--- title: "Supercharged case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Supercharged ($92.69) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.91% from 23 items with odds, observed 91.70% over 490 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/supercharged rendered: 2026-11-11T13:48Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Supercharged](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/supercharged) # [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Supercharged A case on CSGORoll (50%), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/supercharged?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/supercharged?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/supercharged) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/supercharged?window=all) Price · $92.69 · 132 coins Advertised RTP · 90.91% · EV $84.27 from 23 items Observed RTP, 30d · 91.70% · 490 openings, odds method Variance · 3.8× · of price², per opening Tail share · 13.1% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 57.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 27 openings · below min 7 days · 95.01% ±20.04 359 openings 30 days · 91.70% ±17.14 490 openings since tracking started · 91.70% ±17.14 490 openings -0.5% 63.3% 127.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/supercharged?window=24h) | 27 | 52.71% ±73.6 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/supercharged?window=7d) | 359 | 95.01% ±20.0 | +0.4σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/supercharged) | 490 | 91.70% ±17.1 | +0.1σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/supercharged?window=all) | 490 | 91.70% ±17.1 | +0.1σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 23 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 490 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Sticker \| iBUYPOWER (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ibuypower-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 333,333 | $53.5K 76,380 coins | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Red Laminate (Factory New) 4x Titan (Holo) (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-red-laminate-factory-new-4x-titan-holo-factory-new) | 1 in 250,000 | $24.5K 35,000 coins | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| Gungnir (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-gungnir-factory-new) | 1 in 100,000 | $11.6K 16,550 coins | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Karambit \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-minimal-wear-ruby) | 1 in 16,667 | $6,888 9,840 coins | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) StatTrak · knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-talon-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 14,286 | $2,513 3,590 coins | 0.2% | 1 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Talon Knife \| Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 12,500 | $2,499 3,570 coins | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| Fire Serpent (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fire-serpent-factory-new) | 1 in 11,111 | $2,069 2,955 coins | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Moto Gloves \| Spearmint (Field-Tested) gloves · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-spearmint-field-tested) | 1 in 5,000 | $1,552 2,217 coins | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Flip Knife \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-black-pearl) | 1 in 10,000 | $1,331 1,901 coins | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Slaughter (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 2,222 | $804 1,148 coins | 0.4% | 1 | 0.2 | — | | [★ Talon Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1) knife · covert · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-1) | 1 in 125 | $762 1,088 coins | 7.2% | 3 | 3.9 | 0.77× | | [★ Driver Gloves \| Diamondback (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-diamondback-factory-new) | 1 in 556 | $627 896 coins | 1.3% | 0 | 0.9 | — | | [★ Bayonet \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2) knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-2) | 1 in 4,000 | $533 762 coins | 0.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Driver Gloves \| Diamondback (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-diamondback-field-tested) | 1 in 12 | $363 518 coins | 36.6% | 37 | 41.7 | 0.89× | | [★ Bowie Knife \| Blue Steel (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-blue-steel-factory-new) | 1 in 250 | $270 386 coins | 1.3% | 3 | 2.0 | 1.53× | | [M4A1-S \| Hyper Beast (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hyper-beast-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $235 336 coins | 8.5% | 22 | 15.0 | 1.47× | | [★ Hand Wraps \| Slaughter (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-slaughter-battle-scarred) | 1 in 71 | $190 271 coins | 3.2% | 1 | 6.9 | 0.15× | | [★ Driver Gloves \| Crimson Weave (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-crimson-weave-battle-scarred) | 1 in 20 | $144 205 coins | 8.5% | 28 | 24.5 | 1.14× | | [AWP \| BOOM (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-boom-minimal-wear) | 12.5% | $94.50 135 coins | 14.0% | 62 | 61.3 | 1.01× | | [AK-47 \| Fuel Injector (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fuel-injector-well-worn) | 11.0% | $93.10 133 coins | 12.2% | 52 | 53.9 | 0.96× | | [★ Moto Gloves \| Turtle (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-turtle-field-tested) | 1 in 14 | $53.31 76.15 coins | 4.4% | 33 | 34.3 | 0.96× | | [PP-Bizon \| Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-field-tested) | 25.0% | $0.01 0.02 coins | 0.0% | 120 | 122.5 | 0.98× | | [MP9 \| Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-field-tested) | 25.0% | \<$0.01 0.01 coins | 0.0% | 127 | 122.5 | 1.04× | Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) StatTrak · knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-talon-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) [L3MON™ csgoroll.com](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/L3MON%E2%84%A2%20csgoroll.com) $94.44 135 coins $2,534 3,620 coins 26.83x 2026-11-06 12:03 UTC [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Slaughter (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-slaughter-factory-new) [M1koGooD](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/M1koGooD) $94.44 135 coins $849 1,213 coins 8.99x 2026-11-06 07:32 UTC [★ Talon Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1) knife · covert · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-1) [L3MON™ csgoroll.com](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/L3MON%E2%84%A2%20csgoroll.com) $94.44 135 coins $769 1,099 coins 8.15x 2026-11-06 09:59 UTC [★ Talon Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1) knife · covert · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-1) Hidden $94.44 135 coins $769 1,099 coins 8.15x 2026-11-05 23:27 UTC [★ Talon Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1) knife · covert · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-1) Hidden $94.44 135 coins $769 1,099 coins 8.15x 2026-11-05 23:04 UTC [★ Talon Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1) knife · covert · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-1) Hidden $94.44 135 coins $769 1,099 coins 8.15x 2026-11-03 02:11 UTC [★ Talon Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1) knife · covert · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-1) Hidden $92.69 132 coins $762 1,088 coins 8.22x 2026-11-08 22:21 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=supercharged) [★ Driver Gloves | Diamondback (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-diamondback-field-tested) Hidden $92.69 132 coins $363 518 coins 3.91x 2026-11-11 04:49 UTC [MP9 | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $92.69 132 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 02:41 UTC [MP9 | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $92.69 132 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 02:41 UTC [MP9 | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-field-tested) [560 HP](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/560%20HP) $92.69 132 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 02:41 UTC [MP9 | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $92.69 132 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 02:41 UTC [AK-47 | Fuel Injector (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fuel-injector-well-worn) Hidden $92.69 132 coins $93.10 133 coins 1.00x 2026-11-11 02:41 UTC [★ Moto Gloves | Turtle (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-turtle-field-tested) Hidden $92.69 132 coins $53.31 76.15 coins 0.58x 2026-11-11 02:41 UTC [MP9 | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $92.69 132 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 02:34 UTC [★ Moto Gloves | Turtle (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-turtle-field-tested) Hidden $92.69 132 coins $53.31 76.15 coins 0.58x 2026-11-11 02:34 UTC [AWP | BOOM (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-boom-minimal-wear) Hidden $92.69 132 coins $94.50 135 coins 1.02x 2026-11-11 02:34 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $92.69 | 90.91% | 23 | | 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $92.75 | 90.91% | 23 | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $94.44 | 90.91% | 23 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed legendary 0.0% covert 15.4% epic 0.0% extraordinary 22.1% classified 12.5% consumer 50.0% best hit $2,534 (26.83x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.91 on average: an expected loss of $9.09 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt