--- title: "Storm Case case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Storm Case ($182.27) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.91% from 22 items with odds, observed 74.88% over 34 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/storm-case rendered: 2026-11-11T14:06Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Storm Case](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/storm-case) # [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Storm Case A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/storm-case?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/storm-case?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/storm-case) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/storm-case?window=all) Price · $182.27 · 260 coins Advertised RTP · 90.91% · EV $165.70 from 22 items Observed RTP, 30d · 74.88% · 34 openings, odds method Variance · 5.1× · of price², per opening Tail share · 13.8% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 69.5% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 32 openings · below min 30 days · 34 openings · below min since tracking started · 34 openings · below min -0.5% 78.8% 158.0% **Small sample.** 34 openings and 4.7 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/storm-case?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/storm-case?window=7d) | 32 | 78.75% ±78.5 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/storm-case) | 34 | 74.88% ±76.2 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/storm-case?window=all) | 34 | 74.88% ±76.2 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 22 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 34 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AK-47 \| Wild Lotus (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-field-tested) | 1 in 400 | $6,787 9,695 coins | 10.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Moto Gloves \| Spearmint (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-spearmint-minimal-wear) | 1 in 400 | $2,426 3,465 coins | 3.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [AWP \| The Prince (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-the-prince-field-tested) | 1 in 200 | $1,559 2,227 coins | 4.7% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [AWP \| The Prince (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-the-prince-battle-scarred) | 1 in 133 | $1,528 2,183 coins | 6.9% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [M4A1-S \| Hot Rod (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hot-rod-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $1,114 1,591 coins | 6.7% | 1 | 0.3 | — | | [AK-47 \| Vulcan (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-vulcan-factory-new) | 1 in 67 | $473 676 coins | 4.3% | 0 | 0.5 | — | | [★ Talon Knife \| Slaughter (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-slaughter-field-tested) | 1 in 50 | $466 666 coins | 5.6% | 1 | 0.7 | — | | [SSG 08 \| Dragonfire (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-dragonfire-factory-new) | 1 in 13 | $286 409 coins | 13.0% | 3 | 2.6 | 1.18× | | [★ Bayonet \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 44 | $258 369 coins | 3.5% | 2 | 0.8 | — | | [★ Stiletto Knife \| Blue Steel (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-blue-steel-field-tested) | 1 in 22 | $193 276 coins | 5.2% | 1 | 1.5 | 0.65× | | [M4A1-S \| Nightmare (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-nightmare-factory-new) | 1 in 13 | $186 266 coins | 8.4% | 2 | 2.6 | 0.78× | | [★ Falchion Knife \| Fade (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 40 | $183 262 coins | 2.8% | 1 | 0.9 | — | | [★ Bowie Knife \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 22 | $158 226 coins | 4.3% | 1 | 1.5 | 0.65× | | [MP7 \| Whiteout (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-whiteout-minimal-wear) | 1 in 14 | $146 209 coins | 6.2% | 1 | 2.4 | 0.42× | | [Desert Eagle \| Hypnotic (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-hypnotic-factory-new) | 1 in 22 | $134 192 coins | 3.6% | 0 | 1.5 | 0.00× | | [USP-S \| Kill Confirmed (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-kill-confirmed-minimal-wear) | 1 in 17 | $94.50 135 coins | 3.4% | 2 | 2.0 | 0.98× | | [★ Driver Gloves \| Overtake (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-overtake-field-tested) | 1 in 22 | $40.80 58.29 coins | 1.1% | 2 | 1.5 | 1.31× | | [MP9 \| Hydra (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-hydra-factory-new) | 1 in 13 | $39.71 56.73 coins | 1.9% | 2 | 2.7 | 0.74× | | [AWP \| Wildfire (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-wildfire-well-worn) | 1 in 13 | $39.24 56.06 coins | 1.8% | 3 | 2.6 | 1.18× | | [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Stainless (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-stainless-minimal-wear) | 1 in 13 | $35.29 50.41 coins | 1.6% | 3 | 2.6 | 1.18× | | [MP7 \| Fade (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-fade-factory-new) | 12.0% | $9.84 14.06 coins | 0.7% | 6 | 4.1 | 1.47× | | [Aces High Pin pin · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/aces-high-pin) | 1 in 13 | $5.87 8.39 coins | 0.3% | 3 | 2.7 | 1.10× | Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [M4A1-S | Hot Rod (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hot-rod-factory-new) Hidden $182 260 coins $1,114 1,591 coins 6.11x 2026-11-10 00:41 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=storm-case) [Aces High Pin pin · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/aces-high-pin) Hidden $182 260 coins $5.87 8.39 coins 0.03x 2026-11-10 03:16 UTC [★ Talon Knife | Slaughter (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-slaughter-field-tested) Hidden $182 260 coins $466 666 coins 2.56x 2026-11-10 03:16 UTC [★ Bayonet | Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-tiger-tooth-factory-new) Hidden $182 260 coins $258 369 coins 1.42x 2026-11-10 03:16 UTC [StatTrak™ USP-S | Stainless (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-stainless-minimal-wear) [Luxi](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Luxi) $182 260 coins $35.29 50.41 coins 0.19x 2026-11-10 03:16 UTC [StatTrak™ USP-S | Stainless (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-stainless-minimal-wear) Hidden $182 260 coins $35.29 50.41 coins 0.19x 2026-11-10 03:15 UTC [★ Bayonet | Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-tiger-tooth-factory-new) Hidden $182 260 coins $258 369 coins 1.42x 2026-11-10 03:15 UTC [USP-S | Kill Confirmed (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-kill-confirmed-minimal-wear) Hidden $182 260 coins $94.50 135 coins 0.52x 2026-11-10 03:15 UTC [★ Falchion Knife | Fade (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-fade-minimal-wear) [Luxi](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Luxi) $182 260 coins $183 262 coins 1.01x 2026-11-10 03:15 UTC [MP7 | Fade (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-fade-factory-new) Hidden $182 260 coins $9.84 14.06 coins 0.05x 2026-11-10 00:41 UTC [MP7 | Fade (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-fade-factory-new) Hidden $182 260 coins $9.84 14.06 coins 0.05x 2026-11-10 00:41 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $182 | 90.91% | 22 | | 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $182 | 90.91% | 22 | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $185 | 90.91% | 22 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 39.8% extraordinary 4.8% classified 21.0% mil spec 14.5% restricted 12.0% exotic 8.0% best hit $1,114 (6.11x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.91 on average: an expected loss of $9.09 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt