.63 53.75 coins | 19.9% | 206 | 200.9 | 1.03× | | [Sticker \| Fnatic \| Katowice 2015 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-fnatic-katowice-2015) | 20.0% | $13.43 19.19 coins | 13.2% | 366 | 372.6 | 0.98× | | [Sticker \| Team Liquid (Holo) \| Antwerp 2022 sticker · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-liquid-holo-antwerp-2022) | 25.0% | $3.86 5.51 coins | 4.7% | 435 | 465.8 | 0.93× | | [Sticker \| Bash (Holo) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-bash-holo) | 35.0% | $3.47 4.96 coins | 6.0% | 690 | 652.0 | 1.06× | Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 14:28 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Sticker | Team LDLC.com | Katowice 2014 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-ldlc-com-katowice-2014) Hidden $22.40 32 coins $1,130 1,614 coins 50.44x 2026-11-09 21:36 UTC [Sticker | Team Dignitas | Katowice 2014 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-dignitas-katowice-2014) Hidden $22.40 32 coins $767 1,095 coins 34.22x 2026-11-09 21:36 UTC [Sticker | Natus Vincere | Katowice 2014 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-natus-vincere-katowice-2014) [PH1339](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/PH1339) $22.75 32.5 coins $683 975 coins 30.00x 2026-11-06 20:54 UTC [Sticker | Natus Vincere | Katowice 2014 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-natus-vincere-katowice-2014) Hidden $22.75 32.5 coins $683 975 coins 30.00x 2026-11-03 10:28 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=sticky-hunt) [Sticker | Team Liquid (Holo) | Antwerp 2022 sticker · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-liquid-holo-antwerp-2022) Hidden $22.40 32 coins $3.86 5.51 coins 0.17x 2026-11-11 16:19 UTC [Sticker | Team Liquid (Holo) | Antwerp 2022 sticker · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-liquid-holo-antwerp-2022) Hidden $22.40 32 coins $3.86 5.51 coins 0.17x 2026-11-11 16:19 UTC [Sticker | Bash (Holo) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-bash-holo) Hidden $22.40 32 coins $3.47 4.96 coins 0.16x 2026-11-11 16:19 UTC [Sticker | Team LDLC.com (Holo) | Cologne 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-ldlc-com-holo-cologne-2014) Hidden $22.40 32 coins $123 176 coins 5.50x 2026-11-11 16:19 UTC [Sticker | Fnatic | Katowice 2015 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-fnatic-katowice-2015) Hidden $22.40 32 coins $13.43 19.19 coins 0.60x 2026-11-11 16:19 UTC [Sticker | Team LDLC.com (Holo) | Cologne 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-ldlc-com-holo-cologne-2014) [Gamblers Anonymous](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Gamblers%20Anonymous) $22.40 32 coins $123 176 coins 5.50x 2026-11-11 16:19 UTC [Sticker | Bash (Holo) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-bash-holo) Hidden $22.40 32 coins $3.47 4.96 coins 0.16x 2026-11-11 14:49 UTC [Sticker | Bash (Holo) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-bash-holo) Hidden $22.40 32 coins $3.47 4.96 coins 0.16x 2026-11-11 14:49 UTC [Sticker | Bash (Holo) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-bash-holo) Hidden $22.40 32 coins $3.47 4.96 coins 0.16x 2026-11-11 14:49 UTC [Sticker | Team Liquid (Holo) | Antwerp 2022 sticker · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-liquid-holo-antwerp-2022) Hidden $22.40 32 coins $3.86 5.51 coins 0.17x 2026-11-11 14:49 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $22.40 | 90.92% | 18 | | 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $22.55 | 90.91% | 18 | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $22.75 | 90.92% | 18 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed remarkable 43.9% high 20.2% contraband 0.0% base 0.1% exotic 10.8% #d32ce6 25.0% best hit $1,130 (50.44x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.92 on average: an expected loss of $9.08 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt