--- title: "Stinky case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Stinky ($0.32) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.17% from 14 items with odds, observed 93.05% over 111K openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/stinky rendered: 2026-11-11T13:20Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Stinky](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/stinky) # [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Stinky A case on CSGORoll (knives, 40%, gloves), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/stinky?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/stinky?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/stinky) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/stinky?window=all) Price · $0.32 · 0.46 coins Advertised RTP · 90.17% · EV $0.29 from 14 items Observed RTP, 30d · 93.05% · 111K openings, odds method Variance · 28.2× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 31 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 90.8% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 93.08% ±10.30 10.2K openings 7 days · 91.48% ±3.44 90.8K openings 30 days · 93.05% ±3.11 111K openings since tracking started · 93.05% ±3.11 111K openings 82.0% 93.0% 104.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/stinky?window=24h) | 10.2K | 93.08% ±10.3 | +0.6σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/stinky?window=7d) | 90.8K | 91.48% ±3.44 | +0.4σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/stinky) | 111K | 93.05% ±3.11 | +1.3σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/stinky?window=all) | 111K | 93.05% ±3.11 | +1.3σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 14 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 112K openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AK-47 \| Wasteland Rebel (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wasteland-rebel-well-worn) | 1 in 100,000 | $75.60 108 coins | 0.3% | 1 | 1.1 | 0.90× | | [★ Hand Wraps \| Duct Tape (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-duct-tape-field-tested) | 1 in 10,000 | $39.71 56.73 coins | 1.4% | 17 | 11.2 | 1.52× | | [★ Survival Knife \| Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-rust-coat-battle-scarred) | 1 in 5,000 | $38.54 55.05 coins | 2.7% | 40 | 22.3 | 1.79× | | [★ Navaja Knife \| Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-rust-coat-battle-scarred) | 1 in 2,857 | $36.43 52.05 coins | 4.4% | 34 | 39.0 | 0.87× | | [★ Hand Wraps \| Desert Shamagh (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-desert-shamagh-well-worn) | 1 in 1,429 | $33.53 47.9 coins | 8.1% | 71 | 78.1 | 0.91× | | [M4A4 \| Radiation Hazard (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-radiation-hazard-field-tested) | 1 in 1,111 | $30.04 42.91 coins | 9.3% | 122 | 100.4 | 1.22× | | [Sawed-Off \| Rust Coat (Factory New) weapon · light blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-rust-coat-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $10.31 14.73 coins | 3.6% | 105 | 111.5 | 0.94× | | [Tec-9 \| Rust Leaf (Well-Worn) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-rust-leaf-well-worn) | 1 in 667 | $9.37 13.39 coins | 4.8% | 164 | 167.3 | 0.98× | | [AUG \| Radiation Hazard (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-radiation-hazard-factory-new) | 1 in 400 | $4.36 6.23 coins | 3.8% | 267 | 278.8 | 0.96× | | [Nova \| Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-rust-coat-battle-scarred) | 1 in 200 | $2.59 3.7 coins | 4.5% | 529 | 557.6 | 0.95× | | [Glock-18 \| Oxide Blaze (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-oxide-blaze-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $1.72 2.46 coins | 11.9% | 2,178 | 2230.3 | 0.98× | | [Desert Eagle \| Oxide Blaze (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-oxide-blaze-factory-new) | 1 in 17 | $0.80 1.15 coins | 16.6% | 6,674 | 6691.0 | 1.00× | | [XM1014 \| Oxide Blaze (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-oxide-blaze-factory-new) | 30.8% | $0.23 0.33 coins | 24.5% | 34,452 | 34317.9 | 1.00× | | [Sticker \| This Is Fine (H) sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-this-is-fine-h) | 60.0% | $0.02 0.03 coins | 4.3% | 66,862 | 66909.6 | 1.00× | Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wasteland-rebel-well-worn) [xGeVy](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/xGeVy) $0.32 0.46 coins $75.60 108 coins 234.8x 2026-11-10 22:37 UTC [★ Hand Wraps | Duct Tape (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-duct-tape-field-tested) Hidden $0.34 0.48 coins $41.03 58.61 coins 122.1x 2026-11-08 16:18 UTC [★ Hand Wraps | Duct Tape (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-duct-tape-field-tested) Hidden $0.34 0.48 coins $41.03 58.61 coins 122.1x 2026-11-08 07:37 UTC [★ Hand Wraps | Duct Tape (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-duct-tape-field-tested) Hidden $0.34 0.48 coins $41.03 58.61 coins 122.1x 2026-11-07 13:35 UTC [★ Hand Wraps | Duct Tape (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-duct-tape-field-tested) Hidden $0.34 0.48 coins $41.03 58.61 coins 122.1x 2026-11-06 20:09 UTC [★ Hand Wraps | Duct Tape (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-duct-tape-field-tested) Hidden $0.34 0.48 coins $41.03 58.61 coins 122.1x 2026-11-05 19:18 UTC [★ Hand Wraps | Duct Tape (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-duct-tape-field-tested) Hidden $0.34 0.48 coins $41.03 58.61 coins 122.1x 2026-11-05 13:34 UTC [★ Hand Wraps | Duct Tape (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-duct-tape-field-tested) Hidden $0.34 0.48 coins $41.03 58.61 coins 122.1x 2026-11-05 12:29 UTC [★ Hand Wraps | Duct Tape (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-duct-tape-field-tested) Hidden $0.34 0.48 coins $41.03 58.61 coins 122.1x 2026-11-05 11:04 UTC [★ Hand Wraps | Duct Tape (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-duct-tape-field-tested) [Mugtand gaming](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Mugtand%20gaming) $0.34 0.48 coins $41.03 58.61 coins 122.1x 2026-11-04 23:12 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=stinky) [Sticker | This Is Fine (H) sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-this-is-fine-h) Hidden $0.32 0.46 coins $0.02 0.03 coins 0.07x 2026-11-11 13:15 UTC [Sticker | This Is Fine (H) sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-this-is-fine-h) Hidden $0.32 0.46 coins $0.02 0.03 coins 0.07x 2026-11-11 13:15 UTC [Sticker | This Is Fine (H) sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-this-is-fine-h) Hidden $0.32 0.46 coins $0.02 0.03 coins 0.07x 2026-11-11 13:15 UTC [Sticker | This Is Fine (H) sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-this-is-fine-h) Hidden $0.32 0.46 coins $0.02 0.03 coins 0.07x 2026-11-11 13:15 UTC [XM1014 | Oxide Blaze (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-oxide-blaze-factory-new) [Vobbe](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Vobbe) $0.32 0.46 coins $0.23 0.33 coins 0.72x 2026-11-11 13:15 UTC [Sticker | This Is Fine (H) sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-this-is-fine-h) Hidden $0.32 0.46 coins $0.02 0.03 coins 0.07x 2026-11-11 13:15 UTC [Sticker | This Is Fine (H) sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-this-is-fine-h) Hidden $0.32 0.46 coins $0.02 0.03 coins 0.07x 2026-11-11 13:12 UTC [Sticker | This Is Fine (H) sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-this-is-fine-h) Hidden $0.32 0.46 coins $0.02 0.03 coins 0.07x 2026-11-11 13:12 UTC [Sticker | This Is Fine (H) sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-this-is-fine-h) Hidden $0.32 0.46 coins $0.02 0.03 coins 0.07x 2026-11-11 13:12 UTC [Sticker | This Is Fine (H) sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-this-is-fine-h) Hidden $0.32 0.46 coins $0.02 0.03 coins 0.07x 2026-11-11 13:12 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 9 Nov, 08:05 UTC | $0.32 | 90.17% | 14 | | 9 Nov, 00:04 UTC | $0.33 | 90.80% | 14 | | 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $0.33 | 91.06% | 14 | | 5 Nov, 22:45 UTC | $0.34 | 90.75% | 14 | | 3 Nov, 22:41 UTC | $0.34 | 91.21% | 14 | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $0.34 | 91.59% | 14 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 0.0% extraordinary 0.1% gold 0.0% mil spec 36.9% light blue 0.1% industrial 0.9% Rare 2.0% high 60.0% best hit $75.60 (234.8x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.2% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.17 on average: an expected loss of $9.83 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt