--- title: "Stitches case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Stitches ($39.96) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.90% from 12 items with odds, observed 83.23% over 404 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/stitches rendered: 2026-11-11T13:35Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Stitches](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/stitches) # [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Stitches A case on CSGORoll (30%), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/stitches?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/stitches?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/stitches) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/stitches?window=all) Price · $39.96 · 57.09 coins Advertised RTP · 90.90% · EV $36.33 from 12 items Observed RTP, 30d · 83.23% · 404 openings, odds method Variance · 4.7× · of price², per opening Tail share · 13.5% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 75.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 82.54% ±26.10 287 openings 30 days · 83.23% ±22.12 404 openings since tracking started · 83.23% ±22.12 404 openings 56.0% 82.8% 109.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/stitches?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/stitches?window=7d) | 287 | 82.54% ±26.1 | −0.6σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/stitches) | 404 | 83.23% ±22.1 | −0.7σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/stitches?window=all) | 404 | 83.23% ±22.1 | −0.7σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 404 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Sticker \| HellRaisers (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-hellraisers-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 10,000 | $6,780 9,685 coins | 1.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sticker \| Jame (Gold) \| Boston 2018 sticker · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-jame-gold-boston-2018) | 1 in 417 | $424 605 coins | 2.8% | 0 | 1.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ AWP \| Hyper Beast (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-hyper-beast-factory-new) | 1 in 80 | $263 375 coins | 9.0% | 9 | 5.1 | 1.78× | | [AUG \| Flame Jörmungandr (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-flame-jormungandr-well-worn) | 1 in 25 | $154 220 coins | 16.9% | 13 | 16.2 | 0.80× | | [Glock-18 \| Neo-Noir (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-neo-noir-factory-new) | 1 in 29 | $144 206 coins | 13.9% | 11 | 14.1 | 0.78× | | [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Player Two (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-player-two-minimal-wear) | 1 in 22 | $94.50 135 coins | 11.7% | 22 | 18.2 | 1.21× | | [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Snack Attack (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-snack-attack-factory-new) | 1 in 18 | $91.70 131 coins | 13.9% | 12 | 22.2 | 0.54× | | [USP-S \| Kill Confirmed (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-kill-confirmed-field-tested) | 1 in 17 | $62.36 89.09 coins | 10.3% | 25 | 24.2 | 1.03× | | [Zeus x27 \| Dragon Snore (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/zeus-x27-dragon-snore-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $33.81 48.3 coins | 4.7% | 23 | 20.2 | 1.14× | | [Glock-18 \| Water Elemental (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-water-elemental-battle-scarred) | 20.0% | $18.54 26.48 coins | 10.2% | 66 | 80.8 | 0.82× | | [USP-S \| Cortex (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cortex-minimal-wear) | 20.0% | $6.26 8.95 coins | 3.4% | 92 | 80.8 | 1.14× | | [AUG \| Eye of Zapems (Well-Worn) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-eye-of-zapems-well-worn) | 30.0% | $1.56 2.23 coins | 1.3% | 131 | 121.2 | 1.08× | Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=stitches) [AUG | Eye of Zapems (Well-Worn) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-eye-of-zapems-well-worn) Hidden $39.96 57.09 coins $1.56 2.23 coins 0.04x 2026-11-10 12:24 UTC [USP-S | Cortex (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cortex-minimal-wear) Hidden $39.96 57.09 coins $6.26 8.95 coins 0.16x 2026-11-10 12:24 UTC [AUG | Eye of Zapems (Well-Worn) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-eye-of-zapems-well-worn) Hidden $39.96 57.09 coins $1.56 2.23 coins 0.04x 2026-11-10 12:24 UTC [AUG | Eye of Zapems (Well-Worn) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-eye-of-zapems-well-worn) Hidden $39.96 57.09 coins $1.56 2.23 coins 0.04x 2026-11-10 12:24 UTC [AUG | Eye of Zapems (Well-Worn) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-eye-of-zapems-well-worn) Hidden $39.96 57.09 coins $1.56 2.23 coins 0.04x 2026-11-10 12:24 UTC [AUG | Eye of Zapems (Well-Worn) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-eye-of-zapems-well-worn) [m3](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/m3) $39.96 57.09 coins $1.56 2.23 coins 0.04x 2026-11-10 12:24 UTC [AUG | Eye of Zapems (Well-Worn) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-eye-of-zapems-well-worn) Hidden $39.96 57.09 coins $1.56 2.23 coins 0.04x 2026-11-10 07:06 UTC [AUG | Eye of Zapems (Well-Worn) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-eye-of-zapems-well-worn) Hidden $39.96 57.09 coins $1.56 2.23 coins 0.04x 2026-11-10 07:06 UTC [USP-S | Cortex (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cortex-minimal-wear) Hidden $39.96 57.09 coins $6.26 8.95 coins 0.16x 2026-11-10 07:06 UTC [USP-S | Cortex (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cortex-minimal-wear) [TABOR](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/TABOR) $39.96 57.09 coins $6.26 8.95 coins 0.16x 2026-11-10 07:06 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $39.96 | 90.90% | 12 | | 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $40.24 | 90.91% | 12 | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $39.75 | 90.90% | 12 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed remarkable 0.0% extraordinary 0.2% covert 15.3% restricted 4.0% classified 25.5% rare 5.0% pink 20.0% uncommon 30.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.90 on average: an expected loss of $9.10 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt