---
title: "Stuffed case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Stuffed ($205.89) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.91% from 61 items with odds, observed 91.76% over 48 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/stuffed
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:27Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Stuffed](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/stuffed)

# [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Stuffed

A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/stuffed?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/stuffed?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/stuffed) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/stuffed?window=all)

Price · $205.89 · 294 coins

Advertised RTP · 90.91% · EV $187.18 from 61 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 91.76% · 48 openings, odds method

Variance · 1.5× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 13.4% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 67.4% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

7 days · 44 openings · below min

30 days · 48 openings · below min

since tracking started · 48 openings · below min

50.5% 89.0% 127.5%

**Small sample.** 48 openings and 6.3 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/stuffed?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/stuffed?window=7d) | 44 | 88.10% ±36.8 | — | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/stuffed) | 48 | 91.76% ±35.3 | — | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/stuffed?window=all) | 48 | 91.76% ±35.3 | — | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 61 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 48 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Sticker \| Virtus.Pro (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-virtus-pro-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 10,000 | $4,305 6,150 coins | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Sticker \| Titan \| Katowice 2014 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-titan-katowice-2014) | 1 in 2,000 | $3,136 4,480 coins | 0.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Pandora's Box (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-pandoras-box-well-worn) | 1 in 5,000 | $2,716 3,880 coins | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Stiletto Knife \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-black-pearl) | 1 in 500 | $1,740 2,485 coins | 1.9% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AWP \| The Prince (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-the-prince-field-tested) | 1 in 2,500 | $1,559 2,227 coins | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Superconductor (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-superconductor-field-tested) | 1 in 1,000 | $1,407 2,010 coins | 0.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Field Agent (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-field-agent-factory-new) | 1 in 1,538 | $1,366 1,952 coins | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) | 1 in 1,538 | $1,357 1,939 coins | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-ruby) | 1 in 3,333 | $1,299 1,855 coins | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1) StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-1) | 1 in 222 | $1,180 1,685 coins | 2.8% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 250 | $1,090 1,557 coins | 2.3% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Gold Arabesque (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-gold-arabesque-field-tested) | 1 in 1,667 | $1,089 1,555 coins | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 364 | $1,083 1,547 coins | 1.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Lore (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-lore-factory-new) | 1 in 1,818 | $1,058 1,512 coins | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) | 1 in 400 | $1,021 1,458 coins | 1.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 333 | $931 1,330 coins | 1.5% | 1 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Crimson Weave (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-crimson-weave-field-tested) | 1 in 83 | $931 1,330 coins | 6.0% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [AWP \| Desert Hydra (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-desert-hydra-battle-scarred) | 1 in 286 | $878 1,254 coins | 1.6% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-black-pearl) | 1 in 267 | $874 1,248 coins | 1.8% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Talon Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4) knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-4) | 1 in 200 | $840 1,200 coins | 2.2% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Nocts (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-nocts-minimal-wear) | 1 in 111 | $723 1,033 coins | 3.5% | 1 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Lore (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-lore-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,429 | $659 942 coins | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Moto Gloves \| Blood Pressure (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-blood-pressure-factory-new) | 1 in 1,111 | $627 896 coins | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Night (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-night-minimal-wear) | 1 in 167 | $587 838 coins | 1.9% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Karambit \| Lore (Well-Worn) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-lore-well-worn) | 1 in 154 | $568 812 coins | 2.0% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Blaze (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blaze-minimal-wear) | 1 in 105 | $552 788 coins | 2.8% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Black Laminate (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-black-laminate-battle-scarred) | 1 in 143 | $541 773 coins | 2.0% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Autotronic (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-autotronic-factory-new) | 1 in 182 | $536 766 coins | 1.6% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [AK-47 \| X-Ray (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-x-ray-field-tested) | 1 in 125 | $531 758 coins | 2.3% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ Ursus Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 6,667 | $454 649 coins | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AUG \| Akihabara Accept (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-akihabara-accept-field-tested) | 1 in 118 | $429 613 coins | 1.9% | 1 | 0.4 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Sunset Storm 壱 (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-sunset-storm-field-tested-2) | 1 in 80 | $412 589 coins | 2.8% | 1 | 0.6 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Emerald Jörmungandr (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-emerald-jormungandr-minimal-wear) | 1 in 83 | $378 540 coins | 2.4% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Queen Jaguar (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-queen-jaguar-factory-new) | 1 in 133 | $370 529 coins | 1.5% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 2) knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-phase-2) | 1 in 100 | $339 484 coins | 1.8% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-flip-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 91 | $230 328 coins | 1.3% | 2 | 0.5 | — |
| [Five-SeveN \| Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-hyper-beast-battle-scarred) | 1 in 20 | $221 316 coins | 5.9% | 3 | 2.4 | 1.25× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Hyper Beast (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-hyper-beast-well-worn) | 1 in 11 | $211 301 coins | 10.1% | 4 | 4.3 | 0.93× |
| [M4A1-S \| Chantico's Fire (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-chanticos-fire-factory-new) | 1 in 43 | $207 296 coins | 2.5% | 1 | 1.1 | 0.91× |
| [Sticker \| iBUYPOWER \| DreamHack 2014 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ibuypower-dreamhack-2014) | 1 in 50 | $204 291 coins | 2.2% | 1 | 1.0 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Lore (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-lore-battle-scarred) | 1 in 83 | $200 285 coins | 1.3% | 2 | 0.6 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife \| Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bowie-knife-crimson-web-minimal-wear) | 1 in 87 | $188 269 coins | 1.2% | 1 | 0.6 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Amphibious (Battle-Scarred) gloves · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-amphibious-battle-scarred) | 1 in 95 | $183 261 coins | 1.0% | 1 | 0.5 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Code Red (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-code-red-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $167 239 coins | 2.7% | 1 | 1.4 | 0.69× |
| [★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Lore (Well-Worn) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-flip-knife-lore-well-worn) | 1 in 83 | $162 231 coins | 1.0% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Kill Confirmed (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-kill-confirmed-battle-scarred) | 1 in 36 | $155 221 coins | 2.3% | 0 | 1.3 | 0.00× |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Asiimov (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-asiimov-battle-scarred) | 1 in 53 | $120 172 coins | 1.2% | 2 | 0.9 | — |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 83 | $112 160 coins | 0.7% | 2 | 0.6 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Leet Museo (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-leet-museo-well-worn) | 1 in 25 | $101 144 coins | 2.2% | 2 | 1.9 | 1.04× |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Autotronic (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-autotronic-minimal-wear) | 1 in 77 | $100 143 coins | 0.7% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 56 | $98.70 141 coins | 0.9% | 1 | 0.9 | — |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Autotronic (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-autotronic-field-tested) | 1 in 59 | $85.40 122 coins | 0.8% | 1 | 0.8 | — |
| [★ Hand Wraps \| Overprint (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-overprint-well-worn) | 1 in 67 | $72.80 104 coins | 0.6% | 1 | 0.7 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Point Disarray (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-point-disarray-factory-new) | 1 in 13 | $48.87 69.82 coins | 2.1% | 3 | 3.8 | 0.78× |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Ultraviolet (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-ultraviolet-field-tested) | 1 in 40 | $42.97 61.38 coins | 0.6% | 1 | 1.2 | 0.83× |
| [Galil AR \| Sugar Rush (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-sugar-rush-well-worn) | 1 in 20 | $42.21 60.3 coins | 1.1% | 4 | 2.4 | 1.67× |
| [M4A1-S \| Bright Water (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-bright-water-minimal-wear) | 1 in 14 | $35.94 51.34 coins | 1.3% | 1 | 3.4 | 0.30× |
| [M4A1-S \| Atomic Alloy (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-atomic-alloy-well-worn) | 1 in 17 | $23.86 34.08 coins | 0.8% | 1 | 2.9 | 0.35× |
| [MAC-10 \| Disco Tech (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-disco-tech-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $19.99 28.56 coins | 0.5% | 3 | 2.4 | 1.25× |
| [Souvenir Glock-18 \| Candy Apple (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-glock-18-candy-apple-field-tested) | 1 in 32 | $15.30 21.85 coins | 0.3% | 3 | 1.5 | 2.00× |
| [G3SG1 \| Flux (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-flux-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20 | $10.35 14.78 coins | 0.3% | 1 | 2.4 | 0.42× |

Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1) StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-1) [tashud](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/tashud) $208 297 coins $1,183 1,690 coins 5.69x 2026-11-04 21:04 UTC

[★ Karambit | Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-marble-fade-factory-new) [hellsten05](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/hellsten05) $208 297 coins $966 1,380 coins 4.65x 2026-11-06 17:26 UTC

[★ Driver Gloves | Crimson Weave (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-crimson-weave-field-tested) [tashud](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/tashud) $208 297 coins $944 1,349 coins 4.54x 2026-11-04 19:58 UTC

[★ Sport Gloves | Nocts (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-nocts-minimal-wear) Hidden $208 297 coins $750 1,071 coins 3.61x 2026-11-03 22:25 UTC

[★ Butterfly Knife | Night (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-night-minimal-wear) [Gohan](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Gohan) $206 294 coins $587 838 coins 2.85x 2026-11-10 01:46 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=stuffed)

[MAC-10 | Disco Tech (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-disco-tech-factory-new) Hidden $206 294 coins $19.99 28.56 coins 0.10x 2026-11-10 01:46 UTC

[G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-flux-minimal-wear) Hidden $206 294 coins $10.35 14.78 coins 0.05x 2026-11-10 01:46 UTC

[★ Butterfly Knife | Night (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-night-minimal-wear) [Gohan](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Gohan) $206 294 coins $587 838 coins 2.85x 2026-11-10 01:46 UTC

[Sticker | iBUYPOWER | DreamHack 2014 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ibuypower-dreamhack-2014) Hidden $206 294 coins $204 291 coins 0.99x 2026-11-10 01:45 UTC

[MAC-10 | Disco Tech (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-disco-tech-factory-new) Hidden $206 294 coins $19.99 28.56 coins 0.10x 2026-11-10 01:45 UTC

[M4A1-S | Bright Water (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-bright-water-minimal-wear) [Gohan](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Gohan) $206 294 coins $35.94 51.34 coins 0.17x 2026-11-10 01:45 UTC

[AK-47 | Point Disarray (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-point-disarray-factory-new) Hidden $206 294 coins $48.87 69.82 coins 0.24x 2026-11-10 01:45 UTC

[StatTrak™ AWP | Asiimov (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-asiimov-battle-scarred) Hidden $206 294 coins $120 172 coins 0.58x 2026-11-10 01:45 UTC

[★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-flip-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) [Gohan](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Gohan) $206 294 coins $230 328 coins 1.12x 2026-11-10 01:45 UTC

[★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bowie-knife-crimson-web-minimal-wear) Hidden $206 294 coins $188 269 coins 0.91x 2026-11-10 00:04 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $206 | 90.91% | 61 |
| 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $205 | 90.91% | 61 |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $208 | 90.91% | 61 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed legendary 0.1% high 2.1% extraordinary 4.5% covert 49.7% restricted 10.4% rare 1.1% classified 29.0% mil spec 3.1% best hit $1,183 (5.69x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.91 on average: an expected loss of $9.09 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt