---
title: "Sunshine case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Sunshine ($59.58) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.91% from 14 items with odds, observed 96.00% over 182 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/sunshine
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:18Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Sunshine](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/sunshine)

# [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Sunshine

A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/sunshine?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/sunshine?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/sunshine) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/sunshine?window=all)

Price · $59.58 · 85.11 coins

Advertised RTP · 90.91% · EV $54.16 from 14 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 96.00% · 182 openings, odds method

Variance · 2.3× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 18.1% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 73.9% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 18 openings · below min

7 days · 101.41% ±27.30 120 openings

30 days · 96.00% ±22.20 182 openings

since tracking started · 96.00% ±22.20 182 openings

6.5% 76.8% 147.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/sunshine?window=24h) | 18 | 76.77% ±69.5 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/sunshine?window=7d) | 120 | 101.41% ±27.3 | +0.7σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/sunshine) | 182 | 96.00% ±22.2 | +0.4σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/sunshine?window=all) | 182 | 96.00% ±22.2 | +0.4σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 14 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 182 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Moto Gloves \| Eclipse (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-eclipse-field-tested) | 1 in 27 | $421 602 coins | 28.3% | 8 | 6.6 | 1.21× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Sunset Storm 弐 (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-sunset-storm-field-tested) | 1 in 91 | $409 584 coins | 8.3% | 2 | 2.0 | 1.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Icarus Fell (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-icarus-fell-minimal-wear) | 1 in 400 | $377 539 coins | 1.7% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Night (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-night-minimal-wear) | 1 in 200 | $181 258 coins | 1.7% | 0 | 0.9 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Omega (Field-Tested) gloves · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-omega-field-tested) | 1 in 10,000 | $155 221 coins | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MAC-10 \| Red Filigree (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-red-filigree-minimal-wear) | 12.6% | $91.70 131 coins | 21.3% | 25 | 22.9 | 1.09× |
| [★ Bloodhound Gloves \| Bronzed (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/bloodhound-gloves-bronzed-well-worn) | 1 in 13 | $86.10 123 coins | 12.7% | 14 | 14.6 | 0.96× |
| [MP9 \| Dark Age (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-dark-age-minimal-wear) | 1 in 13 | $49.23 70.33 coins | 7.3% | 13 | 14.6 | 0.89× |
| [P90 \| Cold Blooded (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-cold-blooded-minimal-wear) | 12.9% | $43.41 62.02 coins | 10.3% | 28 | 23.5 | 1.19× |
| [PP-Bizon \| Irradiated Alert (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-irradiated-alert-factory-new) | 10.0% | $18.45 26.35 coins | 3.4% | 25 | 18.2 | 1.37× |
| [StatTrak™ Tec-9 \| Fuel Injector (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-tec-9-fuel-injector-field-tested) | 10.0% | $12.42 17.75 coins | 2.3% | 15 | 18.2 | 0.82× |
| [M4A4 \| Desert Storm (Well-Worn) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desert-storm-well-worn) | 10.0% | $11.59 16.56 coins | 2.1% | 14 | 18.2 | 0.77× |
| [Glock-18 \| Candy Apple (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-candy-apple-factory-new) | 11.0% | $1.53 2.18 coins | 0.3% | 22 | 20.0 | 1.10× |
| [MAG-7 \| Firestarter (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-firestarter-field-tested) | 12.0% | $0.58 0.83 coins | 0.1% | 16 | 21.8 | 0.73× |

Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=sunshine)

[P90 | Cold Blooded (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-cold-blooded-minimal-wear) Hidden $59.58 85.11 coins $43.41 62.02 coins 0.73x 2026-11-11 04:22 UTC

[StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Fuel Injector (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-tec-9-fuel-injector-field-tested) Hidden $59.58 85.11 coins $12.42 17.75 coins 0.21x 2026-11-11 04:22 UTC

[PP-Bizon | Irradiated Alert (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-irradiated-alert-factory-new) Hidden $59.58 85.11 coins $18.45 26.35 coins 0.31x 2026-11-11 04:22 UTC

[★ Bloodhound Gloves | Bronzed (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/bloodhound-gloves-bronzed-well-worn) [MASON92J](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/MASON92J) $59.58 85.11 coins $86.10 123 coins 1.45x 2026-11-11 04:22 UTC

[PP-Bizon | Irradiated Alert (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-irradiated-alert-factory-new) Hidden $59.58 85.11 coins $18.45 26.35 coins 0.31x 2026-11-11 02:59 UTC

[MP9 | Dark Age (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-dark-age-minimal-wear) Hidden $59.58 85.11 coins $49.23 70.33 coins 0.83x 2026-11-11 02:59 UTC

[PP-Bizon | Irradiated Alert (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-irradiated-alert-factory-new) Hidden $59.58 85.11 coins $18.45 26.35 coins 0.31x 2026-11-11 02:59 UTC

[StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Fuel Injector (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-tec-9-fuel-injector-field-tested) Hidden $59.58 85.11 coins $12.42 17.75 coins 0.21x 2026-11-11 02:59 UTC

[MAC-10 | Red Filigree (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-red-filigree-minimal-wear) [cequ](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/cequ) $59.58 85.11 coins $91.70 131 coins 1.54x 2026-11-11 02:59 UTC

[P90 | Cold Blooded (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-cold-blooded-minimal-wear) Hidden $59.58 85.11 coins $43.41 62.02 coins 0.73x 2026-11-11 02:59 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 9 Nov, 01:53 UTC | $59.58 | 90.91% | 14 |
| 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $59.58 | 90.91% | 14 |
| 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $59.96 | 90.90% | 14 |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $60.99 | 90.91% | 14 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed extraordinary 11.6% restricted 14.0% covert 0.5% rare 0.0% mil spec 31.0% classified 22.9% consumer 10.0% industrial 10.0% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.91 on average: an expected loss of $9.09 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt